Trump Takes New Hampshire

As expected, Donald Trump easily won New Hampshire’s Republican primary. Trump took a little over 35% of the fractured field’s vote, while John Kasich and Ted Cruz finished in the place and show, respectively. Trump’s supporters have been ridiculed as low-information voters, but it appears that he triumphed in nearly every demographic group. For those of us who justifiably question his conservative credentials, glib dismissals of those who support him will not win the day. For better or worse, conventional attacks are not sticking to The Donald:

DonTrump

As the vote tallies have demonstrated, the considerable majority of Republican voters are looking for somebody other than Trump. It’s time for the lower-tier candidates to gracefully bow out of the race. That way, hopefully, their supporters will coalesce around somebody who is both genuinely conservative and temperamentally sound.

"... it simply exposes the superficiality, eclectic consumerism and underlying identity confusion"
Kim Davis Wins Court Battle Against ACLU
  • Commander_Chico

    Trump train can’t be stopped. Christie will drop out now.

    Must be hard talk amongst Jeb, Rubio, Cruz, Kasich about which other establishment stooges should drop out.

    Glad to see Bernie crush Hillary too. She’ll start up the anti Semitic whisper campaign in the South now.

    • Jwb10001

      Great so we get suck with Trump and Clinton, leaving us to choose between stupid and evil, how nice for us. Clinton will beat Trump he’s the only guy she can beat, he’s the only candidate with worse negatives than her. There are 2 good things about that 1)Trump won’t be president 2) Clinton will spend 4 years trying to avoid being impeached (hopefully without success.) Other than that this primary is a complete disaster.

      • Commander_Chico

        Clinton may be indicted, in any event the email releases will cut her down slowly.

        If Bernie wins SC she’s done.

        • Jwb10001

          Hillary should be indicted question is will your buddy Obama have the balls to do it. I doubt it very much. If not she will stagger into the nomination and if she does she’s praying for Trump to be her opponent.

          • retired military

            I think Trump will beat her like a drum. He isn’t afraid to go “there” and she cant handle that. She will be blaming the vast RW conspiracy about everything.
            Personally I hope she gets the nomination and strokes out in the middle of the 3rd debate. Maybe the CNN moderator will give her mouth to mouth through their tears.

          • Jwb10001

            Well she may be bad enough that anyone could beat her like a drum, what then? What does Trump actually do once he’s president?

          • Retired military

            Better than Obama that is for sure.

            Besides if Hillary is smart and chooses McCain as her running mate then she will make it a fight thanks to the RINOs

          • Jwb10001

            To me the important question for Hillary is who is her running mate. I suspect she won’t make it through her first term she will either get impeached or will have to resign due to “family/health” issues. So her VP pick will be important. I really doubt it will be McCain but who knows this cycle is already pretty weird.

        • retired military

          Clinton will NOT be indicted. Too many bodies buried and FBI files handing around.

          • Commander_Chico

            FBI agents will leak the story then.

            Could be an internal rebellion in DOJ/FBI.

          • Retired military

            Want to bet Chico?

            $25 to favorite charity?

          • Commander_Chico

            Sure but what are we betting on? Indictment or FBI leaking of pressure to quash investigation?

        • iwogisdead

          Think so? Sanders won 60% of the vote in NH. Delegate count? 15 for Sanders, 15 for Clinton. The Dems will never allow Sanders to be nominated.

          http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/268935-clinton-likely-to-leave-nh-with-same-number-of-delegates

          • Commander_Chico

            Holy crap. In a lot of polls Bern does better than Hillary vs Trump, Cruz, etc.

          • Jwb10001

            The delegate count after Clinton ties then gets crushed by Sanders is:
            Clinton 394
            Sanders 42
            Could it get more crooked than that.

          • Paul Hooson

            That is right! Party insiders don’t see him as a loyal Democrat, etc, and would even draft Joe Biden and hand him the nomination, even if he doesn’t run in a single primary before they would allow Sanders to be given the nomination.

