Head-To-Head

Barring unforeseen circumstances, it looks like a Trump-Clinton match-up in November. Today, Donald Trump racked up a five-state sweep against his GOP rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich. On the other ticket, Hillary Clinton took four out of five against Bernie Sanders. While there is still a touch of wiggle-room, Trump looks like he cannot be stopped, whereas with a delegate count of 2,137 to 1,306 in her favor against Sanders, Clinton is the all-but-certain Democratic nominee.

Interestingly, the latest George Washington University Battleground Poll shows but a three-point distance between the two:

In a head-to-head matchup of each party’s frontrunner, Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Trump by only 3 percentage points nationally (46 to 43; 11 percent undecided). Comparatively, Mr. Sanders fares slightly better against Mr. Trump (51/40/10).

“The Republican Party has a strongly favorable political environment for winning the White House,” said pollster Ed Goeas, president and CEO of The Tarrance Group. “If a mainstream Republican candidate were the presumptive nominee, the GOP would likely be in a strong position for a lot of wins, top to bottom, in November.”
Ahem. Yeah, “mainstream Republican candidate.” I suppose that eliminates Trump, but a lot about this election has been anything but conventional, and the statistical dead-heat, if it holds, promises to sustain the surreal climate that has characterized it to date.
A dead-heat notwithstanding, the unfavorable ratings for the front-runners remain high:
The GW poll found that of the five candidates still in the race for the highest office, only two—Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Ohio governor John Kasich—have an unfavorable rating below 50 percent, at 44 and 29, respectively. The other three—former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (56 percent), Texas Senator Ted Cruz (55 percent) and businessman Donald Trump (65 percent)—are all mostly disliked.
How peachy. Either way, most Americans get to vote for somebody they don’t like. With the mud-flying getting ready to kick into high gear, I imagine they will like them even less.
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  • Par4Course

    So should the parties just abandon the primary system and just nominate the candidates with the lowest unfavorable rating in the GW poll? Maybe we could do the same in the general election also. That would save a lot of time, trouble and money carrying on campaigns. Like them or not, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have won the most votes and the most primaries, and are well on their way to the nomination of their respective parties.

    • Walter_Cronanty

      Which says something extremely depressing about our electorate.

  • TheyTukRJobz

    In other words, we will truly have an election between a Giant Douche and a Turd Sandwich.

    We’re so screwed.

    • Commander_Chico

      Why aren’t you over at National Review, sneering at the white working class that “deserve to die” with Kevin Williamson and the rest of the cuckservative snobs?

      They did take our jobs.

      • TheyTukRJobz

        I sneer at emotional infants like you, Chico, who use infantile words like “cuckservative” like a 15 year old would.

        As for your stupid-ass claim that I sneer at white working-class people or think they should die, well, that’s just idiocy on your part. Or, rather, your SOP.

        I think when people do stupid things, like supporting Trump, their stupid actions need to be called out. When they, without any economic facts to marshal, blame free trade (as opposed to other factors) for the changes in the workplace that affect them, then I call them out.

        • Commander_Chico

          Your handle and avatar is an obvious sneer at working class Americans who have lost their jobs by the policies globalist Ayn Rand college fags like you have wanted.

          “Cuckservative” refers to the pleasure you get while watching America get fucked by global capital.

          • TheyTukRJobz

            No, whoreson, it is a sneer at fucking idiots who get all emotional without using their brains – people like you – who are easily fooled by charlatans mouthing words you want to hear.

            Jackass Trump and his foolish supporters will not get any help with jobs because neither Trump nor they know fuck-all about economics or how to foster job creation, or the Constitution, or foreign policy or civics.
            You are beneath contempt, because you’re an emoti-bot jackass tool.

          • Commander_Chico

            Somehow Trump is a billionaire employing thousands of people, while you are in a cubicle wearing kneepads for the boss’s call, even though you know so much more about economics.
            You and your betraying ilk can stay home — Trump will win!!

  • Hank_M

    With the democrats, this was inevitable.
    With the republicans, this never would have happened if they had done what they promised and listened to their supporters, especially the tea party types.
    I’ll enjoy watching the National Review crowds heads exploding when the Donald wins the election.

    • Walter_Cronanty

      True – the R elites brought this on themselves. Unfortunately, we’re all going to share the consequences.

