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Proof of Global Warming at Last

Good news friends, at long last we have proof that global warming is real.

Forecaster cuts 2007 hurricane outlook

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The 2007 hurricane season may be less severe than forecast due to cooler-than-expected water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, private forecaster WSI Corp said on Tuesday.

The season will bring 14 named storms, of which six will become hurricanes and three will become major hurricanes, WSI said in its revised outlook. WSI had previously expected 15 named storms of which eight would become hurricanes and four would become major hurricanes.

"Because the ocean temperatures have not yet rebounded from the significant drop in late spring, we have decided to reduce our forecast numbers slightly," said Todd Crawford, a WSI seasonal forecaster.

The energy and insurance industries are keenly watching the 2007 storm season after the record damage caused by hurricanes two years ago.

Now, I know many of you are puzzled... You've been told repeatedly by Al Gore and the like that Global Warming causes hurricanes but that was before the 2006 hurricane season was a dud so the global warming hucksters made a new theory that Global Warming reduced hurricanes.

So there is your proof. If you use the new global warming hurricane theory and not last year's global warming hurricane theory you have conclusive evidence global warming is real.

Somebody call the U.N.

Who gets the credit for the reduced hurricanes? According to Bill Clinton Repubicans are stopping hurricanes.

But if the researchers are feeling a little down about the hurricane prediction debacles, there is always hope for the prediction of a new Ice Age, blamed on global warming might just come true. After all, stranger things have happened.

The mockery above is fun and all but let's get down to the thing we like to call reality. Hurricanes are the most studied and the most modeled meteorological phenomena in existence. If all the forecasters and all the super computers can't even model what will happen next year in one little corner of the globe, how on earth can they claim to be able to model the climate of the entire planet 100 years from now?

The answer is, they can't.


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Comments (27)

You just don't seem to get ... (Below threshold)

You just don't seem to get the "New Science." It's sort of like the "New Math" of forty years ago, only different.

Old Science - being dominated as it was by a western patriarchal white hegemony - would have you conduct empirical research, form theories, and then test them and encourage others to do so in order to confirm your results.

"New Science" is far more inclusive and diversified. Instead of the stodgy old methods, new and creative ideas are now welcome into the big inhalation tent of the New. New Science reaches its conclusion FIRST, based upon the needs of the proletariat - er, I mean, "the people" - as determined by the commissars - er, I mean, "progressives" - and then conform the experimental results to the appropriate and acceptable conclusions, so that all voices may be heard.

Hence, if there are more OR fewer hurricanes, it definitely proves the human influence on global warming. And if, as usually happens, the number, intensities, and number making US landfall fall within the average historical range, well, what more proof do you need?

I hope this reminder has been helpful. If you experience future recurrences of this BadThink problem, please report to the Hugh Rodham Reeducation Center nearest you.

Paul, the eeeeeeeeeeeeee... (Below threshold)
C-C-G Author Profile Page:

Paul, the eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeevil Wepubwicans caused hurricanes in 2005 because they wanted to punish the people of New Orleans.

When it was revealed by the hyper-intelligent, upstanding, angelic Democrats that the eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeevil Wepubwicans had caused Katrina, the eeeeeeeeeeeeeeevil Wepubwicans turned down the hurricane machine to fool the American public into thinking that they couldn't control the weather.

See, it's all part of the eeeeeeeeeeeeeeevil Wepubwicans' plot to take over the world!

The study found that global... (Below threshold)

The study found that global warming since 1985 has been caused neither by an increase in solar radiation nor by a decrease in the flux of galactic cosmic rays. Some researchers had also suggested that the latter might influence global warming because the rays trigger cloud formation. I am write a blog which gave complete information about Global Warming.

Climate scientist are reall... (Below threshold)

Climate scientist are really quite concerned about hyperbole on both sides of the issue. So don't confuse what the scientists are actually saying with popular interpretation of what they saying.

Check out www.realclimate.org a blog where a lot of climate scientist hang out.

My home town was at one tim... (Below threshold)
rpkinmd:

My home town was at one time under hundreds of feet of ice (a glacier ya know). It melted. That was thousands of years ago. Can Mr. Gore please explain that?

>Check out www.realclimate.... (Below threshold)
Paul:

>Check out www.realclimate.org a blog where a lot of climate scientist hang out.

I think you mean "where a lot of hucksters and con men hang out."

CCG, very funny. Very funny... (Below threshold)
WildWillie:

CCG, very funny. Very funny indeed. Thanks for the morning laugh. ww

Taran K. Juyal: your cited ... (Below threshold)
kim:

Taran K. Juyal: your cited study does not address CERN and the cosmic ray theories. Your site looks like a warmer site. It is a good time to be skeptical.

Particularly of realclimate.org. What an ironic name. They are still defending the Piltdown Mann's crooked hockey stick.

Climateaudit.org for the skinny. Who'd want anything else?
===========================

But, I just love it Rick. ... (Below threshold)
kim:

But, I just love it Rick. Now we are to be concerned about 'hyperbole'.

I'll tell you what concerns me and that is that impressionable schoolchildren are being shown Gore's garbage.

Read Vaclev Havel about the warming movement being a greater threat to freedom than man is a threat to the environment.
===========================

Tarun K Juyal,<blockq... (Below threshold)
Mac Lorry Author Profile Page:

Tarun K Juyal,

The study found that global warming since 1985 has been caused neither by an increase in solar radiation nor by a decrease in the flux of galactic cosmic rays. Some researchers had also suggested that the latter might influence global warming because the rays trigger cloud formation.

The study you refer to did not consider the magnetic activity of the Sun, which is known to change greatly over time.