    • Paul Hooson

      Mostly correct, except I don’t expect the anti-semitic part from Hillary. She’ll find other ways to attempt to undermine Sanders such as to look to the Black community voters to rescue her in the South. Sanders is the most Jewish major candidate for president ever, but I don’t see Hillary making this an issue. Barry Goldwater and John Kerry were also from a Jewish ancestry as well, but both families converted to Christian faiths to appear less Jewish, but like Sanders, both fell short. No Jew has ever been elected American president. Jews only represent just 22 of every 1000 Americans, or just 2 out of every 1000 persons worldwide, yet have achieved 33-38% of the top awards in the arts, sciences, medicine and business, but have never achieved the American presidency. Jews are very intelligent and capable, and represent high percentages on the Supreme Court and in Congress and the Senate, but the presidency remains elusive for Jews. Sanders is highly unlikely to become the first Jewish president.

      • Commander_Chico

        She will have black and redneck surrogates spread the anti Semitic idea.

        • Jwb10001

          You’re the guy that’s going to lecture me? What a joke you are.

          • Commander_Chico

            “Lecture” ha ha.

            Just my prediction. Black anti semitism very strong would be surprised if Clintonistas did not use it.

  • Par4Course

    After Iowa, the surging Marco Rubio was “the guy,” but that didn’t last long once Christie handed the boy wonder his lunch at the debate, with Marco obliging by repeating the same canned line about Obama’s intentions. Now John Kasich with 16% of the NH vote has the luster. We’ll see how long that lasts in South Carolina. About half of these guys – the ones in single digits – ought to give the party a break and abandon ship before embarrassing themselves further.

  • Hank_M

    Trump may not be conservative, but who the hell is anymore. Cruz perhaps.
    His commercials have been excellent. His rejection of Political correctness even more so.
    But his real trump card has been illegal immigration. That alone may carry him to the WH.

    As for Hillary….I hope the beatings continue.

  • JWH

    Donald Trump is a bit like Ronald Reagan in this regard. People know Trump as a celebrity, and they’re voting in part based on that celebrity.

    • In no way whatsoever.

    • Paul Hooson

      Yes and no. Reagan wasn’t even an “A” list, but a “B” grade actor, but like Trump had and certainly commanded celebrity charisma. Voters seemed intoxicated by the celebrity and charisma of both, willing to overlook foolish statements and scandals of both. Both have teflon personas. But, Reagan who was a former Democrat, later became the spokesman for modern conservatism. By contrast, Trump is not a spokesman for any ideology, but for his own overbearing and heavy handed personality cult, more in the personality cult style of Putin in Russia, who is also very popular there, but has a questionable commitment to democracy. We don’t know to what extent that President Trump would attempt to ignore the constitution or other affronts to democracy, but I would certainly expect a few dust-ups with both congress and the courts with Trump who might attempt to abuse the executive orders to even a greater degree than President Obama.

      • yetanotherjohn

        Reagan was elected twice as Governor of California. He had run and made a respectable showing in the GOP primary in 1976. At that time, you almost had to have run and lost once to get the nomination of the GOP later. People knew about Reagan as a celebrity more after he was known as a politician. When Reagan was elected, he hadn’t been in any roles for 15 years. Nope, not seeing the idea that both were just celebrities.

        • Paul Hooson

          Reagan’s charisma slowly built over time as well. He seemed like a perennial candidate, going nowhere in 1968, losing again to Ford in 1976, but by 1980 and as president his charisma really built into legend. The greatest speaker as president of my lifetime.

          • Jwb10001

            Reagan was a serious person that didn’t resort to nastiness and name calling. Reagan had serious ideas and proposals like them or not he didn’t just spew crap. Trump says stupid things every day and yet people still take him seriously it’s mind boggling.

