More Poll Trouble for Clinton

From the New York Times:

Updated, 12:46 p.m. | Senator Bernie Sanders is breaking away from Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire and is edging ahead of her in Iowa, according to new polls that show him solidifying the support of Democrats ahead the first two 2016 presidential primary election contests.

The polls add to mounting pressure on Mrs. Clinton, who was seen for months as an overwhelming favorite in the race, to avoid another upset from an insurgent Democratic challenger after her 2008 loss to Senator Barack Obama for the party’s nomination.

A survey from Quinnipiac University found that 49 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa are planning to back Mr. Sanders while 44 percent support Mrs. Clinton. The results represent a shift from a month ago, when the former secretary of state was leading Mr. Sanders by 11 percentage points. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

“Iowa may well become Senator Bernie Sanders’s ‘Field of Dreams,’” said Peter A. Brown, director of the Quinnipiac poll. “After three months of Secretary Hillary Clinton holding an average 10-point lead among Iowa Democrats, the playing field has changed.”

Earlier polls suggested that Democrats intended to vote for Clinton despite their misgivings about her honesty. According to Quinnipiac University,

Sen. Sanders’ surge seems based on the perception by Iowa Democrats that he is a better fit for Iowans. They see him, by solid double digit margins as more sharing their values, more honest and trustworthy and viewed more favorably overall than is Secretary Clinton.”

“Iowa likely Democratic Caucus-goers see Sanders as better able to handle the economy and climate change, two important issues for Democrats and a key asset for him in the home stretch,” Brown added.

“The Democratic race is different than the GOP contest because it lacks a divisive tone. Iowa Democrats like both major candidates personally; they just like Sen. Sanders more.

And back to New Hampshire, the Times continues:

Perhaps more worrying for Mrs. Clinton is the finding that a majority of New Hampshire voters said that their choice is set, while only 35 percent were completely decided two months ago.

“New Hampshire Democratic preferences are getting baked in, with Sanders gaining the upper hand,” Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement. “The final question will be who does a better job at turning out their respective voting blocs.”

Mr. Sanders is now leading Mrs. Clinton among all the major voting blocs in New Hampshire. According to Tuesday’s survey, he has overtaken her with female voters — a core constituency for the former secretary of state who would be the first female president. And he is also leading her among independent voters and with registered Democrats.

Get out the popcorn…

The Sexcapades of Bill Clinton
"Authentic beauty... unlocks the yearning of the human heart..."
  • Jwb10001

    What a pair, and old white criminal and an old white socialist oh and I guess some other guy that is a complete non entity. Bernie is going to be like the dog that caught the car, hoping for a spot as VP or some cabinet position he’s now looking like the actual nominee. Good Luck Bernie, you’re gonna need it.

  • Hank_M

    Hillary is a despicable human being and the more exposure she gets, the less people like her.
    Put that together with her lousy political instincts and yes, I can see Bernie winning.
    Thing is, I don’t think the dems will allow him to be the nominee.

  • Glad you’re back Scalia…

    • Scalia

      Oh, I’ve been back for a little while (after the holidays). Beside this one, I’ve uploaded three posts since New Year’s.

    • Doesn’t your barren garden need tending?

  • jim_m

    Sanders v Cruz in the general

    • Commander_Chico

      Nah Sanders vs. TRUMP! Birther stuff will do in Cruz.

      • Ha, Ha!

        • Commander_Chico

          And who does der Sturmbannführer back? Oh, we know, no baĺls to say it.

      • jim_m

        That only has traction for freaking bigoted morons like you

        • Pretty much.

        • Commander_Chico
          • Brucehenry

            I wonder if, using this professor’s reasoning, McCain would have been ineligible? Would the Founders really have wanted to exclude the son of a soldier (or in this case a sailor) serving overseas from eligibility?

          • jim_m

            Her legal reasoning is crap and she leaves out key passages of her citations that argue against her point. Her whole article was either dishonest or ignorant and poorly sourced.

          • Embrace the healing power of “and.”

          • Commander_Chico

            The difference with McCain was that the Canal Zone was under US sovereignty.

          • jim_m

            You don’t have to be born inside the US to be a natural born citizen. Anyone born to US citizens anywhere in the world is a Natural born citizen under the law.

