Reuters National Poll: Sanders and Clinton in Dead Heat

According to Reuters:

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has erased Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s wide lead for the Democratic presidential nomination since the start of year, putting the two in a dead heat nationally, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

Clinton leads Sanders 48 percent to 45 percent among Democratic voters, according to the poll of 512 Americans, conducted Feb. 2-5 following the Iowa caucus. The poll has a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.

Democrats had been supporting Clinton by more than a 2-to-1 margin at the beginning of the year. Sanders has narrowed that lead considerably over the past several weeks.

Clinton beat Sanders narrowly in the Iowa caucuses, the nation’s first nomination contest ahead of the November election, but is expected to lose to him in New Hampshire. The two rivals clashed on Thursday night in their first one-on-one debate, reflecting the tightness of the race.

Clinton barely beat Sanders in the Iowa caucus, but Sanders currently holds a substantial lead over Clinton in New Hampshire. This may get really interesting. At this point, every Democrat who votes for Clinton tells the world that character does not matter. Never let them forget it.

Republican Debate and Open Thread
Pope Francis really is a saint.
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  • Commander_Chico

    Media narrative now is heavy to bash the rebels Trump and Sanders and boost establishment neocons Hillary and Rubio.

    US presidency is now too powerful, the election becomes a winner-takes-all game fought ruthlessly.

    • jim_m

      You make yourself look like a complete ass and idiot by calling Hillary a Neocon.

      • Commander_Chico

        Hillary is a neocon and there have been several pieces written about her neocon policies.

        • jim_m

          All revealing their authors to be morons and the people who believe in them to be unthinking dupes.

          • Commander_Chico

            So you are either a Hillary supporter, or neocon agent, or both?

          • jim_m

            You’re a tool.

          • tool-fool-stool…

    • Jwb10001

      Trump treats the media like shit how would you expect them to react. He’s also an unserious buffoon which isn’t helping either.

      • retired military

        Maybe the media deserves to be treated like shit for the most (95%) part. They are nothing but democrat shills.

        cant wait to see Rachel Maddow moderate one of the 3 Presidential debates.

        • Jwb10001

          Trump does it in such a nasty way it’s completely ineffective. Name calling and bullying doesn’t really help achieve the desired effect. The thing conservatives need is some who makes the media seem sympathetic because of being abused by a bully.

  • Paul Hooson

    My true hunch is that this poll is somehow wrong. After New Hampshire, many of the upcoming states such as South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states in the South have larger African American voter blocks who support Hillary by wide margins. I haven’t seen any evidence that Sanders has chipped into this segment of voters so far.

    Sanders has perhaps gained some ground on Hillary in some states where he trailed her two to one, but perhaps Hillary may narrow the gap somewhat in New Hampshire and Sanders will win by a lot less than 61-30% as some polls suggest.

    Hillary still appears to be the nominee apparent, while Rubio is proving some real growth in the polls and drawing votes from the declining mainstream conservatives unhappy at the prospect of Trump as the nominee, where as high as 36% of Republicans say that they cannot vote for Trump in a general election.

    If Cruz does poorly in New Hampshire, and Rubio comes in a strong second behind Trump, he has a real chance to put together an antiTrump voter coalition and perhaps wrest the nomination, however if things remain a three way race with Trump-Cruz-Rubio for too many weeks, Trump could still win the nomination by division of the vote. Trump really needs a divided race right now to pull off some wins with only 33-37% of the vote, which appears to be his highwater marks. Jeb Bush, Christie, and others with no chance of capturing the nomination need to leave this race after New Hampshire and allow Rubio to grow his votes.

    • yetanotherjohn

      My personal preference is Cruz, Rubio, Trump in that order among the top three. But after Obama, a pet rock would be an improvement. I suspect there will be a lot of people dropping out next Wednesday. Think how large the field was and how narrow it is quickly becoming.

      • cathymv

        That would also be my preference.

        • Commander_Chico

          You are obedient servants to your masters.

          • yetanotherjohn

            and you are so independent that you can’t even see the mess Obama has made. Of course the MSM not telling you helps keep you blind.

          • Commander_Chico

            He has made a mess. Chico has said this many times. Bush II made a huge mess too.

            Trump and Sanders would change things. The rest SOS.

          • cathymv

            Maybe yes… maybe no… but my ultimate master is God, not a politician

          • Jwb10001

            And you are a devotee of the gold plated oligarch, stubby fingered, flip flopping, Twitter twat Trump. Given he’s everything you used to hate you’ve got some nerve name calling anyone.

          • Commander_Chico

            Trump is already rich, need no more.

            You want Goldman Sachs debtor Cruz or neocon slave Rubio.