          • Paul Hooson

            True. Reagan was a legitimate spokesman for the conservative ideology unlike the silly personality cult of Trump. Reagan also had a warmth as a person, that even if you didn’t agree with him, you loved him anyway. Reagan’s warm relationship with Democratic leader Tip O’Neill was a good sign of how he got along well with those who disagree with him. Walter Mondale could not help but admire Reagan when running against him. – That’s all a far cry from Trump. where perhaps a third of Republicans say they cannot vote for him in a general election.

          • Jwb10001

            I suspect Trump sees himself as the anti PC crusader, but he’s not anti PC he’s rude and obnoxious. It’s one thing to take on controversial issues breaking the PC code by discussing difficult subjects directly. It’s another to name call and insult just for the sake of appearing anti PC. Other than his willingness to be completely anti PC what other appeal does he have? The country needs direct talk that people pay attention to and react positively to. Trump’s approach turns off too many people he’ll be stuck with a small number of true followers the kind that forgive anything and accept any stupidity he spews.

          • Paul Hooson

            What the opponents of Trump and Sanders also miss is that both, for good or bad, both have a vision for the country. Reagan won because he had a vision. All of the other candidates need to take note…

          • Jwb10001

            I get Sanders vision of a socialist workers paradise, but please do articulate Trumps vision for the country. Seems to me he has had so many different positions it’s like trying to nail jello to the wall trying to figure out what his values really are.

          • Paul Hooson

            Trump is vague, but brags that “America will be greater than ever”. Without any true concrete economic views, Trump’s voters seem to be buying this line. It’s working without any substance so far…

          • Jwb10001

            That’s the understatement of the day.

          • Paul Hooson

            Indeed it is…

          • Hank_M

            “many Trump voters think that because Trump is wealthy that maybe some of it will rub off on them.”

            No offense but that seems insane.
            See retired military’s entry below for a better explanation.

          • Jwb10001

            That seems like a projection of Obama voters that thought he’d pay their mortgages even Trump voters aren’t that stupid.

          • retired military

            Yet Obama won twice.

          • Jwb10001

            Sadly true and look how that’s worked out.

          • Paul Hooson

            Sadly, Trump’s support is nearly this shallow. He appeals largely to down and out voters who think that Mexicans took away their high paying jobs at McDonalds as a french fry cook. They think that because he’s wealthy, that somehow it will rub off on them. Maybe a few wealthy people might support him because they figure he’d be like Santa and give them tax breaks, especially if they own real estate. – Trump and Sanders are not the kind of candidates you would see dominating their parties if people did not feel insecure financially and otherwise.

          • Scalia

            You know, Paul, my lead post isn’t long at all. Did you miss the part where Trump won practically every demographic group? I’m not a Trump supporter, but let’s be accurate about who is voting for him.

          • retired military

            Where as the Obama voters knew that Obama was going to pay for their mortgages and car payments. Where is Obama today? Oh yeah. THe WH.

          • Paul Hooson

            Some people might have thought that.Sadly, candidates from both parties receive support from special interest groups who think they’ll be getting something from government if only their candidate wins…

        • JWH

          Not “just” celebrities, but people who leveraged their celebrity into political capital, and who have a great deal of charisma and a talent for connecting with the average voter.

          • Jwb10001

            I’m sorry I know I’m starting to sound like a broken record but Trump doesn’t connect with the average voter he connects with below average voters.

          • JWH

            Keep in mind that you, by virtue of being well-informed, are an above-average voter.

          • Hank_M

            What do you consider a below average voter?

          • Jwb10001

            Do you think Trump appeals to the smartest among us? If so what would that appeal be?

          • Hank_M

            Thanks for the reply, especially the additional edit since I wasn’t sure how to answer your initial question.

            I consider myself conservative but I have no illusions about Trump being the same. I’ve try to be informed on the issues and vote accordingly. But the last bunch of elections have shown that neither party represents me whatsoever. One party would like to blame and punish me for all the worlds ills. The other promises to represent me and then completely fails to do so, never even bothering to fight for the principles they ran on.

