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2006 Virginia Senate Race

A SurveyUSA poll just released shows Jim Webb leading George Allen 52% to 44%. This poll is causing a great deal of consternation among Republicans, but I caution pause.

The poll shows President Bush has a 38% job approval rating in Virginia. If President Bush is at 38% in Virginia, he is running below that nationally. No poll that I have seen indicates this to be the case.


Comments (40)

but I caution pause.... (Below threshold)
astigafa:

but I caution pause.

You what?

"No poll that I have seen i... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

"No poll that I have seen indicates this to be the case."


WASHINGTON (CNN) -- President Bush's popularity has dipped to 35 percent, according to a new CNN poll, with 41 percent of likely voters saying their disapproval of his performance will affect their vote in Tuesday's elections for control of Congress.

Come in off the ledge:... (Below threshold)
hellbelly:

Come in off the ledge:

Internals on SurveyUSA - 35% Republicans; 38% Democrats 24% Independent.....big swing in weightings away from republicans since last survey. For whatever reason.

Generally speaking, weekend... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

Generally speaking, weekend polls are unreliable. People are out at activities or are traveling. Don't put much stock in any of these weekend polls with the possible exception of polls that continue previous trends (CNN poll continues trend).

"...big swing in weighti... (Below threshold)
Lee:

"...big swing in weightings away from republicans..."

So more people are changing their self-identified affiliation from Republican to Independent. That makes sense.

Guys,I have said t... (Below threshold)
nehemiah:

Guys,

I have said this before, but I'll say it again (since the topic keeps coming up).

Virginia is not in play for the Democrats.

"So more people are changin... (Below threshold)
JB:

"So more people are changing their self-identified affiliation from Republican to Independent. That makes sense."

Anything that reinforces your blinders "makes sense". Not exactly shocking.

As most folks should know..... (Below threshold)
nogo postal:

As most folks should know..VA has a large active and retired military population...Webb's military background does make a difference..plus those who have rotated again and again to Iraq know how fubar our actions in Iraq are...
Does anyone remember last spring when Allen was being highly touted as the Republican nominee in 08?

Speaking of the military? Where are all those Republican House Candidates with a military backgrond this year..the Dems have dozens..(including Duckworth in Ill. who lost both her legs in Iraq)
Can anyone name a Republican candidate for the House with a military background running in your State?

of course their are plenty of Dems who did not serve..I am just saying more vets are running as Dems...

Maybe that means that the D... (Below threshold)
nehemiah:

Maybe that means that the Dems will not actively try to suppress the military vote (remember the technicality about not having a stamp when the military does not use stamps for mail, or the high-fives of the Dem lawyers when a military vote was invalidated?).

I wonder if the Dems would be for a nationally funded program to increase the military vote, since they seem to value them so much.

maybe if these folks <a hre... (Below threshold)
nogo postal:

maybe if these folks http://www.fighting-dems.com win that will take place

More scare tactic polls. Re... (Below threshold)
Scrapiron:

More scare tactic polls. Remember the exit polls. Hell the democrats can't even count factual data. They've borrowed millions at the DNC to campaign and they'll balance the budget of the country. What a bunch of fools that vote for these idiots.
ROFL

Win, Lose or draw I'll be here next week tracking the criminal democrats and building a case to send them to prison. By the way who dropped the ball on 'Cold Cash Jefferson'? He should be serving 5 to 10 in touch you toes heaven.

Democratic Prayer: Lord, please let someone give Bush a BJ so we can impeach him, but only if he lies about it under oath to the nation. Amen

What's the fallout today due to the damage reports from Hanoi John's road side bomb the other day? 2-3 Senate seats lost by the dim's, at least.

robocalls robocalls robocal... (Below threshold)
robocalls:

robocalls robocalls robocalls

think about it.
something is very rotten.

Bush gets major slap-down i... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

Bush gets major slap-down in front of his little Bro.