          • Jwb10001

            Right he’s got no rich greedy buddies. He doesn’t need to be bought he’s one of them, he thinks like they do. He will do their bidding free of charge. He’s the guy that loves to take people property using the power of government and turn it over to rich people to make more money. That sounds like an oligarch to me. He also wants to us us force to take Iraq’s oil that sounds like a neo con to me.

          • Jwb10001

            Where did you get the idea I’m for Cruz or Rubio? I’ve never stated my preference because as I’ve already told you I haven’t decided. I will say this however, there is only 1 candidate that I have less regard for and that’s Clinton. They are tied for last. Now please stop trying to avoid the dumpster fire that is your love interest by asking, or in this case , telling me who I’m for. When I decide I’ll let you know.

          • Commander_Chico

            Yes we know you are a faggot won’ t say who you are for.

            Chico is for Trump.

          • Jwb10001

            Yep you’re a true follower of the number one ass hole in politics. Can’t mount a defense of your jack ass candidate so call someone a name. Aren’t your special. By the way are you part of the white supremacist group that’s got a PAC supporting Trump? I bet you are you know they hate Jews as much as they hate blacks.

          • jim_m

            No he doesn’t need more money. But you are obviously profoundly ignorant about the entrepreneurial circles of the ultra wealthy.

            They don’t need money. Money is how they keep score. DO you honestly think that Trump doesn’t want to win that game? Of course he does, otherwise why would he be playing? Trump is just as, if not more susceptible to the allure of money.

      • retired military

        I predict that no matter how bad Jeb does he will stay in until at least after Super Tuesday.

        • Commander_Chico

          True. Hoping for the big rig.

        • Paul Hooson

          I think you’re right about that. He’s hoping to best Rubio in Florida as a last ditch firewall if he fails to win anywhere else.

      • Paul Hooson

        I only mentioned Rubio because his negatives are lower than either Cruz or Trump and he runs 5 points better than Hillary, where Cruz runs only 1 point ahead, and Trump loses to her. Cruz is very ideological where that may not wear well with general election voters, but has an appeal to conservative Republican primary voters. Cruz knows how to attract conservative primary voters, but with too many candidates running right now, Trump can narrowly win many contests. One candidate needs the others to drop out and go one on one with Trump, otherwise Trump wins the nomination.

  • Walter_Cronanty

    Well, I wonder if this will fire-up Bernie’s Bros? Will enough of Bernie’s supporters be turned off by the Clinton machine to stay away from the general election? via Powerline:

    “Editorial [the Register had endorsed Hillary]: Something smells in the Democratic Party

    …What happened Monday night at the Democratic caucuses was a debacle, period. Democracy, particularly at the local party level, can be slow, messy and obscure. But the refusal to undergo scrutiny or allow for an appeal reeks of autocracy….” http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/editorials/caucus/2016/02/03/editorial-something-smells-democratic-party/79777580/

  • retired military

    “At this point, every Democrat who votes for Clinton tells the world that character does not matter”

    Here let me fix that for you

    “At this point, every Democrat who votes tells the world that character does not matter”

  • There’s panic on the Dems side… and serious desperation:

    A prominent Democratic donor worried about the party’s chances of winning the presidency emailed dozens of fans of Vice President Joe Biden on Friday, urging them to remain prepared to donate if Biden jumps into the race.

    The donor, Bill Bartmann, cited new polling showing Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont nearly tied with the Hillary Clinton, eroding the 30-point lead the former secretary of state held at the end of last year. Bartmann and other party insiders are concerned that Sanders, a self-proclaimed Democratic socialist, is too far to the left to win against a Republican in the Nov. 8 presidential election.

    “We cannot afford to lose the White House,” Bartmann wrote in the email, seen by Reuters.

    The email drew a string of affirmative responses, also seen by Reuters.

    Biden announced in October that he would not seek the presidency, despite support from a group of backers under the name “Draft Biden 2016.” But whispers have continued among some donors who hope that Biden could be convinced to run after all should Clinton’s campaign prove fruitless.

    “My sitting on the sidelines has a lot to do with my disappointment that the vice president decided not to get in the race,” Patrick Baskette, one of the recipients of Bartmann’s email, told Reuters. Baskette, a public affairs consultant in Tampa, Florida, was a special assistant to Biden during his time as a senator.

    Baskette said he was not opposed to either Clinton or Sanders. “I don’t think that they offer the solutions to our nation’s future that Joe Biden does,” he added.

    • iwogisdead

      Biden 2016!!! Because, what difference does it make?

  • cathymv

    The winner depends on who is flipping the coin!!

  • Brett Buck

    Dumb and Dumber

    • yetanotherjohn

      Ah, but which is which.