            That leaves Trump, At the least, he can’t possible be worse than obama, as far as I’m concerned. And there remains a possibility that he may well manage the govt in a more responsible way. He has, after all, run businesses, built things, There’s also the possibility that he will curtail illegal immigration. At least he’ll broach the subject. Put that together with his disdain for political correctness, more accurately referred to as speech and thought suppression, and I’ll take it.

          • Jwb10001

            Hank, I absolutely get the appeal of crushing political correctness just not enough for me to out weigh what I find to be insurmountable negatives of Trump. I also think there are better ways to approach that. But to each his own. As a point of clarification I don’t think all of Trumps support comes from below average voters I do however think most of them support him.

          • Commander_Chico

            You’re good at saying what you don’t like, but I have no idea who or what you support.

          • Jwb10001

            Because as I’ve now told you 4 or 5 times I’ve not decided who I support at this point. So far the debates have been pointless with too many people on the stage no time to properly respond to questions and not nearly enough interaction between the candidates. I will tell you this (again) I won’t vote for Trump period.

          • Commander_Chico

            Anyone who disagrees with him.

          • Jwb10001

            Oh really and what is your general attitude toward people that don’t think like you? Please do tell me about how you react to people that support Bush. You of all people have no room to criticize. I’m perfectly willing to have a conversation with Hank about Trump without calling him names or going on some non nonsensical conspiracy rant. Unlike you I can also state my objections clearly with out calling Hank a neo con, chickenhawk or war monger.

          • His chief supporter here is an excellent example.

          • Commander_Chico

            Half of all people are below average. Enough to elect in US system.

          • Jwb10001

            Clearly people like you voted for Obama so you’ve now gotten 2 things right.

          • Commander_Chico
          • Jwb10001

            So what? Do you only care that your guy wins?

          • Commander_Chico

            Winning is important.

            It’s a shame that this year’s candidates suck so much.

            Trump is the best one who has a chance of winning.

          • Jwb10001

            Sorry, I won’t support trump even if I thought he could win. Unlike you I’m not that easily compromised. What happens when he loses support and can’t win?

          • Commander_Chico

            Yeah you’re so principled you can’t even back a candidate anonymouly on a blog comment.

            If Trump is not the nominee I’ll be voting for Johnson again.

          • Jwb10001

            What is wrong with you, why is it you insist I choose someone to support on YOUR time line? For the last time I’ve not decided if that’s not good enough for you too bad. It will ,most likely come down to whoever can pose the biggest threat to Trump, maybe drawing the line at Clinton. What I can’t manage to wrap my head around is your positions on anything anymore. For example do you now support torture? Are you a supporter of common core? Do you support universal single payer healthcare? Do you believe Trump can force China to take out North Korea’s jr dictator? Do you support oligarchs using the power of government taking personal property to build hotels to further enrich themselves? The list of things you must now support to continue supporting Trump is long,The faith you have to have that he doesn’t mean what he says at least half the time is getting to level of evangelical. But whatever you’re a waste of time so this is it for me I’m done with you. Now please be sure to call me a faggot or a chickenhawk neo con pussy or what ever your current non nonsensical name calling mode is these days.

          • Scalia

            Jwb10001, I upticked your comment, but where do you get that Trump supports Common Core? He has repeatedly stated that he’s going to get rid of it. Some websites are running with his recent speech wherein he said that he would keep it, but that was an obvious slip of the tongue. Do you have more evidence?

          • Jwb10001

            He said yesterday that we’ll continue common core, that hit several conservative sites, now of course he’s saying that was some sort of cryptic Bush supports common core comment. It just confirms that he’s so off the wall it’s hard to know what’s going on with him.