PENSACOLA, Fla. - The White House did not hide its irritation Monday at Florida GOP gubernatorial candidate Charlie Crist for ducking President Bush at a campaign rally in the Republican friendly Panhandle.

Maybe Allen will invite Bush over for a get together? NOT

In 2004 I voted for Preside... (Below threshold)

In 2004 I voted for President Bush (and the rest of the Republican slate) and then got on with my busy day.

That evening I finally tuned in to see Fox News looking glum because John Kerry was "winning in a landslide" -- via the exit polls.

Good thing I had a busy day and hadn't paid any attention! Within the hour the real votes started coming in and President Bush started ahead and never fell behind the whole evening.

Same thing will happen tomorrow. Don't tune in. Take the dog for a walk, play with your kids, read a good book. Take a look about 9 p.m. local time when the real results are in and the Democrats are once again in tears and disbelief.

Bonnie,That is EXA... (Below threshold)
nehemiah:

Bonnie,

That is EXACTLY what will happen. How'd you get so smart and beautiful?

It's the fur bikini.... (Below threshold)

It's the fur bikini.

Last week the polls showed ... (Below threshold)
Scrapiron:

Last week the polls showed the dim's leading and the stock market dropped over 100 points. Today the republicans have made a come back and the stock market gained 119.5 points that made up for last weeks losses. Will a dim win crash it. It will for me, no investments with the shady characters from the 90's in charge.

The allen poll is bogus, I ... (Below threshold)
jbwbubba:

The allen poll is bogus, I think. First besides the party breakdown, of the 1000 polled, only 840 were registered to vote, and a 100 more weren't considered likely voters. Plus it shows the Marriage amendment at 42% in VA, Sorry but I don't believe that a Gay marriage ban passed in all these other states, but is only at 42% in VA.

No, Scrappy -- you're full ... (Below threshold)
Lee:

No, Scrappy -- you're full of Crap as usual...

Dow ends up nearly 120 on buyout deals

NEW YORK - Wall Street roared back Monday, erasing its losses of last week after private-equity buyout deals involving companies such as Four Seasons Hotels Inc. and OSI Restaurant Partners Inc. revived investors' belief that stocks still have room to run. The Dow Jones industrials shot up 119 points.

The gains came a day ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, though the prospect of a power shift in Congress didn't seem to unnerve investors.

"I think what you're seeing on the tape is a reflection of the amount of money that has been raised in the private equity pools and that money is starting to go to work," said John O'Donoghue, co-head of equities at Cowen & Co.

He also said investors are growing more confident that the elections will bring gridlock in Washington, a prospect Wall Street finds pleasing because it is seen as reducing risks to business interests.

You see, sCrappy, Wall Street takes the news that the Dems are moving out the Rethuglicans as neutral to positive news for stocks.

You have to be one of the stupidest morons around here, Scrapiron. Do you just sit around and make this crap up? Don't you read?

<a href="http://yahoo.busin... (Below threshold)
ReadyFirst:

http://yahoo.businessweek.com/investor/content/nov2006/pi20061106_243207.htm

"If the Republicans do retain both houses, then the market is likely to have a short-term reaction rally," says Richard Bernstein, chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch, in a research report. "If the Democrats win both houses, then the market is likely to have a short-term reaction sell off. A split probably has little impact."

Big money reportedly flowing in from Europe may also have lifted sentiment, amid indications Republican candidates may be narrowing the gap against their Democratic rivals, says Standard & Poor's Equity Research.

I'm a Certified Financial Planner and work with many, many clients, trust me, it makes a difference in the money world for republicans to be in charge now.

Nogo, there is a guy in the... (Below threshold)
Jo:

Nogo, there is a guy in the Waco area (district which includes Crawford) who is a GOP Iraq war vet running for Congress.

So ReadyFirst, but I don't ... (Below threshold)
Lee:

So ReadyFirst, but I don't trust you.

Here's what the WSJ has to say on the subject of Republicans vs Democrats and the stock market.

