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Debate Prediction in a Nutshell

One sentence will sum it up...

"Bush will win tonight, not because he is a skillful debater, but because he will look Presidential and John Kerry won't."


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Comments (26)

Bush will win tonight, n... (Below threshold)
BumperStickerist:

Bush will win tonight, not because he is a skillful debater, but because he will look Presidential and John Kerry won't."

John Kerry will look orange.

ba-dump-bump.....

Agent Orange makes a comeba... (Below threshold)
Mark:

Agent Orange makes a comeback!

Could Bush possibly look pr... (Below threshold)

Could Bush possibly look presidential because he IS our president?

I mean its hard not to when you have that seal on your podium.

This is a great post-debate... (Below threshold)
Jake:

This is a great post-debate recap...in advance:

The Dems think Kerry won.
The Repubs think Bush won.
Old media agrees with the Dems.
Talk-radio agrees with the Repubs.
The pajama-wearing ankle-biters are divided over who won, but really defend their positions well.
Michael Moore is a jackass.

http://www.buzzmachine.com/archives/2004_09_30.html#008085

This is a great post-debate... (Below threshold)
Jake:

This is a great post-debate recap...in advance:

The Dems think Kerry won.
The Repubs think Bush won.
Old media agrees with the Dems.
Talk-radio agrees with the Repubs.
The pajama-wearing ankle-biters are divided over who won, but really defend their positions well.
Michael Moore is a jackass.

http://www.buzzmachine.com/archives/2004_09_30.html#008085

This is a great post-debate... (Below threshold)
Jake:

This is a great post-debate recap...in advance:

The Dems think Kerry won.
The Repubs think Bush won.
Old media agrees with the Dems.
Talk-radio agrees with the Repubs.
The pajama-wearing ankle-biters are divided over who won, but really defend their positions well.
Michael Moore is a jackass.

http://www.buzzmachine.com/archives/2004_09_30.html#008085

Sorry for the multi-post. I... (Below threshold)
Jake:

Sorry for the multi-post. I was getting errors saying the comments weren't posting!

Once Mr. Bush briskly walks... (Below threshold)
Shivas Irons:

Once Mr. Bush briskly walks out and stands behind podium he should nod to Mr. Kerry and say, "I'm leaving you the entire stage to explain your positions. My friends in jammies have my back. Watch your step. And America, listen hard. Good night."

Yes but don't misunderes... (Below threshold)
patrick:

Yes but don't misunderestimate Kerry, Bush may look presidential but he will still have to speak

misunderestimate?K... (Below threshold)

misunderestimate?

Kind of like unloosening? [grin]

President Bush used this wo... (Below threshold)
patrick:

President Bush used this word while talking about the war on terror check the web there are lots of other examples

Shivas -No can do.</... (Below threshold)
floyd:

Shivas -
No can do.

The Republican negotiators didn't want to take a chance on Kerry asking Bush a direct question so when they negotiated the rules, they put in one that said the candidates can't directly address one another.

Patrick - is that like a <i... (Below threshold)
OneDrummer:

Patrick - is that like a misleadisment?

That's all right Jake- It w... (Below threshold)
Paul:

That's all right Jake- It was funny enough to say 3 times.

BTW all- Remember these words... "Kerry came off as..."

"ankle biters"?!?!... (Below threshold)
-S-:

"ankle biters"?!?!

I thought us pajama-cladders were pond scum. NOW we're ankle biters. It's a strange world, donchyaknow, a strange world.

But, Michael Moore IS a jac... (Below threshold)
-S-:

But, Michael Moore IS a jack-ass. I'd like to be the first to declare that before the debates.

I was just reading NPR and, well, they're jackasses too.

err, that'd be the SECOND t... (Below threshold)
-S-:

err, that'd be the SECOND to declare that...

well, the new people in Ker... (Below threshold)
firstbrokenangel:

well, the new people in Kerry's campaign, especially the one that's just to "discipline" him, will make him look Presidential, just like they have been since they came on board since the guy was really messing up. So it doesn't come down to looks. It comes down to "record." And Bush has the "record" whether we agree with his going to war or not - and mind you, Congress had to approve that - a president can only do what Congress will let him do. He'll win because he's the right guy for the job, not Kerry. Even the soldiers in Iraq do not want Kerry in office - read the milblogs to see that what I'm saying is true.

They cannot speak to one another and as much as I hate Kerry and his monotone voice with the I, I, I, I, but no how, why, when, where or what.. I guess I'll have to watch it. YUCK
~Cindy

PS where is Jay?