      • Hank_M

        Agreed. But in my opinion, there’s a chance Trump could be an improvement.
        A slight chance. With the typical dem or repub nominee, I’m sure the downward spiral will continue.

        And Trump could and very well may turn out to be a disaster.
        But his very election may cause the republican party to re-evaluate themselves and start listening to and representing it’s voters.

      • Retired military

        Trump is better than Hillary. Trump could make a lot of heads explode in a couple of ways
        1. Name Bernie as has VP – Hillary would have a coronary on the spot.
        2. Float Cruz’s name as SCOTUS nominee. The GOP establishment would lose a big thorn in their side in the Senate and the Tea Party would jump on board.

        In short the only way I see a win for Hillary is her picking McCain as her VP.

        • Vagabond661

          VP Liz Warren. It’s all about setting up 8 years after HRC.

          • Retired military

            Warren is as old or almost as old as Hillary. In 2020 she would be at least 70 and 2024 at least 74.

          • Vagabond661

            How old was Reagan?

  • Commander_Chico

    TRUMP WINS! TRUMP WINS!! TRUMP WINS!!! TRUMP WINS!!!! TRUMP WINS!!!!!

    Chico still predicts that Hillary will be out by November due to FBI/DOJ action on the emails. Most likely they will charge one of her inner circle first and that will force her withdrawal. If not, rebellion among career FBI and DOJ prosecutors will force her out.

    The most political consideration there is delaying action until after all the primaries are done and Bernie is eliminated from first ballot win. When Hillary withdraws, Establishment will rally around Biden.

    Hillary will be easy for Trump to beat, Biden more difficult.

  • Paul Hooson

    Clinton and Trump, an election between two people far more dishonest and cutthroat than Richard Nixon. I dislike both of them so much…

    • Commander_Chico

      Yah but you like Trump more, right?

      • Paul Hooson

        No. I can’t stand either of them. Hillary is less dangerous with foreign policy than Trump, nor has close business ties with organized crime like Trump. But, I sure can’t endorse her. She’s very corrupt and dishonest and way below the minimum ethical standards to be president in my view.

        • MI33O3

          I have close business ties with organized crime too. The IRS. They always look over my books for me without me ever asking them. All income, bank statements, large purchases, all electronic bill payments, they know it all.

          I can relate in being forced into dealings with bad people.

        • Commander_Chico

          Hillary is less dangerous on foreign policy? Yah she did a great job with Syria , Libya, Ukraine, Egypt, S. China Sea.

  • Paul Hooson

    I hear that both Clinton and Trump are searching for a running mate. Does this mean they’re asking Lucifer if he’s democrat or a republican?

    • pennywit

      Reached in his domain, Lucifer responded, “And I thought I was in Hell before … “

    • Walter_Cronanty

      “Does this mean they’re asking Lucifer if he’s democrat or a republican?”
      No – they’re just trying to figure out what his price is since they both sold their souls long ago.

    • Commander_Chico

      According to Boehner, Cruz is “Lucifer in the flesh.”

      “Lucifer in the flesh,” Boehner told an audience at Stanford on Wednesday night, according to the Stanford Daily. “I have Democrat friends and Republican friends. I get along with almost everyone, but I have never worked with a more miserable son of a bitch in my life.”

      http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/john-beohner-ted-cruz-lucifer-222570

      • High praise, when a Conservative considers the source.

        Boner has said he’d vote for Trump. That’s two deadly endorsements.

        • Commander_Chico

          “Miserable son of a bitch . . .” who comes to mind around here?

          • You and your dependent,

          • Commander_Chico

            I am quite happy, living the dream.

  • Wild_Willie

    It is disheartening to see my brothers on this blog whining at someone picking up the required delegates to serve. Conservatives have ALWAYS been a supporter of process and listening to the people. I suggest instead of sneering, we support the legally chosen nominee. We need to have been and continue to talk about how bad Clinton is, only. ww

    • Scalia

      Thanks, WW. I don’t think I’ve taken a back seat to anybody here in directing criticism at HRC, and I don’t see that letting up any time soon.

      Trump most definitely deserves the GOP nomination if he has the requisite delegates. I don’t think anybody contests that. The fact that his negatives are in the stratosphere cannot be blamed on the MSM (though there’s plenty to blame them for).Trump is almost completely responsible for every tin can slung around his neck. I do not want to see another Clinton in the White House, but candor requires me to state that I think it’s highly unlikely Trump will win. Even if he manages to win, I think conservatives who support him will end up highly disappointed. His track record says it all.