Dem Control Might Help Economy, WSJ.com Survey Finds

Democrats' wins in November might boost the economy, economists in the latest WSJ.com survey found.

Most economists said the economy would perform best in the coming years if Democrats take control of at least one chamber of Congress. Only 12 of the 35 who answered the question said the economy would perform best under continued Republican control of the House and Senate. The best scenario, the economists said, would be Democratic control of the House only. The economists were almost evenly split over whether the stock market would perform better with a continued Republican lock on Congress or some measure of Democratic control.

Live in Virginia and got po... (Below threshold)
Faith+1:

Live in Virginia and got polled today.

I lied through my teeth giving the pollster everything they wanted to hear. It was clear she was a partisan Democrat hack. When I gave pat left wing talking point answers she would answer "Exactly!" on several occasions making it painfully obvious she was only interested in Left wing talking point regurgitation.

I'm sure if I had answered honestly my results would have been tossed. No way I'm voting Webb.

Lee,So most econom... (Below threshold)
Sheik Yur Bouty:

Lee,

So most economists believe gridlock is best for the economy.

And if you look at the underlying data, you'd see that 34% believe that the economy would perform best if Republicans retain both houses, while only 23% believe the economy would perform best if Democrats take both houses.

Or to put it another way, 77% of the economists believe the economy will perform best if the Republicans hold at least one house of congress.

Hmm... you were saying, Lee?

Stick a fork in Allen. He'... (Below threshold)
kaz:

Stick a fork in Allen. He's done. As Juan Williams said over the weekend Allen was "psychologically undressed" by this campaigan and the voters of Virginia don't like what they see. And, ironically, Allen's attacks on Webb only drew more attention to his military background. The worst they came up with was that Webb opposed women in the military 30 years ago. Wouldn't that be a vote-winnner for Webb in down-state Virginia?

I live in Northern Californ... (Below threshold)
Old Coot:

I live in Northern California so the vote this Republican will cast tomorrow won't help much.

But if the pundits are correct, we'll likely wake up on Wednesday with the Democrats in control of the House by a small margin, but not in control of the Senate. So I'm thinking maybe that isn't such a bad thing. Why?

We will have purged (as Republicans tend to do) most our miscreants from the public square. The Democrats (who rarely toss their crooks and clowns) will have two years with a larger spot on the center stage to let America see what governance by the likes of Nancy Pelosi, Alcee Hastings, John Conyers, and an assorted motley crew of KosKids is really like. Their likely senator-elect from New Jersey, may soon be indicted. John Kerry and Al Gore will surely continue to plant their feet their mouths; their loathing of of our brave men and women in the military will become even more visible. The Clintons? They'll keep stirring the political pot with their usual frenzy towards getting back into the White House.

So why is this a good scenario?

Because come the elections in 2008, it will be manifest that liberals should not be allowed to use our citizens and institutions like kids playing in a sandbox and that will mean a Republican continues in the White House and a return to Republican control in both houses of congress.

Think about tomorrows election. Given the MSM flogging of the Foley issue, it's lack of accurate reporting about economic conditions, and the seemingly deliberate attempt to downplay the threat of radical-Islam, how can the Democrats cheer about what will likely be a tiny victory in 2006 and a crushing defeat in 2008?

So I'm kinda looking forward to Wednesday. Let the trolls crow for awhile; they'll soon return to their home under the bridge where they belong.

What I said is from the quo... (Below threshold)
Lee:

What I said is from the quote, which I'll repeat for the thinking impaired Republicans like SYB... (quote form the WSJ in bold italics)

Q: Which is the best scenario?

A: "Most economists said the economy would perform best in the coming years if Democrats take control of at least one chamber of Congress. "

Since when did socialists s... (Below threshold)
nehemiah:

Since when did socialists start caring about the economy?

Allen courted the bigot vot... (Below threshold)
Robert:

Allen courted the bigot vote and is still going to lose.

There's hope for America yet.

