Arthur Herman writes in today’s New York Post that that Israel’s signing of UN Resolution 1701 is as much a turning point in today’s war on terror as the Munich agreement between Neville Chamberlain and Adolf Hitler was just before World War II. As the Munich agreement signaled to the world in 1938 that there really wasn’t a true resistance to Nazism, Resolution 1701 says that the Western world, doesn’t have what it takes, at least right now, to defeat Islamofascism. Here’s a portion of Mr. Herman’s piece:
Resolution 1701 shows that, for the time being at least, the balance has likewise shifted to the terrorists and their state sponsors. Like Munich, it marks the triumph of the principle of putting off until tomorrow what needs to be done today. Like Munich, it will mean not peace in our time, but a bigger war in our future.
In that sense, the cease-fire may be even more momentous than Munich, and a greater blunder. In 1938 Chamberlain and other appeasers had the excuse that they were trying to prevent an armed conflict no one wanted. Today, of course, that conflict is already here. Historians will conclude that by supporting U.N. Resolution 1701 and getting Israel to agree, the Bush administration has in effect declared that its global war on terror is over. We have reverted to the pre-9/11 box of tools, if not necessarily the pre-9/11 mindset. From now on, the worst Iran, Syria, and North Korea will have to worry about are serial resolutions in the United Nations. Terrorists will be busy dodging Justice Department subpoenas, not Tomahawk missiles.
Our enemies know better. They know the war is only entering a new stage, and they know who the winners and losers were last weekend.
Mr. Herman also writes that the US believed that Israel was going to destroy Hezbollah, so President Bush gave Israel every chance to do just that, putting off calls of cease-fires for as long as possible. He ultimately had to face the reality that Olmert’s government just didn’t have the political will to destory Hezbollah.
When Israel accepted the UN’s cease-fire, even though it had destroyed much of Hezbollah’s military infrastructure, it gave Hezbollah a perceived victory. In the Muslim world, perception is all that matters. Now Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is stoking the fires of Muslim pride by calling Hezbollah’s “victory” a win for Islam:
“Your unprecedented holy war and steadfastness are beyond the limits of my description. It’s a divine victory. It is a victory of Islam”
“With God’s help you were able to prove that military superiority is not (measured) in the number (of soldiers), planes, warships and tanks. Rather, it depends on the power of faith and holy war”*
Have the Islamofascists ever been so sure of their ability to destroy Israel as they are now? I don’t think so.
Mr. Herman ends his piece with a dose of reality delivered by Winston Churchill:
“We have passed an awful milestone in our history,” Winston Churchill said after the Munich agreement was signed. “Do not suppose this is the end . . . This is only the first sip, the first foretaste, of a bitter cup that will be proffered to us year by year.” Despite the failure of appeasement, Churchill still believed the Western democracies would make the “supreme recovery” and take up the banner for freedom again. The United States and the forces of democracy will recover from this debacle – even with a Democratic Congress in 2006 and a Democratic president in 2008. The reason will not be because Bush’s opponents have a better strategy, or a clearer vision, or even a Winston Churchill waiting in the wings. It will be because our enemies will give us no choice.
Less than a year after Munich, Nazi panzers rolled into Poland. Instead of fighting a short, limited war over Czechoslovakia, the Western democracies ended up fighting a world war, the most destructive in history. The war with the mullahs of Iran is coming. It is only a question of whether it will be at a time or on a ground of our choosing, or theirs – and whether it is fought within the shadow of a mushroom cloud.
Update: Rick Moran links to Bryan at Hot Air who also thinks the Islamofascists are secure in their ability to destroy Israel and outlines what may be their strategy:
The Syrians and Iranians think they have hit upon a strategy to destroy Israel: Attack it with standoff weapons like Katyushas, goading it into fighting a ground war that frightens the world into halting Israel’s defensive actions. The end game is that Israel can’t defend its borders, it becomes demoralized and then the Arabs and Iranians move in for the kill. In response to the standoff attacks, Israel has the choice of non-response, weak response or brutal response-there’s no way to uproot an entrenched army of any size without using some very nasty tactics and weapons. I’m not talking nukes or anything like that-just weapons that make for bad TV.
* I added the additional quote and changed the link to another news report because it had more information.