          • Brucehenry

            Well I have two cousins who were born on a USAF base in France in the early 1960s and I bet they are technically eligible to be president. As is mentioned in the pjmedia link, you are a “natural born” citizen if there is no requirement for you to undergo any naturalization procedure.

          • Commander_Chico

            That is a legal opinion, not settled law. Foreign bases are not sovereign US territory.

          • jim_m

            Again, the law is not settled. Current precedent says Bruce, and Glenn Reynolds are correct and that you and your dishonest author in the WaPo are not.

          • Commander_Chico

            There is no current precedent, as Lawrence Tribe says.

            Anyways, it would be a factor in Cruz losing to Hillary.

            TRUMP!!!

          • Scalia

            Laurence

          • jim_m

            Bruce lurches unwillingly into the truth.

          • Jwb10001

            So 2 illegal aliens have a kid in the US that’s cool, 2 us citizens have a kid in Canada not so much……

          • Brucehenry

            Well, one citizen and one Cuban but who’s counting?

          • Jwb10001

            Well yes sorta like our current president correct?

          • Brucehenry

            I’m not really arguing he’s (Cruz) ineligible just enjoying the schadenfreude of Cruz twisting in the wind on the birther crap after accepting the enthusiastic help of crazy birther Rep Steve King of Iowa. And tiptoeing around trying not to piss off crazy birther Donald Trump.

            And no NOT like Obama who was born in Hawaii (a state in the US) not Alberta (a province of Canada.) LOL.

          • Jwb10001

            Well, like Obama with one citizen parent.

          • Only in chicka-puta’s eye.

          • jim_m

            Dumbass. The legal community is laughing at her fraudulent essay. http://pjmedia.com/instapundit/223769/

          • Commander_Chico

            By “the legal community” you mean “Glenn Reynolds.”

            I am not a lawyer, I take no position. But even Reynolds says it is not a settled issue.

          • jim_m

            As an FYI, Widener law school (from where this idiot comes from ) was the subject of a ridiculous scandal for persecuting a law professor for not toeing the ultra left wing line of the administration there. They demanded that he go through a psych eval for actually teaching the law in a fair and objective manner. (they lost and were forced to settle with the targeted professor)

            Widener is not a law school, it is an ideology factory. When the law school rejects the concepts of due process and the right to confront one’s accusers it has stripped itself of any credibility on constitutional matters.

          • Commander_Chico

            As I said, even Reynolds says the question of “natural born citizen” is not settled. That means it is a live political issue with Cruz.

          • jim_m

            No he says that the SCOTUS has never really ruled on it. Nor are they likely to. But he makes it clear that the article you brought up is poorly reasoned, dishonestly sourced and total bullshit.

          • Commander_Chico

            Right. The Supreme Court has never ruled on it. So the question is not settled legally and it will be an issue with voters.

          • jim_m

            Dumbass. At that point NOTHING is ever settled as SCOTUS is known to overturn itself. Or have you never heard of Dred Scott.

          • Commander_Chico

            Some voters will not want to vote for a guy who could later be disqualified in a court case.

          • jim_m

            But they are precious few who are actually fooled by such nonsense. The pig ignorant are not people who tend to vote.

            Present company excepted

          • Commander_Chico

            I remember a lot of birthers carrying on about Obama with less reason. It is an undisputed fact Cruz was not born in the USA.

          • jim_m

            Um, Cruz was born to US citizens. It’s not gonna get traction outside of leftist assholes like you.

          • Commander_Chico

            Cruz would lose to Hillary in any event, unless she gets indicted or starts wandering around the debate stage, lost. It’s the way it is.

            Trump is the only one who is sure to beat Hillary.

          • jim_m

            Everyone is currently out polling Hillary in the recent polling. If that is continued it signals that people are tired of her crap. That has happened repeatedly before.

          • Commander_Chico

            Really? This does not look good to me:

            http://www.270towin.com/polling-maps/bJQV/

          • jim_m

            from the recent Fox News poll

          • Heh…

          • Jwb10001

            Trump would lose to Hillary by a land slide assuming she can stay out of federal prison.

