I've been pretty hard on the "proportionality" argument as to why Israel should ease up on Hezbollah in the current fighting taking place in Lebanon. But of late I've been reconsidering my position, and I find myself wondering if Israel's response is indeed out of proportion to the attacks.
The key word here is "proportional." It can mean "roughly equal," but it can also mean "roughly equal when adjusted for scale." Blueprints and models are often proportional; they are identical to the depicted item in question, but reduced in scale.
There is no equivalence in military power between Hezbollah and Israel. In fact, Hezbollah tends to keep its power secret, so it's hard to determine just how much more powerful Israel is than Hezbollah, so no ready scale lends itself.
A better way might be in measuring potential versus applied power in this situation. Just how hard is each side trying? How much of their total might are they dedicating to the fight?
In Israel's case, it's simple: they are holding back. They have a lot more bombs, tanks, missiles, soldiers, and whatnot than they are using in southern Lebanon. Some are tied up fighting in the Gaza Strip, and many more are being held in reserve. They are restraining themselves from waging a total war.
For Hezbollah, again it's murky to work out the details. But it seems to me that they're already doing pretty much all they can to fight back.
Hezbollah is fighting its only enemy on its own home turf. (The Lebanese goverment ought to have something to say about Hezbollah having southern Lebanon as "its own home turf," but they haven't made a fuss out of this de facto annexation.) It is in a fight for its very survival (the same place Israel has been in each of its declared wars against its Arab neighbors, ironically enough), with very few options to retreat. Out of necessity, it should be using every available weapon at its disposal, or risk suffering a grave defeat -- or worse.
The fact that they have killed so few Israeli civilians (relatively speaking) is not a testament to their restraint, but Israel's success. They're doing their damndest, and those relatively low numbers are a mark of impotence and shame to them. Nearly every building in Israel has to have a bomb shelter, and they have developed a remarkably successful civil-defense system, with sirens and highly skilled first responders. (Oddly enough, for all the "social services" Hezbollah has allegedly provided in Lebanon, "bomb shelters for when Israel finally hits back at us for all the attacks we make against them" doesn't seem to have been a priority for them.)
Also, the fact that Hezbollah hasn't killed the two soldiers whose kidnapping triggered the latest fighting is no sign of moderation. For one, they know that live soldiers are more valuable hostages than corpses (but they've bargained with dead bodies before, after torturing to death prior prisoners). Secondly, there is no evidence that the two are even still alive -- they've declared them "prisoners of war," but won't let the Red Cross have any contact with them. (Funny how that little war crime, along with the bombardment of civilians, failing to wear distinctive uniforms, and avoiding being among civilians, tends to get brushed under the rug.)
The next time a critic of Israel denounces their response as "disproportionate," ask them to show a single sign that Hezbollah has shown the slightest restraint, the slightest moderation, in their attacks. That Hezbollah has declared certain targets off limits. That it has abided by the accepted standards of warfare. As long as Israel continues to show its own restraint, there is absolutely no cause for criticizing their level of response.
Comments (45)
Hellsballsa has learned muc... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Bob Jones | August 2, 2006 7:59 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Hellsballsa has learned much from Paliwood and Michael Moore in the production of staged videos to mislead the public. Too bad for them that folks are catching on to their tricks.
Israel needs to pound and pound till there is no more terrorist left in Lebanon, and then start on Syria next.
1. Posted by Bob Jones | August 2, 2006 7:59 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 07:59
2. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 8:07 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"proportionality" is strange to me. Does it mean that China can shoot missles at us killing say 230 million of us, and we can only send missiles back killing 230 million or so? This being the case, China is the most powerfull nation in the world. And it also shows, that you need to hit first, cause the other side must use proportionality. Not the attacker.
2. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 8:07 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 08:07
3. Posted by GeminiChuck | August 2, 2006 8:12 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I suspect that Israel isnt even considering 'proportionate'. Unlike what they were able to do in 1967, this time they are taking their time performing surgical strikes and carefully planned insurgencies. Suspect they'll move large forces for short term attacks when ready. Their goal is as close to total elimination of Hezbolo as possible. Just heard that Israel announced they will keep pounding at Hezbollah until an international force can be moved in to control Hezbollah - like that's going to happen any time soon! The great part is that the Hezbollah troops cant run without being gunned down. Hope our military commanders are carefully watching this surgical operation.