            Edit: here’s one of the sites that had it and the update:
            http://www.redstate.com/jaycaruso/2016/02/10/donald-trump-going-keep-common-core/

          • Scalia

            Yes, I saw that piece and heard the relevant portions of his speech. In the same speech, he made it clear that he is very opposed to Common Core, so it’s obvious to me that he misspoke. Given that, his explanation that he was trying to tie that to Bush is indefensible. He simply made a mistake and needs to man up and admit it. Everybody has a slip of the tongue, but I guess he thinks he’s above admitting it.

          • Jwb10001

            By the way Scalia did you see the run on blathering from Trump on taking out Kim Jong Un or whatever his name is? It’s amazing.

          • Scalia

            I didn’t catch that one. Do you have a link? To me, he seems to blather quite often.

          • Jwb10001
          • Commander_Chico

            Hell yeah I am for universal single payer. Works great with Medicare and in several countries.

          • You should move to a nation which offers that. DLTDKHYITA

          • Jwb10001

            Notice how he picks out 1 thing out of the list and its one of the things the Republicans don’t support. I guess he’s so clueless he doesn’t even know which party primary Trump’s running in.

          • Part of the reason my threads don’t suffer from his “contributions.”

          • Commander_Chico

            Your threads don’t suffer from many contributions at all.

            Only der Sturmbannführer and sycophancy.

            Example of the failure of fascist discourse.

          • Ha, Ha!

          • Commander_Chico

            Wall Street and their subsidiary insurance companies are not “Republicans,” but control the party.

            You identify with your masters’ interests. Single payer Medicare system has always been popular across party lines.

          • Commander_Chico

            I can get the best of both worlds – European single payer and TRICARE.

        • It’s a shallow comparison favored by the shallow.

  • Paul Hooson

    Kasich did very well among the better educated, more mainstream conservatives, but I don’t see where he goes from here. Cruz is still in this race, which is still a divided field. Bush didn’t help his own case very much, while Rubio’s horrid debate performance have now seriously hurt his future chances although he can probably can count on at least besting Bush in Florida. Cruz still has a few good chances to compete with Trump among religious voters in the upcoming Southern and Super Tuesday primaries.

    What happened to Hillary? When asked, 91-92% of voters chose Sanders as being honest and trustworthy compared to a dismal 5% for Hillary. But, Hillary has a string of good states in the South coming up including South Carolina, where 55% of the Democratic votes are from Black voters, where she holds a big lead in this voter group, but Sanders is hoping to make some inroads in this group as his funding grows and Hillary’s funding is showing some signs of limitations.

    • Jwb10001

      Rubio did indeed take one on the chin after his debate performance but I doubt it’s long term. Remember the first Bush/Gore debate, Bush got his ass handed to him but bounced back. Now having said that this does show the others where his weakness is and they will try to exploit that. I suspect they also see that Christie didn’t really benefit from the attack so that will temper their approach. It will be interesting to see how Rubio and the others approach this going forward. Up side and down side for all on this one. I suspect we’ll see more aggressiveness aimed at Trump which will be even more interesting. Trump is unstable his reactions to being attacked aggressively will be fun to watch.

      • Commander_Chico

        Rubio is finished.

        Race is between Cruz and Trump, but Cruz not natural born citizen.

    • Jwb10001

      Paul, I lived in Kasich’s district. I played softball in the same league with him way back when he was in the Ohio legislature. He and I used to work out at the same gym. I’ve had several brief 1 on 1 non political conversations with him. He is very hard to like, his personality is off putting. Now having said that he’s honest, he’s clean, he’s smart. His problem is he’s not electable. His antics on the debate stage are embarrassing, I think he would be useful in either a democrat or republican administration as perhaps head of the OMB or something like that.

      • Paul Hooson

        There’s no charisma there with him. He seems too much like some office wonk that’s good at paperwork, but maybe not someone that you want to invite out as a new drinking buddy. That’s really great you’ve had opportunities to meet him and talk to him. I sure love gyms too. I used to weight lift for many years, but mostly met other businessmen or wrestlers.

