Read the MysteryPoller as to why you shouldn't place any stock in the early exit polls. That said... Kerry supporters here's the message you should take from the numbers: No need to show up; your vote isn't needed.
Read Paul's post below as well...
Update: Jonah Goldberg has the following:
I'm being told that those Wonkette numbers are absolutely, positively not exit poll numbers. They might be results of early voting "exit" polls (i.e. votes cast over the last two weeks), but they do not track at all the exits for votes cast today. That said, I'm told the exits don't look great for Bush either. Of course, that changes none of the caveats about exit polls already posted below.If you must know what they are, here are the alleged numbers, via Daily Kos and MyDD...
AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
Update 2: These numbers have pretty well been debunked as either heavily slanted towards female voters or just plain fiction. Check The Corner for more real time updates. Drudge is reporting 1% spreads in the battleground states. All numbers except counted votes should be viewed as highly suspect!
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Comments (6)
Amazingly so...the Dow drop... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Steve | November 2, 2004 3:23 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Amazingly so...the Dow dropped high from high 70's to negative on this news....who do you think the market wants to win!!!!!!!!!!
1. Posted by Steve | November 2, 2004 3:23 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 15:23
2. Posted by JohnL | November 2, 2004 4:08 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Those numbers are from VNS, the organization that screwed up Florida's early results 4 years ago. We shouldn't be dignifying them with a posting, as they are about as reliable as Dan Rather's memos.
2. Posted by JohnL | November 2, 2004 4:08 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 16:08
3. Posted by Ryan Frank | November 2, 2004 4:10 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Uh... PA with a 20 point kerry lead, that ALONE should tell you that something aint kosher with these numbers
3. Posted by Ryan Frank | November 2, 2004 4:10 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 16:10
4. Posted by Jim | November 2, 2004 4:11 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I believe the MSM will do something during the course of the day with phony exit polls in order to help their boy John Kerry. The idea is to get GOP voters to believe they're defeated. Besides, who's voting during the day? Unemployed, welfare recipients, retired folks worried that Bush is going to take away their social security, rabid moonbats, Kool Aiders and miscellaneous wackjobs. In the evening is when you get votes cast by people who actually have to work for a living.
4. Posted by Jim | November 2, 2004 4:11 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 16:11
5. Posted by Hunter | November 2, 2004 4:18 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
- We all repeat the same time honored saws in each new election cycle. Namely that polls are awash with enumerable deficiencies. But we follow them anyway. Why...Because it gives us something to do other than scratching our butts while we wait for the true vote count to run, skip, hurl, stagger, limp, crawl across the finish line.
- America is big. That cause's the two most mentioned annoyances of polling. The time difference voting overlap, and the "exit" poll that may cause some of the late voters to blow it off thinking it won't matter. This time around, since the country is so divided and emotionally involved, with a war looming over the festivities, both of those aspects should be less important than usual...
- Generally speaking a high voter turnout is thought to favor the Dem nominee. In this case it might be just the opposite because of the other factors. Either way, its the vote and EC in the end that really matters....
5. Posted by Hunter | November 2, 2004 4:18 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 16:18
6. Posted by Jim | November 2, 2004 6:05 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Hunter, LMAO. You're right. I'd be scratching my butt right now if it wasn't for WizBang.
6. Posted by Jim | November 2, 2004 6:05 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 2, 2004 18:05