3. Posted by GeminiChuck | August 2, 2006 8:12 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 08:12
4. Posted by FreeKeys | August 2, 2006 8:23 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I've got your "DISPROPORTIONATE" right here, enemedia: The Hellsbullies target civilians. Israel does NOT. Period.
4. Posted by FreeKeys | August 2, 2006 8:23 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 08:23
5. Posted by jpm100 | August 2, 2006 8:28 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
A proportionate response is really code for, we expect you to slap Hezbullah around a bit but we don't want you to put them out of business.
5. Posted by jpm100 | August 2, 2006 8:28 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 08:28
6. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 8:44 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
In contrast to the image of Hizbullah frothing at the mouth to destroy Israel, its leader Hassan Nasrallah held off from serious retaliation. For the first day and a half, he limited his strikes to the northern borders areas, which have faced Hizbullah attacks in the past and are well protected. He waited till late on June 13 before turning his guns on Haifa, even though we now know he could have targeted Israel's third largest city from the outset. A small volley of rockets directed at Haifa caused no injuries and looked more like a warning than an escalation.
It was another three days -- days of constant Israeli bombardment of Lebanon, destroying the country and injuring countless civilians -- before Nasrallah hit Haifa again, including a shell that killed eight workers in a railway depot.
No one should have been surprised. Nasrallah was doing exactly what he had threatened to do if Israel refused to negotiate and chose the path of war instead. Although the international media quoted his ominous televised message that 'Haifa is just the beginning�', Nasrallah in fact made his threat conditional on Israel's continuing strikes against Lebanon. In the same speech he warned: " As long as the enemy pursues its aggression without limits and red lines , we will pursue the confrontation without limits and red lines." Well, Israel did, and so now has Nasrallah."
When Israel infiltrated the Gaza border in a brazen raid on June 24th and kidnapped two civilians, did that give the Palestinians the right to do to Israel what Israel is doing to Lebanon? This incursion was the first into Gaza since the implementation of the Israeli Disengagement Plan in September 2005!
Israel kidnaps Palestinians and Lebanese and hold them as "barganing chips" Israel still occupies the Golan Heights in addition to the West Bank.
Israel refuses to hand over the maps of mine fields that continue to kill and cripple civilians in southern Lebanon more than six years after the war supposedly ended.
6. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 8:44 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 08:44
7. Posted by SWteve Crickmore | August 2, 2006 9:09 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
At least,(up until now in this latest conflict) Hezbollah haven't unleashed suicide bombers..We can be grateful for this restraint..Maybe the Hezbollah are aware of growing public opinion against this tactic..Which takes me to the central incoherence of the Republican administration support for the IDF strategy "heavy bombing today for a brighter tommorrow" . Dubya couldn't have said it any better than in his radio address on the weekend "The lack of freedom in that region created conditions where anger and resentment grew, radicalism thrived, and terrorists found willing recruits."Now that Lebanon and Palestine, with Dubya's encouragement have democratically elected governments, they are receiving a lesson in the benefits of having gone to the ballot box....and anger and resentment, spurred by the Israeli bombing is definitely rising, but is not directed at their home governments but at..(you can fill in the blanks)...and the future in the region looks even more that of the black veil...exactly the opposite of what the Administration sought.
7. Posted by SWteve Crickmore | August 2, 2006 9:09 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:09
8. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:17 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
m'kay...Nasrallah is a Prince o' Peace. Check. We just don't understand him. Check. Admirable restraint. Small volley of rockets. Check. Just a warning. Check. Waited a respectful amount of time. Check. He warned Israel. Check. Only retailiated because Israel insisted on continuing attacks. Check. Israel takes hostages. Check. Bargaining chips. Check. Israel won't hand over maps to mine fields. Check.
Nice thinking there, Tom.
8. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:17 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:17
9. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:17 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
m'kay...Nasrallah is a Prince o' Peace. Check. We just don't understand him. Check. Admirable restraint. Small volley of rockets. Check. Just a warning. Check. Waited a respectful amount of time. Check. He warned Israel. Check. Only retailiated because Israel insisted on continuing attacks. Check. Israel takes hostages. Check. Bargaining chips. Check. Israel won't hand over maps to mine fields. Check.
Nice thinking there, Tom.
9. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:17 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:17
10. Posted by CraigC | August 2, 2006 9:21 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
You scared me there for a second.
10. Posted by CraigC | August 2, 2006 9:21 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:21
11. Posted by CraigC | August 2, 2006 9:24 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I meant that Jay scared me for a second at the beginning of the post.
Tom, did your mother have any kids that lived?
11. Posted by CraigC | August 2, 2006 9:24 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:24
12. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:28 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
bobdog, could you make an effort to THINK about what I posted. what the heck was the point of your post? "Check, Check, Check" is this the best reponse you can make?
Israel kidnapped two civilians the day before any Israeli soldiers were taken, you didn't even know about that? The media's non-reporting is all the more amazing since, as mentioned, this incursion was the first into Gaza since the implementation of the Israeli Disengagement Plan in September 2005! If you think Hezbollah 's capturing two Israeli SOLDIERS counts as "starting it" why doesn't Israel's crossing over the border into Gaza and kidnapping two civilians count as "starting it"? since that happened first! And that was much worse than going after a military target.
12. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:28 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:28
13. Posted by Wanderlust | August 2, 2006 9:32 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Tom Murphy, aka 9/11 conspiracy KoolAid drinker, had this to say:
Care to give sources other than your own echo chamber blog, Tommy Boy...?
OT: Meanwhile, the IDF SF incursion into Baalbek and resultant capture of Hezbollah officers is now being called a "kidnapping" (Lebanese media, quoted on Yoni the Blogger's site
Hey, boys, if it's "capture" when you do it, it's "capture" when IDF does it back to you.
Poor islamofascists. Don't they know that Allah never, ever delivers on his promises?
13. Posted by Wanderlust | August 2, 2006 9:32 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:32
14. Posted by Masterblaster | August 2, 2006 9:34 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Another brilliant analysis....if you were a 14 year-old. Jay, just go away.
14. Posted by Masterblaster | August 2, 2006 9:34 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:34
15. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:35 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
CraigC, I am presenting facts and being civil. All you can do is be nasty. Can you dispute a single thing I posted? Why are you so scared of THINKING about what I wrote? The MSM is playing the public for fools, don't get angry at me for what they are doing to you. You might want to check out his video: Lebanon Israel Facts the Media Isn't Telling You
15. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:35 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:35
16. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:37 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Yes, Tom. I did think about your post, for much longer than I should have. You make no sense and I won't waste any more time on you. But thanks for your concern.
16. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 9:37 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:37
17. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:45 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"aka 9/11 conspiracy KoolAid drinker"
Wanderlust, what the heck is with you guys, you throw tantrums when facts are presented to you in a civilized and decent manner.
And how dare you post trash about "aka 9/11 conspiracy KoolAid drinker," I have been working for years to debunk the asinine theories. I would hope you have the decency to retract such an offensive statement. Like I said, I have litteraly been working for years fighting these "inside job" BS theories. Here is my video Facts the "9/11 Skeptics" don't want you to see
You guys are reckless, you don't care about the facts. throwing insults around without having a clue.
17. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 9:45 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:45
18. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 9:56 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Tommy! I seem to remember this threat before from hezbullshi&t. Per http://www.freelebanon.org/articles/a246.htm
Maybe he held off serious retaliation, or he found out how hard it is to shoot when being shot at.
The problem is he had settled into the tit for tat, and Israel said no more. Been happening since at least 2002 as per above article.
18. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 9:56 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 09:56
19. Posted by David Hecht | August 2, 2006 10:03 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"Proportionality", as used in this context, is a technical term referring to the relationship between means and ends, not between the relative power of the combatants.