  • retired military

    Scalia
    I disagree with your assessment. I believe that 95%+ of Trump and Cruz supporters are so disgusted with the RINOs such as McConnell, Boehner, Ryan, etc that they are not going to vote for an “establishment candidate” period. They are tired of getting screwed and being told that they should have asked nicer for Vaseline if they had wanted some.
    This election, IMO isn’t about the positives of Trump but the negatives of the establishment and their years of broken promises.
    As I stated, I wrote the RNC and told them to kiss my ass and don’t expect my vote or money until after McConnell and Boehner are out of leadership. They wrote back and said “Don’t be like that. Until we get enough to override a veto there is very little we can do”

    When was the last time we had 66 seats in the Senate? The establishment is keeping their blinders on and their fingers in their ears going “nah nah nah I cant here you”

    • Scalia

      RM, I don’t think there’s much to disagree with here. I’ve stated elsewhere that the angst conservatives feel against the GOP Establishment is valid. The frustration has reached critical mass., and it’s no surprise that many voters are lashing out accordingly. The RINOs were simply using us to sustain their own power, so a lot of folks have decided to take the train to Trumpsburg.

      With respect to politics, conservatism comes first for me. Frustration does not justify an irrational course of action. Unless you’re saying that every other GOP candidate fronts for the establishment, going for the unreliable Trump doesn’t appear to make sense. Moreover, his child-like tantrums and evening-the-score mentality could be disastrous at home and abroad. The reply that it couldn’t be worse given what Obama’s done is not what I consider a sound reaction if we we are committed conservatives. Cruz has shown he can buck the establishment, and he is more than capable of articulating and defending conservatism. He has electability problems, but so does Trump.

  • yetanotherjohn

    I think the big winner was Trump and Cruz.
    Kasich will end up like Huntsman in 2012. Win NH and then never heard from again.
    Jeb and Rubio weren’t many votes behind Cruz, but they were supposed to be ahead of him.
    Christie’s chance has come and gone with NH.
    Fiorina and Carson are only in it for a VP nod at this point.

    I believe this is correct, but please correct me if I am wrong, since the modern primary/caucus system has began in 1976, no one has gone on to win their party’s nomination or the general election without a first place win in Iowa or New Hampshire. This may be the year for this to change on the dems side if the dems realize the general election problem of a full throated socialist after Hillary is indicted and try to toss Biden into the lion’s den at the last moment. But on the republican side, this is likely to remain true. If so, the race devolves to Trump and Cruz. I know my preference, but either is better than Obama.

    • Jwb10001

      I read something yesterday that actually made sense to me, the big winner was Clinton. I know it seems counter intuitive but the logic is that she’s going to beat Sanders regardless of NH (assuming Obama saves her from Levenworth.) The fact that the results in NH leaves so many republicans still splitting the anti Trump vote helps her get her preferred opponent, Trump. She has to know she’s got problematic negatives the only candidate in the field with worse negatives is Trump. I think she sees him as her only path to the oval office. If anyone else gets the nomination she has big problems trying to find enough of an enthusiastic coalition to win the white house.

      • Hank_M

        I’d think Trump would be her worst nightmare.
        He WILL fight back, without hesitation and she’ll have a very hard time trying to use sexism or her perpetual victim-hood against him.

        • Jwb10001

          Perhaps but I think his actual support is very thin, that would be exposed if some of the other republicans would get out of the race.

          • Hank_M

            About his support being thin….Have you read the Byron York report at the Washington Examiner?
            http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2582918

          • Jwb10001

            OK but my comment is about the general election not the primary in NH. In reality he got 30 some percent of the republican vote while I don’t begrudge him is win but it’s far from a majority. If you support Trump great more power to you, for me I don’t get it.
            Edit: see comment from Walter below, Trump got about the same percentage of republican votes as Hillary got of dem votes, she got crushed he’s a big winner. Thin the field and let’s see just how deep his support really is.