Lee:Given any thou... (Below threshold)
USMC Pilot:

Lee:

Given any thought as to why most economist agree that the economy will do better if the Dems win the House and Reps keep the Senate?

The reason is that most economist are smart enough to realize that grid lock in Washington is the best thing for the country. The less the idiots in Washington do, the better. The tax cuts are in, the troops are keeping the war abroad and the economy is in good shape. Why would anyone in his right mind want the politicians to meddle with a good thing. It's not that they don't want the Republcan or the Democrats; they don't want anyone!

"I'm sure if I had answered... (Below threshold)

"I'm sure if I had answered honestly my results would have been tossed. No way I'm voting Webb."

Is that Twilight Zone music I hear?

"Stick a fork in Allen. He'... (Below threshold)
kirktoe:

"Stick a fork in Allen. He's done. As Juan Williams said over the weekend Allen was "psychologically undressed" by this campaigan and the voters of Virginia don't like what they see. And, ironically, Allen's attacks on Webb only drew more attention to his military background. The worst they came up with was that Webb opposed women in the military 30 years ago. Wouldn't that be a vote-winnner for Webb in down-state Virginia?"

Juan williams was also the guy who said the exit polls were more accurate than the vote count in 2004 when the REAL votes didn't jive with his wishful thinking.

Allen is not going to lose and any one who thinks that is not grounded in reality (as most libs aren't).

The proof of Webb/Allen is ... (Below threshold)
Webster:

The proof of Webb/Allen is in the pudding. We'll see tomorrow. Best of luck, everybody. I'll be curious to see the explanations Wednesday for why Allen or Webb supporters were wrong, other than voter stupidity.

kirktoe, I wonder just wher... (Below threshold)
Scrapiron:

kirktoe, I wonder just where in downstate Va Racist Juan Williams thinks we oppose women in the military. I've lived in Southwest Va for 65 years (Less 22 years of military service) and I haven't seen any of that.

Now all of you dimwits get out tomorrow and obey your Islamofascist masters and vote democratic, or they will slice off your childrens head to put you in your place. You know they hate a cowardly American slightly more than they hate the average American.

Republicans are no longer a... (Below threshold)
Lee:

Republicans are no longer average Americans. Many are hate-filled thugs who hate their fellow Americans who dare have a different opinion than theirs.

That's fine, it's a free country, but Republicans have run this country into the ground, licking the palms of lobbyists while everyday Americans continue to struggle to make ends meet.

It's time for a change.

To old "pucker puss" (lee l... (Below threshold)
jhow66:

To old "pucker puss" (lee lee)--"struggle to make ends meet"--only ones that are doing this are the ones that bitch about having to walk all the way to the mailbox to get their welfare check. (by the way how much is your check each month?) Poor little p'p' gets his thrills by calling Rep.'s names. How many times do I have to tell you that you could save alot of time and space if you wouls just hit the "ditto" key. Oh well hard to make a retard understand anything. Si-------.

Democrats are no longer ave... (Below threshold)
RepeatACliche:

Democrats are no longer average Americans. Many are hate-filled thugs who hate their fellow Americans who dare have a different opinion than theirs.

That's fine, it's a free country, but Democrats have run this country into the ground, licking the palms of lobbyists while everyday Americans continue to struggle to make ends meet.

It's time for a change.

I do not pay attention to p... (Below threshold)
Larry:

I do not pay attention to polls. They are not reliable at all. Remember the '04 presidential election? According to exit polls, Kerry should have won.

<a href="http://www.washing... (Below threshold)

Towel-heads and rednecks became the easy villains in so many movies out there

James Webb

What are "towel-heads?" Must be some obscure racial epithet in Webb's mother's native language, huh?

Larry,I do remembe... (Below threshold)
Robert:

Larry,

I do remember the 2004 Presidential Election.

Thank God for the brave politicians, writers, bloggers, and pundits who turned back a call to investigate the inconsistencies in Ohio.
(Finally something Dems and Reps can both agree on).

I shudder to think what this investigation would have led to in a country that is a representative democracy.




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