Dan Rather came out swinging tonight but so far he was just shadow boxing. To defend his story, he made 4 arguments.
#1) You could find th's in other documents. Fair enough. (or not, see 'more' below.) What about the other 300 anomalies Dan?
#2) We learned the name of their forensics guy... (I'll save you the trouble and set up the search) Marcel Manley
My mini google tells me the guy is not that impressive. He has a few self-published books that I found. Mostly he is a "handwriting expert," he has no apparent skills at looking at the rest of the document. Certainly not the resume' that Bill at INDC Journal's guy had. (He also seems more at home with the legalities of being an expert witness than being a forensics guy.)
I also found he apparently is behind the story that Kurt Cobain's suicide note was bogus and he was really murdered. I'm speaking before I google enough but the guy seems like wingnut. (more later) Update: The guy who wrote the web page was a wingnut. No reflection on Matley.
Anyway the Forensics guy said (in a nut shell) that since the signatures match (which they don't to my layman's eye) the whole document is legit. Because obviously nobody would scan a signature and paste it into Word... No, never.
Prediction: CBS is going to get nailed on this guy... wait for it.
#3) Some guy -name not important- that said the documents were legitimate because everyone knew Bush sucked. (no joke)
#4) Some other guy -who has written multiple books bashing Bush- said the documents were legitimate because everyone knew Bush sucked. (No, I'm not making this up.)
Then Dan Rather said that we know the documents are real because well-- Bush sucked. (Update 4)
Basically, CBS is making the case that since the content of the documents is true, the documents are legit. And we know the content is true because we have these documents to prove it. (an odd form of recursion)
The other humorous bit of defense is when Rather made the case that the blogosphere is way off base because the copies we got have been copied, faxed and recopied and some of them have been (gasp) downloaded. Completely ignoring that we all got the doc right from their web site. We are looking at a scan of what they have. 1 scan does not lose that much quality. All in all, that line was just laughable.
More as I google.
One more comment - To distill the above, their whole argument was that the signatures matched. The rest was fluff.
UPDATE: hmmm This is interesting... Seems Matley vouched for the authenticity of the Vince Foster suicide note.
UPDATE 2: ZERO (none, nada, zip) evidence this guy was in any way qualified to vouch for the authenticity of these documents. NONE. He is a handwriting guy who makes the case the signatures match. (they can be scanned) His only claim to fame is that he is a librarian. Google can find nothing this guy has ever done with anything other than handwriting. Bill at INDC spanked CBS.
Bottom line... CBS's document expert ain't.
UPDATE 3: I forgot to note that the defense of the documents came after Rather bashed Bush for a while... I know you're surprised.
UPDATE 4: I kinda made a joke about everyone saying "Bush sucked" but from an evidentiary point of view that is what they offered. They said the documents must be legit because everyone knew this is what happened. Since the contents were true, the docs were, by definition, not forgeries. It really was rather odd. (oh heck, that pun wasn't intended but I'll take it) Only the mentally lame will accept this argument. (Apologies in advance to the usual suspects)
UPDATE 5: I forgot to mention, Rather looked and sounded very stressed... Like he knew we were listening to his every word..... Because we were. Muhaahaha
UPDATE 6: RTFC Read the freaking comments. I type slow. Many good points and links in comments - many I meant to get to. (thanks guys)
UPDATE 7: If you missed the broadcast you can catch it here.
UPDATE 8: Here is Matley's CV Not very impressive. Lots of padding if you read it.
More: defeatjohnjohn.com Fisks the hell out of the superscript thing. Nailed.
Comments (55)
Somehow I wouldnt be surpri... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Red Meat Daddy | September 10, 2004 7:25 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Somehow I wouldnt be surprised if there wasnt a mea culpa by CBS sometime over the weekend. That way Dan wont have to eat crow.
1. Posted by Red Meat Daddy | September 10, 2004 7:25 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:25
2. Posted by Red Meat Daddy | September 10, 2004 7:38 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Interesting, NBC had them analyzed by a forensic expert, his conclusion/ Most likely created with a modern word processing program.