          • jim_m

            Polling data shows that he gets more crossover votes form dems than any other candidate. While recent polls show that he has a smaller margin that other GOP candidates he still beats her.

            I think things only get worse for her as the email scandal grows and as Bill’s links to pedophiles and likely junkets to have sex with 12 year olds are exposed.

          • Damn Liar says so.

          • LiberalNightmare

            more still would prefer not to vote for a candidate that might be indicted before the election

          • As if chicka-puta wrote it!

            And the Supreme Court has overturned their earlier rulings before…

            It’s not settled until “settled” in the progrards favor…

          • Commander_Chico

            Donald J. Trump – Verified account ‏@realDonaldTrump

            Such a serious problem for Ted & the GOP. Great doubt, Dems will sue! Let’s all work together to solve this problem. https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/01/11/through-ted-cruz-constitutional-looking-glass/zvKE6qpF31q2RsvPO9nGoK/story.html

            Professor Lawrence Tribe of Harvard LS!

          • jim_m

            More proof that you are unspeakably stupid

          • Commander_Chico

            That’s not me, it’s Trump and Tribe. As Tribe’s piece states, he was Cruz’s professor.

          • Jwb10001

            Oh let’s hope the dems sue I can see the political ads now with all these dems calling people birthers and suggesting they are bottom feeding idiots. It would be a perfect strategy for them.

          • Put your money where your mouth is, hire Tribe to sue on your behalf.

  • Brucehenry

    Sanders may win the first two contests but Hillary will sweep the Democratic primaries in the South because of the black vote. Too bad, I like Bernie.

    • Get that chlamydia treated.

    • jim_m

      That presumes that Hillary doesn’t melt down in scandal and indictments. (although the latter is quite likely not to come to pass since no one in the corrupt DOJ will ever allow her to be indicted even though there is already abundant evidence to charge her)

  • Paul Hooson

    Sanders is a terrible far left candidate, but may be on the verge of besting Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire. I’m not sure how he grasps the nomination beyond those two states as Clinton should win in South Carolina and most upcoming contests. But, it proves that she is vulnerable candidate that could well lose the general election if nominated. I also don’t see how Sanders actually wins a general election either as the business community has much to fear from his far left and anti-business economics which could seriously damage the economy.

    Meanwhile, the president we are currently stuck up with seems to be apologizing to Iran after 10 of our sailors were taken hostage. It’s time for this president to act a little more like Putin, and when the United States is bullied, to talk tough or to step up to tougher actions.

    • Commander_Chico

      As Bruce says, black voters in the south will put Hillary over. What you don’t want to know is that black Jew-hating will be a big factor if Hillary wins.

      • jim_m

        Seriously? You think that antisemitism is limited to blacks on the left? Apparently you don’t read your own crap or use the mirror.

        • Commander_Chico

          Did I say it was limited to blacks? It is a big factor amongst black voters, though.

      • Paul Hooson

        This reminds me of 1980 when a scandal weakened Ted Kennedy gave a weakened President Carter a good run for his money, where the weakened Carter was trounced by Reagan in the general election. If Hillary faced a really strong candidate, she would be in real trouble.

        I think it may be a long time before any Jew is elected president in this country as many voters might fear a Jewish president as being too close to Israel politically. This is irrational, but enough to make many voters take a second look. Sanders isn’t the Jew I’d like to see elected president as he is way too far left for my tastes and not an acceptable candidate to me. I would have to vote for a reasonable Republican over Sanders myself…

        • Commander_Chico

          We need Al Franken to run for president.

          • Paul Hooson

            I like Franken…But, Sanders worries me about business taxes and business regulations. I think he would be a disaster for the economy and for the business community. He’s better than Clinton on gun control, more supportive of the 2nd Amendment, but worse on every other issue than her.

          • Commander_Chico

            I doubt much would change with Bernie except more construction and less wars. Better than Hillary, who will outlaw strip clubs.

          • Paul Hooson

            Hillary has no federal control over 1st Amendment freedoms which are subject to local government and community regulations or curtailments. For example, a local community may ban full nudity or zone adult business or not allow liquor sales, etc. except where constitutionally held at bay such as in Oregon where obscenity laws and most adult regulations are unconstitutional.