The study of the link between the Sun's magnetic field, cosmic rays, and cloud formation is occurring now at CERN in an international multi-million Euro project known by the acronym CLOUD. These scientists are well aware of the measurements of cosmic rays on the ground and know that it is meaningless in this context.

Some would like to dismiss the theory based on ground measurements of cosmic rays, but such measurements only record the highest energy cosmic rays, which make up only a small percentage of such radiation. Often the detectors used for cosmic ray measurements are either underground or shielded in other ways to filter out other types of radiation.

The theory is that the Sun's magnetic field deflects cosmic rays away from Earth's atmosphere depending on it's magnetic activity. It makes sense that the very highest energy (fastest) cosmic rays (charged particles), the ones that are measured on the ground, are least effected by the Sun's magnetic field. The paths of lower energy cosmic rays (they come in all energies) are greatly effected by the Sun's magnetic field, but these low energy cosmic rays are not recordable on the ground. Thus, the readings of cosmic rays on the ground are meaningless. Make sure you put that in you blog on global warming.

Beat ya', Mac, but you were... (Below threshold)
kim:

Beat ya', Mac, but you were so much better.

It is a good time to be skeptical. I've got it mantis; there is never a better time than NOW to become a skeptick.
==========================

And I learned something imp... (Below threshold)
kim:

And I learned something important. I had thought that cosmic rays were uniform.

By the way, can you tell me what the polarity of the universe's background microwave radiation is? I think it is some kind of physicist's in joke, and I feel like I'm asking for a left handed monkey wrench or snipe hunting or something. I don't even know why the question is important.

But I do have a unified theory of climate regulation.
==============================

What's really gorifr... (Below threshold)

What's really gorifrying is how they are using the Hubbel telescope to secretly warm other nearby planets,like Mars and Venus, to "prove" the wacky theory that it's really the sun that's affecting temperatures here on George Bushes plaything, formerly know as the Earth.

Truly gorifrying.

The study you refe... (Below threshold)
C-C-G Author Profile Page:
The study you refer to did not consider the magnetic activity of the Sun, which is known to change greatly over time.

Quite true. Just ask any amateur (ham) radio operator (I happen to be one myself--with the highest class of license available in the USA). Any ham worth his license will tell you that sunspots (an indicator of solar activity) tend to run in seven-year cycles. This is of concern to hams because solar activity affects radio wave propagation. You can see reports of this effect here, here, and last but not least, the latest official ARRL report here.

I'm skeptical about outrage... (Below threshold)
philw:

I'm skeptical about outrageous GW claims although I do believe there's decent evidence that we are warming somewhat but not nearly the crisis that the Gorons cite. A major problem with GW evidence is that whatever the weather/climate change observed, warmer or colder, it's invariably cited as support for the GW hypothethis. In science, a theory which predicts everything, predicts nothing.

"Snipe hunting"-Kim you hav... (Below threshold)
jhow66:

"Snipe hunting"-Kim you have to be from the south. Never will forget my first "snipe" hunt. lol (I went with my dad-can still him laughing)

Remember when 2006 was supp... (Below threshold)
spurwing plover:

Remember when 2006 was suppost to be the worse hurricane year becuase of this global warming poppycock and it was a fizzle they did,nt get enough rain to drown a ant and now its another fizzle year this just proves AL GORE and the global warming stuff is just a lot of hogwash and poppycock

It's pretty easy to confuse... (Below threshold)
kim:

It's pretty easy to confuse snipes and plovers. Esp. when you're in the dark.
==============================

hog wash and poppycock.<... (Below threshold)
Steve Crickmore:

hog wash and poppycock..Those are good 'Oxford English Dictionary' words.

Kim,<a href="http:... (Below threshold)
Mac Lorry Author Profile Page:

Kim,

Here's info on the "snipe" hunt question.

Because the microwaves are electromagnetic radiation, they can be polarized like the visible light investigated in this experiment. Just like visible light becomes polarized by scattering, scattering also causes the cosmic microwave background radiation to be polarized.

In addition, gravity is believed capable of polarizing light. If there were large gravity waves as expected of the early universe, it is believed they could create a distinct polarization of the cosmic microwave background with a tensor curl. Several projects are now underway to search for the effects of early gravitational waves on the polarization of the cosmic microwave background.


Hey we spuring plover are r... (Below threshold)
spurwing plover:

Hey we spuring plover are related to snipe were both wading birds and yes shore birds AND WE DONT CARE FOR GREENPEACE wackos stomping on the beach in their stupid protests

Now a "plover" hunt is even... (Below threshold)
jhow66:

Now a "plover" hunt is even worst in daylight.

<a href="http://www.souther... (Below threshold)
jhow66:
the global warming hucks... (Below threshold)

the global warming hucksters made a new theory that Global Warming reduced hurricanes.

No way. No freakin' way! That just completely proved my long-standing view (a hypothesis, if you will) that "global warming" is an unfalsifiable theory and thus is invalid. Everything proves it and nothing disproves it. If it's hot, it's because of global warming. If it's cold, it's because of global warming. If it rains, global warming. Drought, global warming. And now the same with hurricanes.

Heh... global warming...</p... (Below threshold)
Ashmdia:

Heh... global warming...

I recommend everyone read "State of Fear" by Michael Crichton. It may be a work of fiction, but as with most of his books, are based on a lot of research and facts. This one is a great book about global warming and the facts behind it all.

Thanks Mac, jhow, and espec... (Below threshold)
kim:

Thanks Mac, jhow, and especially the winged wonder, sp.
==================================

Global warming is cuased by... (Below threshold)
spurwing plover:

Global warming is cuased by HOT AIR from AL GORE,GREENPEACE and those rediculous LIVE EARTH CONCERTS




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