As horrible of a speaker as... (Below threshold)
Roger:

As horrible of a speaker as Bush is, Kerry won't stand a chance. And, quite frankly, it sucks. Bush has done absolutely NOTHING to help this country during his 4 years in office. We are fighting a war that can not be won. We are spending BILLIONS of dollars to rebuild a worthless piece of shit country. We have lost the respect of almost every other country in the world because of him. He has neglected every American citizen in this country. Bottom line....he's a complete tool. The thing that really sucks for us Dems is that Kerry probably isn't the greatest choice either. But we will have to just take our chances. Hopefully Kerry will win because of some freakish "do-over" like Bush did in 2000.

Let Jay do the debate tonig... (Below threshold)
firstbrokenangel:

Let Jay do the debate tonight - like the conventions, he puts a funny front on everything.
~C

Wow, Roger. Way to parrot ... (Below threshold)
Sean:

Wow, Roger. Way to parrot the DNC talking points. I realize you blame Bush for "losing" jobs on his watch. The fact is the internet bubble burst and 9/11 happened. Despite all that he was able to prevent a major recession by spurring the economy on with tax cuts.

He is successfully prosecuting the war in Iraq, Afghanistan is heading for elections with 10 million registered voters - 1/3 of which are women. Pretty good for a country where women once couldn't leave home without a male escort.

As for the "rest of the world" - scew 'em. Our true allies have stood by us in this most dangerous of times. Let the countries that are ruled by pettiness and jealousy fend for themselves. They all are glad to take hand-outs and live under the blanket of freedom provided by the U.S.A., but when it comes time to help us with our own security needs they all decide they're uncomfortable with a U.S. show of force. Tough turds. We're here to stay. That's something that the terrorists are learning all to well lately.

Roger - good to see that yo... (Below threshold)
OneDrummer:

Roger - good to see that you had plenty of refreshing Kool-Aid for your mid-afternoon snack today. Did they give you a good nap after lunch?

Lovely blanket statements that are not based in any facts. Why are you so worried about the loss of respect from other countries? Poor self-esteem perhaps? Then you call Iraq (and its inhabitants) as a worthless piece of shit country? I see why you libs don't enjoy helping humans in Rwanda, Sudan and elsewhere....

Roger:You ~may be~... (Below threshold)
-S-:

Roger:

You ~may be~ interested in this audio file, since you seem to think that the people from the future (um, sorry, that'd be Bush and Republicans) took yerjaaaeebbs:

SouthPark, Epsiode 806, "They took our jobs!"

Scroll...I know it's work, but scroll.

I can't bring myself to wat... (Below threshold)
Jim:

I can't bring myself to watch the debate tonight. It's difficult to watch the talking heads pontificate on how well Kerry did and how they were disappointed in Bush. Besides, Kerry voice -- like a prophet calling out to the ignorant masses -- grates on me. If the guy ever got into the White House, I'd have to stop watching the news as I don't have to hear his voice. It's like chalk on a blackboard. I hope Paul is right, though. I hope Bush does well.

I wonder if Kerry will brin... (Below threshold)
floyd:

I wonder if Kerry will bring up this study:

http://www.pipa.org/OnlineReports/Pres_Election_04/html/new_9_29_04.html

They say that on some major foreign policy positions, as many as 84% of Bush supporters believe he (Bush) supports positions that he actually opposes.

Talk about informed electorate. Then again, they may not care as long as they think he can keep Osama from flying a plane into their houses.

Well, I don't know, floyd, ... (Below threshold)
-S-:

Well, I don't know, floyd, but I looked over the "results" at that link...an Advisor from Brookings, included (something I take pause about, just saying)...and, from my own experience, no one questioned me, a Bush supporter who does not misunderstand Bush's positions on those issues that are cited as being most majorially misunderstood by Bush supporters about Bush's position on those issues (point is, I don't and I'm among Bush supporters, and that no one questioned ME).

I always wonder who are the individuals questioned in these studies, and HOW they were questioned. You can pose questions in such a fashion as to establish an opinion that is desirable to your desired outcome (nothing new there) and, I mention that here only because those numbers are very, very high -- much higher than a normal variance of populations -- and I'd be willing to bet that there was a lot of discomfort, to one degree or another, among those questioned.

Or at least, that those questioned have distinguishing characteristics that separate them from some standard of "average Republican voter". Just because the stats are so high, which indicates some problem with the method of polling itself.




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