          • Commander_Chico

            Try DOJ bribing your strippers to say you are a slaver and human trafficker.

            It will be 100% feminazi agenda.

            Bernie was a reasonable mayor of Burlington.

          • Paul Hooson

            The industry works on a very loose contract model where every entertainer whether they be in music or a stripper are independent contractors who freely come and go or work where they please.

          • Commander_Chico

            Yah we know. But you can be framed by feds and media.

            Again, the feminazis will be in charge.

          • Paul Hooson

            Not very likely unless the Feds really need to get someone involved in larger crimes. If they need to get someone, then they will pursue bullshit charges only to open the door to major charges. But, that’s mostly for real gangster activity. – A Jewish biker like myself who is known for being a good guy in the industry and antidrug isn’t on the radar for anything.

        • jim_m

          Seriously? You think that Carter was weakened by Kennedy? Were you not alive back then? Or do you really not remember, Malaise, the lines at the gas pumps, the high unemployment, the high interest rates and the Iran hostage crisis?

          You are fucking ignorant if you think that Carter lost for any reason than being (at that time) the worst President in US history.

          • Paul Hooson

            Carter wasn’t weakened by Kennedy, but Kennedy put up a strong challenge to a president who was weak. After President Ford removed the wage and price controls put in place by President Nixon, inflation went crazy as did gas prices, where the Feds attempted to reign in inflation with high interest rates. Reagan did eventually benefit by the stability in the economy that it later created, as well other economy moves by Carter such as opposition to protectionist legislation that was written by Congress to limit foreign competition to our automobile and steel industry as well as more competition in the railroad and airline industries.

          • And right on cue the Iranians capture 10 sailors…

          • jim_m

            I predict that 0bama will do worse that Carter in responding to this.

          • That would take more effort than he has demonstrated in his life.

          • jim_m

            You sell 0bama short. I think he can fail better than Carter with the greatest of ease.

          • No, I Ihink it would take active effort to be a greater failure than James Earl Dhimmy Carter.

          • jim_m

            Overall, I believe that 0bama has already achieved that

          • I believe we are too close to events to really know yet, though I concede it is possible you will be proven correct.

          • Paul Hooson

            If Iran doesn’t release the sailors within a few hours, then it become a major issue. I expect the Republican response to seize on this issue as a reflection of weak leadership and the wrong of the Iranian nuke deal in which Iranian funds are set to be unfreezed in a few days.

          • Already been more than a few hours.

          • LiberalNightmare

            At least the republicans will have a response …

          • jim_m

            Exactly what will compel the Iranians to deliver the sailors? Nothing. 0bama won’t do anything. Just like Carter he will sit on his ass while our sailors are tortured and paraded in front of the whole world to see their and our humiliation.

            The only thing I could see 0bama doing is perhaps betraying Israel in the UN in an attempt to get them back. And 0bama sure as hell would betray any and all of our allies if he thought it would make him look good for 2 minutes on the nightly news.

          • Brucehenry

            As of 5am today the sailors have been released, genius.

          • Commander_Chico

            Must be the Iranians didn’t want to mess with Obama.

            It was a joke watching all the warmongers drooling.

            If it was the other way around, we probably would have blown the boats up or sent the crews to Gitmo to be tortured.

            The CO of that mission should be punished. No excuse for those boats getting in Iranian waters, unless all propulsion on both boats failed.

          • Brucehenry
          • With a violation of Geneva III as part and parcel of the process.

          • Brucehenry

            LOL you’re a genius and a renowned expert on international law.

          • Jwb10001

            It’s true Bruce they paraded these folks and forced an apology from one of them on video. Pretty sure there are a couple of violations there.

          • Brucehenry

            Well if you look up “Did Iran violate Geneva convention” it’s true that you get the usual gang of nutjobs and warmongers and chickenhawks — National Review, Breitbart, Allen West, yada yada — CLAIMING there were some violations. But I don’t put much stock in what those guys say, and still less what is said by M. Soi Pissant.

          • Commander_Chico

            Allan West is a bona-fide war criminal – tortured an innocent Iraqi POLICEMAN on our side.

          • There you go again, damn liar.

