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The Smoking Gun in Wash State Gov Election?

Stefan Sharkansky has been doing yeoman's work over at soundpolitics.com on the Washington state governor's race. He's found some goodies:

I found a specific case of ballotless voters. Three precincts that share a polling place in Issaquah [2602, 3464 and "Gilman"] where the total number of voting voters noticeably exceeds the number of ballots counted. Unlike some of the similar discrepancies I found with polling place ballots, this one can't be explained by adjusting with other precincts from the same polling location.

The only possible explanations that I can imagine: (1) A number of voters were erroneously recorded as having voted when they didn't vote. (2) ballots disappeared and weren't counted. (3) ballots were mixed up in the counting center and placed with other precincts. (4) The ballot counts are bogus. I suspect we'll never know the answer.

He explains in greater detail in this post

The Smoking Gun

As I noted briefly this afternoon, I've found some discrepancies that are in some ways more serious and unexplainable than the ones I reported last night here. I consider this to be a smoking gun -- not for fraud -- but for data that is hopelessly irreconcilable and worthless for ascertaining the outcome of this election.

There are three precincts in Issaquah that together have more people who voted than there are ballots that can be located. In other words, either some voters' ballots disappeared, or people who didn't cast ballots made it onto the list of people who did. Neither is acceptable, but I suppose the former is more likely to have happened than the latter.

Elections are weird things. Local races can appear to confuse the vote from a larger race and cities, counties and states often have developed weird -but usually accurate- ways of counting votes.

Recall that after the Ohio count, many people (*cough Ketih Oberman cough*) thought the numbers did not add up but after it was explained how the local officials counted the ballots, the critics realized they were jumping to a false conclusion. (well most of them did anyway)

I have not taken the mountain of time required to double check Stefan's work but on the surface at least, it looks like he is on to something. The Seattle Times seems to think so too.

Give it a look, there is a lot of data, but certainly worth skim reading no matter where you live.


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Comments (4)

The attitude of the Washing... (Below threshold)
Steve L.:

The attitude of the Washington officials seems to be, "Well, there may be problems, but we are tired of dealing with this." Of course, the MSM would be all over it if the Republican had won. They would have accused the Secretary of State of partisanship in certifying a clearly f***ed up election.

Washington State needs to c... (Below threshold)
-S-:

Washington State needs to conduct a new election, and do things differently the second time.

I realize that it's costly to citizens, but in the long run, you'd think that that key point would be motivation alone, given that the resulting faulty and suspicious process that they now have recently completed appears to have cost them far more, and probably will in the future and over time.

This reminds me of a person who thinks that they can't afford to sew up a wound and so they wrap it up. Weeks later, gangrene, loss of limb and often even worse...

Meaning, you have to treat the most egregious of the problem, the most harmful thing, and that, in the case of Washington State (and other places when similar occurs) seems to be their partisan hacks hacking and/or some incredibly inept balloting processes.

Even if no one exercised BAD INTENTIONS in this balloting process, there's reason enough -- a lot of it -- in Washington State to suggest that what they've now got is AN INNACURATE RESULT. No one will ever be satisfied as long as these mistakes and discrepancies are apparent -- much less those that haven't been made public -- and neither candidate should be at all pleased or accepting of what's resulted.

The Democrats, who say they've "won" by this questionable process, I mean, it's just shameful that they'd even consider what's taken place as a "win" and instead, might show true leadership and agree to a new election.

The two party's should agree before hand on the rules and then stick with them. Meaning, accept the results afterward, whatever they are but hold a fresh election with some modified conditions that repair the questionable registrations and ballots.

- One of the differences is... (Below threshold)

- One of the differences is the winning margin is 132 votes whereas in Ohio it was 130,000 plus...Only way out of this mess is to write out the rules ahead of time...get signitory agreement from both sides and hold a revote....

- In San Diego we have just the oppisite, a failed Republican admin who have "gamed" a win over the Environmentalist candidate... but its still pending....

Why don't they juwt have an... (Below threshold)
firstbrokenangel:

Why don't they juwt have another election?

Cindy




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