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US Sees Indications that NoKo May Be Preparing a Second Nuke Test

ABC News reports:

ABC News has learned that U.S. spy satellites over North Korea have picked up suspicious vehicle movements near the location of last week's nuclear test.


Officials told ABC News they cannot be sure what North Korea is up to but say it could be preparations for another nuclear test.

For several days, the North Koreans have threatened to conduct another nuclear test.

Just because the first go around fizzled doesn't mean the second one will, if there is a second one.

Greg Tinti:

For the record, I hope North Korea does test another weapon. Not only will another test mean one less nuke in the hands of Kim Jong Il but it will surely piss off the already pissed off Chinese. And the angrier the Chinese are at North Korea, the better since China's the only country that can really put a world of hurt on Kim Jong Il. They're (allegedly) talking about regime change now. Perhaps another test or two would move that discussion in the right direction.

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Comments (6)

Here's hoping for many test... (Below threshold)

Here's hoping for many tests - with no sucesses. He's only got so much fissile material - scattering it throughout molten rock in fizzled tests is as good a way to get rid of it as any...

Wow, NK is really going for... (Below threshold)
914:

Wow, NK is really going for broke now are'nt they. Apparently they feel they have nothing to lose now? lol kimberly, may the people of Korea rise up and do away with you before its too late.

If the reason they had a fi... (Below threshold)
Robin Goodfellow:

If the reason they had a fizzle in the first test was merely poor engineering / design on the device (such as an inadequately symmetric implosion) then I suspect they could come back with a functional, full yield test in a fairly short time frame, maybe even a few weeks. If their problem was bad Plutonium "poisoned" with too much Pu-240 (which is very, very likely for your j-average reactor produced Plutonium), then it would take them a lot longer to fix their device(s), unless they have a different batch of weapons using higher quality Plutonium sitting around.

However, if they happen to have a HEU, gun-assembly weapon from their Uranium enrichment activities, they might be tempted to set that off just to prove they're a member of the club. That would be the best of all possibilities because it would waste their most reliable nuclear weapons materials and systems while not providing data or verification of their Plutonium based designs.

Easiest way to piss off a m... (Below threshold)
Headzero:

Easiest way to piss off a meglomanic - don't congratulate him when he wants it. Mkaes hime reach even higher to get people to notice.

Wastes the plutonium he has and solidifeies the postion against him.

A second test that proves that they have joined the club, preferably in a big way - wasting even that much more - might cause China to do a preemtive strike. They aren't building a fence because there are too many Noko's willing to do the work that Chinese workers are unwilling to do........

I would not simply assume t... (Below threshold)

I would not simply assume that the Chinese are displeased with these developments. I think they're playing a multifaceted game, in which North Korea is a "gambit pawn." For example, they might well propose to rein in the Pyongyang regime, which they have more ability to do without war than any other interested party, if only the U.S. will withdraw its support of Taiwan's self-defense efforts.

When it comes to international dealings, American horizons are often tragically limited. Not so the Communists -- and especially not so the Chinese. They think in decades, if not centuries.

North Korea is like having ... (Below threshold)
hermie:

North Korea is like having a rabid dog on your neighbor's property. Are you content to let others worry about the dog while you go on your merry way, or do you worry the dog may get loose and attack you?

China has a mad dog next to them. Time for them to put the dog down, or at least help put him down.




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