The realization that 0bama and his foreign policy team have been worse than useless seems to have hit the tipping point.
THE ENDGAME IN SYRIA
By Walter Russell Meade, The American Interest
Apparently the Obama administration turned down a Russian offer to dump Assad… because the Administration was sure he was going to fall on his own. The Guardian reports:
[Former Finnish president and Nobel peace prize laureate Martti] Ahtisaari held talks with envoys from the five permanent members of the UN security council in February 2012. He said that during those discussions, the Russian ambassador, Vitaly Churkin, laid out a three-point plan, which included a proposal for Assad to cede power at some point after peace talks had started between the regime and the opposition.
But he said that the US, Britain and France were so convinced that the Syrian dictator was about to fall, they ignored the proposal.“It was an opportunity lost in 2012,” Ahtisaari said in an interview.[..]At the time of Ahtisaari’s visit to New York, the death toll from the Syrian conflict was estimated to be about 7,500. The UN believes that toll passed 220,000 at the beginning of this year, and continues to climb. The chaos has led to the rise of Islamic State. Over 11 million Syrians have been forced out of their homes.
If true, this was a staggering missed opportunity. The President’s string of misjudgments on the Middle East—on the peace process, Erdogan, withdrawal from Iraq, Libya, ISIS as the “J.V. team”, and Syria—is one of the most striking examples of serial failure in the annals of American foreign policy.
Generally speaking, what the President seems worst at is estimating the direction in which events are flowing. He thought Erdogan was taking Turkey in one direction; Erdogan was going somewhere else. He thought there was a transition to democracy in Egypt; there never was a prospect of that. He has repeatedly been caught flatfooted by events in Syria. And Putin keeps running rings around him.
Understanding the intentions and estimating the capabilities of people who don’t share his worldview are not our President’s strong suits.
That last paragraph may be the greatest understatement ever applied to the 0bama Administration.
[UPDATE] Michael Barone comments at the Washington Examiner
It strikes me that there is a single thread going through what Mead characterizes as Obama’s misjudgments: solipsism. Obama seems to assume that foreign adversaries or people in foreign cultures will behave as he would in their place. Linked with that, I suspect, is a belief in the guilt of Western societies and the virtue of those who are often thought of as their victims. Wrong on both counts, in my view — and with disastrous results. [Emphasis added]