      As of now, I cannot in good conscience pull the lever for a guy who’s done a 180 on major issues and who continues to support things antithetical to conservatism. Based on all the data we now have, I have little to no confidence Trump can effectively deliver on his rhetoric. The only thing that’s slightly in his favor (again, not much to go on) is the Supreme Court. It is critical that conservatives maintain a majority on the court. We know what we’ll get with HRC, and we don’t know what we’ll get with Trump. That makes voting for him better, I guess—if you like long shots.

      • Wild_Willie

        Not voting is electing Hillary. I am not a pro Hillary person and think she would be worse.

        GWB the last two years of his presidency and the republican majority has done so much to disillusion this conservative. They eagerly folded tent and played the pol game. Sickening. I don’t know if Trump is that person, but we sure do need someone with balls. We can’t sink further. ww

        • Paul Hooson

          Trump’s foreign policy is both clueless and reckless. His attempt to explain his foreign policy was indeed laughable today. We don’t need to see some Trump war of words with Russia that could result in a war.

      • Hank_M

        If you don’t mind my asking…..what is conservatism in 2016?
        According to the Republican party, open borders, rampant spending, tax cuts and never defending conservative positions?

        • Scalia

          I hear you, Hank, and I acknowledge the frustration. I just think that with Trump, we’re being sold another bill of goods. His temperament alone is ghastly. I sincerely hope I’m wrong about him.

          • Retired military

            I remember watching Davey Crockett as a boy. Especially the part about him being elected to Congress. He was uncouth, unmannered and noncivilized. Yet he was a better man then most of the rest of Congress.

          • Scalia

            I truly hope you’re right, RM.

          • Paul Hooson

            Davy Crockett didn’t have close business dealings with organized crime since the 1980’s like Trump. Trump even had a convicted Russian gangster as an economic advisor, but then Trump lied and claimed not to know him despite photos of them together and many meetings. The only question with Trump is which organized crime families or personalities will be rewarded with government contracts or appointed to positions of power. Trump is the American version of Vladimir Putin…

          • Walter_Cronanty

            I knew Davey Crockett, and Donald Trump is no Davey Crockett.

          • Paul Hooson

            With Trump, what you see is what you. He’s just as reckless and outrageous as he seems. He reminds me of being as far “out there” as that late crack smoking mayor of Toronto, Rob Ford.

        • Commander_Chico

          You left out more war.

          • Hank_M

            I was tempted to include that.

          • Wild_Willie

            Bottom line, the process is the process. Why are you mostly against it? Paul, you are liberal. You’re input on Trump is cloudy with no back up. Trump is wild, but who is he beholden to? Cruz is part of the problem and I’m a Texan. He has just as much leadership experience as Obama. I think it is time to mix it up. No better time. Hillary is a wounded animal and is only barely holding on. ww

          • Paul Hooson

            I tend to agree with conservative positions that high taxes hurt business investment, defense needs to be strong, I support gun rights and consider myself prolife, but I’m liberal only on social issues such as oppose undue regulation of adult entertainment and support civil rights and civil liberties.

  • MI33O3

    The country needs a divorce.

  • Commander_Chico

    What is up with this shady shit between Cruz and Fiorina?

    Drudge was highlighting this article by Dan Abrams, describing how Cruz’s PAC gave $500,000 to Carly’s PAC before she dropped out.
    http://lawnewz.com/uncategorized/mysterious-case-of-ted-cruz-pacs-half-million-donation-to-help-carly-fiorina/

    Why would one candidate give half a million dollars to a competing candidate?

    Now he’s picked the Harridan of HP as his running mate. WTF?

    • Paul Hooson

      Carly’s campaign was probably in debt, but possibly by forming a ticket, this payoff to get one campaign out of debt by another might possibly be legal. This is great information, Chico.

  • pennywit

    Today, what is conservative? What is liberal? And can we reorganize so the two sides can at least marginally work together?

  • Brian Brandt

    Heavy discussion. On a slightly lighter note . . .

    Looking at the accompanying picture, it seems like Bill is trying to glom onto Melania.

    Old habits die hard.