          • Jwb10001

            Are you suggesting it didn’t happen (it did) or that it’s not a big deal? Wonder if it would be a bigger deal if it happened on Bush’s watch?

          • Commander_Chico

            But remember, waterboarding is ok.

          • jim_m

            You seem to be fine with the islamists beheading people so I can’t see where your complaint comes from.

          • retired military

            Glad you put in that disclaimer at that time.

          • Carter basically blew himself out of the water.

            A second term, and we’d see an entirely different world. Wouldn’t have had the needed assets for GW1, don’t even want to think how the international situation would have changed…

  • fustian24

    Apparently Hillary can’t beat young men.

    Or crazy old coots.

    She’s just been really unlucky.

    • Paul Hooson

      Donald Trump has done a good job in the last few days raising old doubts about the Clintons and new doubts about Cruz, hurting both candidates and raising his own overall standing in the vacuum he has created.

      • Commander_Chico

        The Master Persuader, as Scott Adams puts it.

        • That old jedi trick works best on weak minds, such as yours…

      • I’ve had real doubts about her for decades.

        But things are at a point where her supporters can no longer throw up a smokescreen. I’ll be surprised if she doesn’t withdraw ‘for health reasons’ sometime in the next six months or so… leaving Bernie as the defacto candidate, warts and crazy hair and all.

        • Paul Hooson

          She may upcoming legal problems related to her Emails scandal soon. Sanders is no candidate for the Democrats either. The Democrats are in trouble, but don’t realize it yet.

          • Anyone not named Clinton would already have been charged.

          • Paul Hooson

            Indeed, they are very slippery. – It also doesn’t seem likely to me that the country would vote for a third term of any party that has been disappointing and lackluster to most voters. It’s essentially a race to see whether the Democrats or the Republicans blow this opportunity and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory…

          • If she DOESN’T have legal problems related to the emails, then it’s going to shake our system of classified accountability to its roots.

            You cannot have one set of standards for the lower people who handle classified materials, and then ignore them for the ‘elite’ who might be inconvenienced. It’s one hell of a bad precedent to tacitly allow it.

    • jim_m

      Of course Hillary could beat a male candidate. But she would prefer to lick a female one.

    • Deservedly.

  • retired military

    Well I am glad to see that Rodney’s super secret candidate maybe wont have to face Clinton in the main election. Of course that same super secret candidate will be watching the republican convention from his living room anyway.

    • Already beating HRC…

    • Commander_Chico

      Not a “native son” I suspect.

      • What you choose to believe and those things that are true rarely intersect.

        • Jwb10001

          Odd what ridiculous things Chico is willing to believe and the things he won’t. Wonder if there is any correlation? Hacks gotta be hacks, haters gotta hate.

  • 914

    The dumbocrats would vote for Saddam or Stahlin if he were on their ticket.

    • Hank_M

      Joy Behar admitted that the other day on the view.

      • I had to watch that show one time getting some work done on the car.

        Damn, what a cackling bunch of ignorant fools…

  • Paul Hooson

    A couple of weeks ago, Bernie had no where to go. He was expected to come close in Iowa, win New Hampshire, win Vermont and Oregon, but likely lose to Hillary everywhere else including a possible Super Tuesday blowout. Now, he’s starting to build leads in some unlikely states that include Kansas and possibly Oklahoma, limiting Hillary’s firewall to mostly Southern states.

    A few things are going wrong for Hillary including renewed questions and fears about her honesty, and the more she is visible to many voters, the more “Clinton fatigue” for some voters, where only states with large African American voter blocs look as reliable for her.

    What’s going right for Sanders is a pretty good string of states, except for South Carolina, before Super Tuesday, resulting in better funding and excitement for his campaign, propelling him forward. Sanders, for right or wrong, is also able to sell a vision to his core voters, plus in a one-on-one contest with Hillary comes across as the only protest vote for an honest and trustworthy man. Maybe some voters will cast a protest vote against Hillary now, but could vote for a moderate conservative Republican in November given a true contrast between the pragmatic choices.

    What voters seem to be saying is that a growing number do not trust Hillary, and the more they see of her, the less they like her, while Sanders appears an acceptable place to plant their support or vote for at least the moment.