Unexpectedly … unemployment actually DROPS

Well, I guess the recent insanely stupid efforts by liberals to spin unemployment numbers weren’t necessary after all:

Today’s employment report shows that the unemployment rate fell sharply
to 9.0 percent and private sector payrolls increased by 50,000 in
January. Revisions to private sector payroll data show that 1.1 million
jobs were added during 2010, the strongest private sector job growth
since 2006. The 0.8 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate
over the past two months is a welcome development; however, the rate
remains unacceptably high.

… Overall payroll employment rose by 36,000 last month. Among the sectors
with the largest payroll employment growth were manufacturing
(+49,000), retail and wholesale trade (+36,700), and professional and
business services (+31,000). Transportation and warehousing (-38,000),
construction (-32,000), finance (-10,000), and local government
(-10,000) were among the sectors that subtracted from the total. Severe
weather in some parts of the country may have impacted employment and
hours in some industries.

The 0.4 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate to 9.0
percent in January was accounted for by a large increase in employment
as measured by the household survey (which is separate from the payroll
survey). The labor force participation rate was unchanged.

This was truly unexpected, given that the Gallup Unemployment Survey, which was released a day before the official White House unemployment numbers, put the January unemployment rate at 9.8%, with an underemployment rate measured at 18.9%.

Although the labor force participation rate remains relatively unchanged between December 2010 and January 2011, comparing the January 2010 and January 2011 numbers reveals a drastic decline.  We are currently at a 26 year low in labor force participation (if you recall, 1984 was when America was just beginning to fully recover from the massive 1981-1982 recession and the period of crippling stagflation that immediately preceded it) with little immediate improvement in sight. 

In other words, we may have added 1.1 million jobs in 2010, but at the same time we had over 2.2 million Americans drop out of the labor force, which is hardly anything to be excited about. 


PS – if you really want to compare employment during 2009-2010 with employment during the Bush presidency, the overall labor force participation rate is a good place to start.  There was a decline of 1% between 2001 and 2004 (which was the inspiration for Nancy Pelosi’s famous “where are the jobs, Mr. President” speech), but the rate remained relatively steady at 66% from 2004 until the end of 2008.  Since that time, the rate has declined nearly to 64%, with no up-trend visible.  Ms. Pelosi, I believe that’s your cue … 

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  • Gmac

    Don’t worry, next week there will “Unexpectedly” be an upward correction in unemployment and a downward correction in the number of new jobs created.

  • GarandFan

    Let’s face it, Barry has no prospects for turning the economy around, so he’s just going to flat out lie. My guess is that he actually believes the MSM drove the “Bush economy” into the ground with it’s constant 2004-2008 drum beat of a ‘faltering economy’ – so by repeating Barry’s lies, the MSM can push the economy up.

    With an 18.9% underemployment figure, the economy isn’t growing. It’s stagnating.

  • Upset Old Guy

    Actually the unemployment RATE did drop, but 36,000 job hirings can’t even keep up to the growth of the labor pool. So were did those tenths of a percent go? Look a little deeper, 2.8 MILLION dropped out. They just stopped looking for a job, and therefore were no longer counted against the unemployment rate.

    Now, this is my question: Is that the HOPE or the CHANGE?

  • Jim Addison

    The “discouraged worker” was first counted in the Reagan years, and typically considered to be of critical importance when Republicans are in office. Since they started counting, the rate has always stayed within a fairly narrow range, roughly 1.3 – 1.8% of the labor force.

    They don’t quote the numbers in the legacy media anymore, which tells me they must be at all-time highs.