2. Posted by Red Meat Daddy | September 10, 2004 7:38 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:38
3. Posted by Sean | September 10, 2004 7:45 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Even CNN ran a story citing an expert who says these documents are fakes. CNN! Rather is treading water hoping that something big is going to happen over the weekend to distract everyone from this story.
3. Posted by Sean | September 10, 2004 7:45 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:45
4. Posted by Joey | September 10, 2004 7:46 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
You get what you pay for!
4. Posted by Joey | September 10, 2004 7:46 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:46
5. Posted by Headzero | September 10, 2004 7:47 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I thiink at this time we need to start taking up collections for Mr. Rather - it would seem that the only way out of the hole he is in is to get a bigger shovel.
5. Posted by Headzero | September 10, 2004 7:47 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:47
6. Posted by Jim | September 10, 2004 7:51 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Look further in the Kurt Cobain article -- he was actually part of the Vince Foster commission.
I smell Clintonites at work!
6. Posted by Jim | September 10, 2004 7:51 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:51
7. Posted by murdoc | September 10, 2004 7:52 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Screenshot of what Dan calls "the same superscript" on my site:
http://www.murdoconline.net/archives/001564.html
7. Posted by murdoc | September 10, 2004 7:52 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:52
8. Posted by mr lawson | September 10, 2004 7:59 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Not to mention...this guy is from San Francisco. Could'nt they find anybody in NY?
8. Posted by mr lawson | September 10, 2004 7:59 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 19:59
9. Posted by Sonar5 | September 10, 2004 8:01 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Ok here is my little homework I did from the USA Today docs and the CBS docs with Killians signature attached....
Doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure out which ones are forged, and which are real.....
Of course when you are a partisan hack like Rather, McCauliffe, Harkin, and their morons minions, any lie will do..
enjoy....
Feel free to pass this around....
Signatures Captured and reviewed from:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/2004-02-14-bush-docs.htm
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/09/08/60II/main641984.shtml
If you have more let me know, and I will add them to the list with dates....
Regards,
Joe
View my Signature comparisons here:
http://www.aboutpolitics.net/images/killian.jpg
9. Posted by Sonar5 | September 10, 2004 8:01 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:01
10. Posted by PapayaSF | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
CBS's expert verified the Vince Foster suicide note?? Ooooh, boy, that fact alone guarantees that the conspiracy types are going to go to town on this!
10. Posted by PapayaSF | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:03
11. Posted by Greg | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Somebody posted in the comments at Polipundit that the segment with CBS' 'expert' was taped a few days ago. Makes you wonder what they were expecting?
11. Posted by Greg | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:03
12. Posted by ALD | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
You could find th's in other documents. Fair enough...
Is it? I've seen pretty convincing arguments on other sites that either the other th's may have been forged, or else came from completely different sources where their typewriters would be expected to have that superscript feature.
12. Posted by ALD | September 10, 2004 8:03 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:03
13. Posted by Half Canadian | September 10, 2004 8:04 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Why was Rather doing a news story about the possibility that they were forgeries? How is he supposed to be impartial about that?
This is a travesty. It was unprofessional of CBS to allow Rather to do this story because the outcome of it effects him. He cannot be impartial to it, and should have been taken off of the story.
CBS could have done a lot to revive its credibility by assigning a different reporter on this.
13. Posted by Half Canadian | September 10, 2004 8:04 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:04
14. Posted by Jeff | September 10, 2004 8:14 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
CV for Marcel Matley, found in a collection of documents related to discussion of Vince Foster's suicide note.
http://nick.assumption.edu/WebVAX/Foster/matley.html
14. Posted by Jeff | September 10, 2004 8:14 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:14
15. Posted by Gator | September 10, 2004 8:15 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
So this guy seems to be an expert in verifying dead people's signatures...