        • Commander_Chico

          Establishment neocons like Jeb and Rubio her best friends.

          Allow her to run as reform and antiwar candidate. Bullshit, I know.

          • Jwb10001

            How on earth does she do that? She voted for the Iraq war she’s the mother of the mess that is Libya, she’s owned by Goldman Sachs. She is the establishment. All of her accomplishments are disasters. Even Trump may be able to beat her given the vastness of her problems.

          • Commander_Chico

            Cause guys like Jeb and Rubio even more tied up with warmongers like Kristol.

            Cruz also owned by GS.

          • Jwb10001

            Yeah right I forgot he borrowed money so he’s going to do what ever they want…. whatever. She’s gotten over 600K for a few hours of speaking without paying it back wonder who’s more in the hole with GS.

          • Commander_Chico

            Cruz’s wife works for GS.

            He’s a wholly owned subsidiary.

          • Jwb10001

            So he can’t be president because his wife works for someone you don’t like? My wife works for a pharmacy benefit management company I still hate them.

  • Walter_Cronanty

    To shift the focus of the discussion just a bit, how did Bernie win 60.0% of the D vote, but only get 13 delegates, while Hillary won 38.3% of the vote, but got 15 delegates? Apparently, 28 out of 32 NH delegates were decided by the primary.[ http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/new-hampshire ] Are the other 4 delegates so-called “super delegates”? How do they get divvied up?

    I can’t see Bernie doing well in the south, unless D voters are as pissed off at the D establishment as R voters are at the R establishment – which may well be as it’s hard to give away as much free shit as the Ds promised without confiscatory tax rates and jobs are scarce for the young, disaffected voters in debt up to their eyeballs with student loans. If he does mediocre or better in the south, Hillary is in trouble. If that happens, do the Ds somehow try to have a brokered convention to install Biden as the D candidate? If that happens, Bernie’s voters will be pissed-off, and the Ds will look horrible.

    • yetanotherjohn

      It is super delegates that she got. He gets 13 delegates for his crushing first place and she gets 9 for her second place. Two more of the “pledged” delegates are left uncommitted. In addition, there are 8 “superdelegates”(cue dramatic music) who come to Hillary’s rescue. She has 6 of the 8 with the other two uncommitted.
      I see Bernie doing okay in the rest of the country. Look at the exit polls and you see that Hillary has a huge honesty problem with democrats. Further, for the white left a lot in life is not about reality but in virtue signaling. You can only be hip if you support the old white dude, not the old white woman. Hillary can do well with the Black vote which is not as much into virtue signaling, but that won’t be any time soon. You have only SC between now and March 1st with majority democratic primary not being white.
      As Hillary’s email scandal escalates the alternatives are Biden in the wings who soon won’t even be able to register to be on the ballot and Bernie. A year ago there was no hope for any non-Clinton and Hillary led the NH polls by 56% (not at 56% but 56 points ahead of anyone else). The more people saw of Clinton, the more that declined until Bernie beats her by about 2 to 1.
      Right now, Hillary has 394 delegates to Bernies 42. The problem for her is that ~300 of those are super delegates whose support can evaporate like the dew of the morning under a hot sun. I think she plans to slog through the the convention and win there, but what is to stop Bernie slogging through with her.
      Bush has a similar path with out the wins to get to the convention. Unfortunately for him, there is rule 40 which says that you have to have the majority of delegates in 8 states to have your name placed in nomination. He might be able to get that with superdelegates, but it isn’t likely to happen by winning 8 states first place. Trump and Cruz are likely to do it by winning first in 8 states, but like Hillary they could be tripped up by the “supper delegate” equivalents.

      • WHO’S THE BUSTER

        Hoping that Biden “gets the call”.

        • Jwb10001

          Better a blathering idiot than a felon I guess.