Thus, what "proportionality" requires here, is that Israel refrain from the wanton and reckless disregard for civilian casualties that Hezbollah and others seem to find perfectly acceptable when they fight Israel.
If anyone is violating the requirements of "proportionality" here, it is the side which, deliberately and with malice, targets civilians *in preference to military targets*.
Hmmm...wonder who *that* might be?
19. Posted by David Hecht | August 2, 2006 10:03 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 10:03
20. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 10:14 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Soldiers are military targets. You can ignore this all you want but that is the case. Hezbollah has publicly stated for months that they wanted the hostages freed that Israel was holding. Hezbollah said they would capture soldiers to make it happen since Israel was refusing. Israel turned around and attacked the Lebanese people, Israel attacked the UN and Israel Bombed the Infrastructure, Relief Trucks and even Ambulances! The rockets you guys are now screaming about were in response to Israel's criminal bombardment of Lebanon. Look at the timeline.
20. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 10:14 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 10:14
21. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 10:23 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Sorry Tom. But in the artlicle I linked earlier
http://www.freelebanon.org/articles/a246.htm
was written in 2002. Not quite sure why you don't consider the rockets then as part of the equation.
Do you believe that if the rockets are shot, and Israel retaliates, then we are not allowed to mention that again.
If my neighbor does something to my property, I'm going to complain to him. Next time to the cops. next, time retaliate.
21. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 10:23 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 10:23
22. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 10:50 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
plainslow,
I was obviously talking about the most recent events but if you want to go back, "Since its withdrawal of occupation forces from southern Lebanon in May 2000, Israel has violated the United Nations-monitored "blue line" on an almost daily basis, according to UN reports. Hizbullah's military doctrine, articulated in the early 1990s, states that it will fire Katyusha rockets into Israel only in response to Israeli attacks on Lebanese civilians or Hizbullah's leadership; this indeed has been the pattern. In the process of its violations, Israel has terrorized the general population, destroyed private property, and killed numerous civilians." - Hizbullah's attacks stem from Israeli incursions into Lebanon By Anders Strindberg
Contrary to the claims made by Israel that they left for good in 2000, they were back to their games in 2001: UN Official Confirms Israeli Violation of Lebanese Territory The U.N. drew the line to authenticate the completeness of Israeli withdrawal from south Lebanon in May 2000.
BUT A senior United Nations official in Beirut on Friday confirmed Israeli violation of the U.N.-drawn Blue Line and the Lebanese territory.
the U.N. peacekeeping force recently observed (see article) the Ghajar village on the eastern side of the Blue Line with helicopters and found that Israeli troops violated the Blue Line and intruded into the Lebanese territory by about 20 meters.
The U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) confirmed on Thursday that Israeli troops have established an observation post, north of the Blue Line, in the village.
Finally, Israel was forced to abandon the plan after the violation was protested by Lebanon and the U.N.
But according to the rules you guys want to play by, Lebanon had the right to bomb the crap out of Israel for violating Lebanese territory. according to the rules you guys want to play by, Lebanon had the right to bomb the crap out of Israel. according to the rules you guys want to play by, Lebanon had the right to kill hundreds of Israeli civilians.
22. Posted by Tom Murphy | August 2, 2006 10:50 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 10:50
23. Posted by SurlyNerd | August 2, 2006 11:33 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Holy anti-semites, Batman! What a piece of crap this article was.
From the credits on the article:
Methinks that ol' Anders is suffering from a touch of something akin to Stockholm Syndrome. Either that or he was a smidge biased before he left or Damascus.
23. Posted by SurlyNerd | August 2, 2006 11:33 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:33
24. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 11:42 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Let me get this thinking straight. Because Israeli's "fighters" wear uniforms that easily identify them as soldiers that makes them legitimate targets, but because Hezbollah doesn't wear any uniforms, none of them are legitimate targets?? Is that really the point Tom is making??
24. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 11:42 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:42
25. Posted by D-Hoggs | August 2, 2006 11:47 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Who cares what kind of point Tom is trying to make, the first thing you see from his "ambulances" link is him and Noam getting cozy. He has zero crediblity.