15. Posted by Gator | September 10, 2004 8:15 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:15
16. Posted by Doug | September 10, 2004 8:20 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
This link, via Free Republic
http://sja.ucdavis.edu/SCC/scc001.htm
------ Begin quoting:
The committee also has questions regarding the relevance of Mr. Matley's expertise on our proceedings. Why, for instance, would a handwriting expert have more to say on this matter than, say, a forensic document examiner; an expert on paper composition, photocopying processes, or ink chemicals; or simply a statistician? How are we to weigh testimony of a "handwriting expert" in assessing the evidence of violation or innocence? Is a handwriting expert the most relevant authority for assessing the physical and probable elements associated with adjudicating this matter.
----- End quoting
Guy appears to be handwriting analyst only.
16. Posted by Doug | September 10, 2004 8:20 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:20
17. Posted by Igoramus | September 10, 2004 8:33 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
When did CBS get handwriting expert Marcel Manley to authenticate the document??
Was it after they aired the hit peice or before??
17. Posted by Igoramus | September 10, 2004 8:33 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:33
18. Posted by David C | September 10, 2004 8:34 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Note that Matley doesn't appear to comment on anything other than the signature, and on that, he's fairly careful: "I would say based on our available handwriting evidence, yes. this is the same person."
And the available evidence sucks, because it's a photocopy, but based on that, OK.
I'm not sure he was evene *asked* about any other aspect of the documents, based on this. So CBS' self defense in this, as in everything else, is accurate (they stand by their expert, who only looked at the signatures, and with poor evidence. but who made apparently reasonable conclusions given that), but woefully incomplete (doesn't address dozens and dozens of *other* points.)
Really embarrassing, the way they're cherry-picking isolated arguments to use and knock down as straw men, but not addressing the whole.
Fun thought exercise: can you imagine how this would go down if the organization in question was something other than CBS, and Mike Wallace in his prime was investigating it for "60 Minutes?" Do you think Wallace would say "Ah, case closed. We've got no story to cover here?"
18. Posted by David C | September 10, 2004 8:34 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:34
19. Posted by MJ | September 10, 2004 8:38 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Rather mentioned that Times New Roman has been around since the 1930's. True, but I'll bet it was as a font for linotype machines and not for typewriters. In other words, he failed to create a preponderance of evidence to support his case. The existence of the type means little if it didn't exist on typewriters...
Here's a link to the history of Times New Roman: http://www.linotype.com/7-510-7/stanleymorison.html
Created by Stanley Morison
Stanley Morison – born 6. 5. 1889 in Wanstead, England, died 11. 10. 1967 in London, England – typographer, type designer.
....From 1923 onwards: book artist. Designs covers for the Victor Gollancz publishing house. 1924–30: works for Cambridge University Press. 1929–60: typography consultant to "The Times" daily newspaper. On 3 October 1932 the first issue of "The Times™" set in Morison’s new typeface, Times New Roman™, is printed...
Fonts: Times™ (1931), Times™ Ten (1931), Times™ Eighteen (1931), Times™ Central European (1931), Times New Roman™ (1932, with Victor Lardent).
Some typewriter historian ought to be able to answer whether there were fonts other than Courier, Pica, Oratorand Elite in use in 1972 on typewriters and whether that list of fonts included Times New Roman.
19. Posted by MJ | September 10, 2004 8:38 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:38
20. Posted by OliR | September 10, 2004 8:39 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Marcel Manley is also a hypocrite. CBS's "memos" were copies but in 2001, Manley wrote an essay saying that one could never authenticate a document based on a copy.
See http://ratherbiased.com/news/content/view/215/2
20. Posted by OliR | September 10, 2004 8:39 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:39
21. Posted by Oscar | September 10, 2004 8:40 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
David C - sure Wallace would have passed just as he did whenever it was pointed out that some persecuted and tormented Viet Nam vet had NEVER been in the military.
21. Posted by Oscar | September 10, 2004 8:40 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:40
22. Posted by OliR | September 10, 2004 8:41 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Marcel Manley is also a hypocrite. CBS's "memos" were copies but in 2001, Manley wrote an essay saying that one could never authenticate a document based on a copy.
