Jeb Bush CANNOT Win the White House, The Base Will NOT Vote for Him

If the Republican Party is stupid enough to hand Jeb Bush the nomination for the 2016 election for president, we will be stuck with another four years of a Democrat in the White House. ANY Democrat in the White House. Jeb can’t win and he’ll lose the entire base of the party if he becomes the nominee. His nomination will also be the last straw for most conservatives.

Bush foolishly imagines that he can overcome his disagreements with the conservative base. And his assumption might seem sensible in light of recent electoral history where the base has always dutifully fallen into line just ahead of the general election even after years of complaints. But I think that Bush misreads the level of dissatisfaction that conservatives have reached.

At a recent appearance in Myrtle Beach, SC, Bush said that he thinks all the carping conservatives are doing about yet another Bush run for the White House will go away once the nomination is had and the general election is nigh.

In SC, Bush called himself a “principled conservative” but noted that his immigration and education ideas have put him at odds with conservatives. Note that Bush imagines his ideas to be principled which means that he thinks the conservative position is not principled.

Anyway, Bush was said to have been “reaching out to conservatives” and trying to show them that he is conscious of their needs and will be *mostly* the kind of candidate they can support.

Sadly he has already started his campaign at the beginning putting conservatives on notice that he views them as a problem, not a part of his coalition.

Just like John McCain, who spent years calling conservatives names, Jeb Bush doesn’t even deserve our vote in the least.

But the biggest problem is that having yet another Bush on the ticket is a death knell to the GOP’s chances at the polls. He cannot beat the Bush name, he cannot beat the idea that he is a nod to the past, not the future, and he will never get the enthusiastic support of the base.

The latter is a big problem. After all, the Democrat Party still enjoys a larger number of registered voters and the only way Republicans can win is to excite its base and depress Democrats (not suppress them, mind you, just make them less excited to turn out to vote). Jeb will never excite GOP voters and make Democrats depressed enough to stay home.

Finally, for many conservatives–and I am one of them–a Jeb Bush nomination will preclude a vote for the Republican Party for the 20126 presidential election. In fact, many will call it quits with the GOP and the party will never again be able to build a winning coalition. Media mogul Glenn Beck won’t be the last one to announce that he is quitting the GOP.

For me, I will never, ever vote for Jeb Bush. Even if he is the nominee. Even if he is going up against Hillary. Even if Communist Elizabeth Warren is the Democrats’ nominee.

Jeb Bush started his campaign telling me that he thinks I am a problem, that he doesn’t want my support, that he wants me to get lost. And so, for him, I gladly oblige. Just like I did for John McCain. And I am not alone.

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Don't tell Democrats this, but ...
  • Brucehenry

    How’d that walking away from McCain in ’08 work out for y’all, anyway?

    • So, you are against votes on principle? How like a leftist.

    • Commander_Chico

      I walked away from McCain because of Palin. I gave McCain $500 in 2000.

      Turned out to be a good move, because McCain has gone insane since 2008.

      • ohio granny

        Many more voted FOR McCain BECAUSE of Palin.

    • jim_m

      So you are ignorantly denying the reality that voters will not turn out for an unattractive candidate? Even the few honest dems acknowledge that unpopular candidates ho fail connect with the base are unlikely to win. Apparently you missed this obvious and universally recognized fat. Or maybe you are just being an a-hole again

      • Brucehenry

        Again, some of these are jokes.

        • jim_m

          Every time you make an ass of yourself you claim that. Everyone knows it’s bs.

    • Retired military

      Bruce

      I held my nose and voted for McCain and what did it get me.

      Other than Keystone, the first 3 months of the GOP controlling the House with it’s largest majority in history consists of:

      -Funding Obama’s amnesty
      -Shelving an anti-abortion measure that has wide public support and
      passed the House before
      -Proposing to reauthorize SCHIP at a rate higher than what George W. Bush vetoed TWICE
      -Negotiating a deal with Nancy Peolosi to add hundreds of billions of
      dollars in deficit entitlement spending
      Oh and Boehner being reassured by the dems that they have his as far as keeping him speaker.

  • Commander_Chico

    Suck it, Warner. You’re getting Jeb. Your Masters have decided.

    http://gifsec.com/wp-content/uploads/GIF/2014/04/Evil-Laugh-GIF.gif

    • I left the GOP years ago. So, no, no one has chosen anyone for me.
      http://www.publiusforum.com/oldopeds/hustonillgopout.html

      • Commander_Chico

        I look forward to your vicious attacks on Hillary, Warren, O’Malley or Webb.

        In the former case, I will be in complete agreement.

        • I am not sure I could “viciously” attack Webb. I like him a little bit. Wouldn’t vote for him (or ANY Democrat), but I don’t think he is a wild-eyed communist like the other three.

        • Retired military

          And you will defend them to the death.

  • jim_m

    McCain had a national constituency from his previous attempts at the nomination. Jeb doesn’t have that. While he has beltway establishment support he has little else. Lost of people throw lots of money at the nomination but it gets them no votes. Jeb’s support means that he gets to super Tuesday(if that far) but no further.

  • Paul Hooson

    Whoever wins Ohio wins the White House…

    • ratmandu

      Exactly !

  • Vagabond661

    Coservatives are the “black vote” of the Republican party. We are told empty promises and vote GOP election after election.

    Blacks and conservatives are duped every election by their respective party.

    • Brucehenry

      What nerve you have.

      • Vagabond661

        What truth I share.

  • JWH

    Which candidate do you think can satisfy both the Republican base and the more moderate general-election voters? So far, the only possibility (IMO) seems to be Rand Paul.

    • Brucehenry

      Rand Paul will reveal the solid fact that he is a dumbass in a way that can’t be explained away, early in the primaries. At least that’s my bet.

      • Obama revealed that and more and was still elected. Obama revealed he was a communist, an anti-American, a neophyte, and a liar. He still got elected.

        • Brucehenry

          Obama revealed all those things only to those, like yourself, who had the Sekrit Dekoder Ring.

  • Highland26

    Jeb Bush and Rand Paul cannot beat Hillary Clinton in 2016. Ted Cruz is our only hope in 2016.