25. Posted by D-Hoggs | August 2, 2006 11:47 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:47
26. Posted by LoveAmerica Immigrant | August 2, 2006 11:49 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Tom,
You are either naive, willfully ignorant, or a pure propagandist for the most depraved terrorists. I don't know how any objective person can take seriously. the anti-semitic article by Strinberg. So many things wrong with this article.
Just pick one thing obvious for you: Strinberg claimed that Is is a profoundly racist state. Yet there are Arab MPs advocating opposing view in Knesset right now.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/745288.html
Can Jews live safely anywhere in the Arab world now?
Your use of moral equivalency is astoundingly blind to the atrocities committed by the Hez terrorists. Even from your own biased source, the worst Is has committed is to build a security fence 20m across the border! Yet here in 2002, Hez had murdered Is civilians and fired rockets indiscriminately into Is.
http://www.palestinefacts.org/pf_1991to_now_lebanon.php
In March 2002, Hezbollah terrorists used a collapsible ladder to get over the electronic security fence on the Lebanon border without tripping any alarms. They then carried out a murderous shooting attack against motorists near Kibbutz Matzuva in the western Galilee, in which six Israelis were killed and seven wounded.
26. Posted by LoveAmerica Immigrant | August 2, 2006 11:49 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:49
27. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 11:49 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Thank you surlynerd. Nice to know where this stuff is coming from.
Tom
But if Lebanon played by the rules you want them to play by, I don't see how a missle into Israel for this
"The U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) confirmed on Thursday that Israeli troops have established an observation post, north of the Blue Line, in the village.
Finally, Israel was forced to abandon the plan after the violation was protested by Lebanon and the U.N. '
is a proportional response, you want to live by.
Showing Israel's breaking of the rules, then backing off when the Un and rest of the world complains is good. Unlike being told to disarm and building up 13,000 weapons that are of no use militarily other then maybe killing civilians.
27. Posted by plainslow | August 2, 2006 11:49 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:49
28. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 11:51 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
DHoggs,
Oh, I agree that Tom's ramblings can take on a surreal quality. But I was mainly addressing his complaint that no one seems to be THINKING about his posts. Perhaps an illustration of what his points actually were could show him why that is. At least we can hope.
28. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 11:51 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:51
29. Posted by Heralder | August 2, 2006 11:59 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
millco88,
I think the best illustration and reasoning is very few here want to support a terrorist group like Tom does.
At the end of the day, it comes down to Hezbollah being terrorists, murderers if you will. Therefore I really care not a whit if they and Tom feel they are justified in their actions.
Maybe if he thought about his own posts it'd help.
29. Posted by Heralder | August 2, 2006 11:59 AM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 11:59
30. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 12:05 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
http://representativepress.blogspot.com/
Whoa!
30. Posted by bobdog | August 2, 2006 12:05 PM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 12:05
31. Posted by D-Hoggs | August 2, 2006 12:08 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I hear you millco88, I agree with you. I have no idea who Tom is, but in my THINKING about his posts, I clicked on his link, the second I saw his love for Chomsky, he became irrelevant. Best to just not even entertain his ramblings I guess.
31. Posted by D-Hoggs | August 2, 2006 12:08 PM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 12:08
32. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 12:30 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Heralder/DHoggs,
I'm only an infrequent contributor to the comments section on this blog, so I haven't had the experience with Tom that you have. If it's really a waste of time, sorry for that.
32. Posted by millco88 | August 2, 2006 12:30 PM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 12:30
33. Posted by Heralder | August 2, 2006 12:38 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Not at all millco88, I'm not familiar with his posts either.
Come to think of it, I'm pretty infreqeunt contribution-wise as well.
33. Posted by Heralder | August 2, 2006 12:38 PM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 12:38
34. Posted by SCSIwuzzy | August 2, 2006 1:02 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Tom is a Troll, pretending to be Tom Murphy. The real Murphy is too busy spinning conspiracies and felating Noam Chompsky to be found posting on a right of center blog.
34. Posted by SCSIwuzzy | August 2, 2006 1:02 PM |
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Posted on August 2, 2006 13:02