See http://ratherbiased.com/news/content/view/215/2
22. Posted by OliR | September 10, 2004 8:41 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:41
23. Posted by David C | September 10, 2004 8:50 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Oscar,
Not familiar with the specific story you're referring to, but I take your general point, that Mike Wallace has not always been a paragon of unbiased journalism himself. So to rephrase, imagine that CBS was an organization that Wallace wanted to "get," and what the "60 Minutes" coverage of the people trying to defend a forged document would be like....
23. Posted by David C | September 10, 2004 8:50 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:50
24. Posted by Sofia | September 10, 2004 8:58 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Go to FreeRepublic
NOW!!
"What's the difference between Times Roman and Times New Roman?"
I think they may have something... I´m not an expert.
24. Posted by Sofia | September 10, 2004 8:58 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 20:58
25. Posted by Mrs. Davis | September 10, 2004 9:06 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Seems to me Rather and CBS made a tactical error in airing this on a Friday. Thanks to their attention, the issue has now risen to the top of the list, or at least top current controversy after the obligatory 9/11 anniversary segment, for the Sunday talk shows unless violence breaks out somewhere. And, by doing such a poor job of presenting the case against the memos, he almost forces those shows to present the other side fully and properly. In addition the Blogosphere gets a 36 hour window to research and prepare. If he had laid low, the top story would have been the Chechen hostage massacre. They could have presented Monday, if necessary, taken time to do a more careful refutation and gotten into the 24 hour news cycle they can manage better. The haste of the response as well as Rather's comportment indicate a bit of panic at Blackrock.
25. Posted by Mrs. Davis | September 10, 2004 9:06 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 21:06
26. Posted by Steve Cormier | September 10, 2004 9:09 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Why do I have this image of Saruman up in the tower surrounded by his ruined kingdom, perhaps with bloggers hanging out below smoking some Long-Bottom leaf and laughing.
26. Posted by Steve Cormier | September 10, 2004 9:09 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 21:09
27. Posted by Igoramus | September 10, 2004 9:11 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
CBS are going to let this guy take the fall for them. I think that it is in Manley's interests answer the following questions...
(a) When did you verify the document?
(b) Did you only verify the signature (which doesn't match), or the whole document?
(c) What areas of document analysis are you an expert in and qualified to verify?
btw Manley's website is http://www.thedocumentexperts.com/
(from Nathanyl at http://idexer.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=782#782)
27. Posted by Igoramus | September 10, 2004 9:11 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 21:11
28. Posted by Steve Cormier | September 10, 2004 9:13 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Mrs Davis--very good point--doesn't this remind you of Kerry's reaction to the Swiftboats? I think it ultimately comes from the Clintonian era of never letting anything go stridently unchallenged, even if you're lying, along with the smear-the-messenger philosophy.
28. Posted by Steve Cormier | September 10, 2004 9:13 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 21:13
29. Posted by Zygote | September 10, 2004 9:14 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I just blogged about this, but found it funny.
If you go to Drudge now, all the CBS links have been switched from his normal font...the replacement -- Times New Roman of course...
29. Posted by Zygote | September 10, 2004 9:14 PM |
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Posted on September 10, 2004 21:14
30. Posted by Greg F | September 10, 2004 9:15 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Handwriting analyst = junk science.
"According to Denbeaux, handwriting analysis by experts suffers in two respects. It has never been subject to meaningful reliability or validity testing, comparing the results of the handwriting examiners' conclusions with actual outcomes. There is no peer review by a"competitive, unbiased community of practitioners and academics." Starzecpyzel, 880 F.Supp. at 1038. To the extent that it has been"generally accepted," it is not by a"financially disinterested independent community, like an academic community," Id.; only other handwriting analysts have weighed in. It has never been shown to be more reliable than the results obtained by lay people. Some tests have been done, but all lacked a control or comparison group of lay persons. Thus, Denbeaux concludes, there is no need for expert testimony on handwriting analysis. Lay people can do as well. In this regard, I accept Denbeaux's testimony, and the article supporting it.
CBS might as well have hired a witch doctor.
30. Posted by Greg F | September 10, 2004 9:15 PM |