I'm not a fan of CBS/New York Times polls. Having written a column at Polipundit a few days before the 2004 election debunking in minute detail its absurdly biased poll, I am under no illusion that its polling, and especially the reporting of the same, slants left.
That said, it is worth analyzing the trend on its Iraq polling. First, let me say that I do not believe the question of whether we should or should not go into Iraq will have any relevance in the 2008 election. There are two reasons for this belief: (1). Americans tend to vote on the way things are, and the way they want them to be in the future, and (2). there is a strong correlation between perceptions of the situation on the ground and the percentage believing the liberation of Iraq was the correct decision.
Second, this belief necessarily entails that, in my opinion, the most important question in any poll on Iraq is how Americans perceive the current situation. On that question, there is a glimmer, if not the first hopeful rays for the President and those who support the valiant American forces in Iraq, their brave Iraqi allies, and the "survival and success of freedom around the globe."
Here are the most recent numbers on the following question: "As you may know, the U.S. has sent more than 20,000 additional troops to Iraq. From what you have heard or read, would you say this troop increase is making the situation in Iraq better, making it worse, or is it having no impact on the situation in Iraq so far?"
The most recent poll indicates that 35% thinking the surge is making the situation better, 12% say worse. In August, 29% thought the surge was making the situation better, while 15% thought it was making it worse. In July, roughly 20% thought it was making the situation better, while 20% thought it was making it worse.
We should remember that the media continued its habit of daily reports on how conditions were deteriorating during this time period, making the rise in support even more remarkable.
Indeed, since April, there has even been a 10% swing in the President's favor on how he is handling the situation in Iraq. I hope the speech on Thursday, and above all, continued success on the ground in Iraq, will counteract the media's slanted and unduly negative reporting, and build public support for this important mission.
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Iraq
Comments (7)
The War in Iraq is over and... (Below threshold)1. Posted by kim | September 12, 2007 12:57 AM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
The War in Iraq is over and the globe is cooling. Say it with a big smile, and watch people laugh.
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1. Posted by kim | September 12, 2007 12:57 AM |
Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 00:57
2. Posted by jp2 | September 12, 2007 2:38 AM | Score: -5 (5 votes cast)
"I hope the speech on Thursday, and above all, continued success on the ground in Iraq, will counteract the media's slanted and unduly negative reporting, and build public support for this important mission."
I think a few more hard-hitting interviews with Brit Hume and Hugh Hewitt will really help.
2. Posted by jp2 | September 12, 2007 2:38 AM |
Score: -5 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 02:38
3. Posted by marc | September 12, 2007 2:57 AM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
jp2:
I think a few more hard-hitting interviews with Brit Hume and Hugh Hewitt will really help.
As opposed to what a few more Dem debates moderated by Olberfool?
"Senator Obama, if you were a tree what kind of tree would you be."
Oh wait... that is hard hitting for that crowd.
3. Posted by marc | September 12, 2007 2:57 AM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 02:57
4. Posted by jp2 | September 12, 2007 4:58 AM | Score: -4 (4 votes cast)
Here's another great public opinion poll:
"Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Americans now believe that the events of six years ago changed America for the worse. That's an increase from 54% a year ago. Just 21% believe that the nation has changed for the better because of that tragedy."
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/59_say_us_has_changed_for_the_worse_since_9_11
Heckuva job.
4. Posted by jp2 | September 12, 2007 4:58 AM |
Score: -4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 04:58
5. Posted by kim | September 12, 2007 10:10 AM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Yeah by al Qaeda, jp2. In a coupla hours they put a trillion dollar hit on the economy. Other damages are still coming to light.
You shithead.
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5. Posted by kim | September 12, 2007 10:10 AM |
Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 10:10
6. Posted by P. Bunyan | September 12, 2007 12:13 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"Yeah by al Qaeda, jp2."
The event also brought out the enemy-supporting leftists, similar to their glory days of the early '70's, which changed America for the worse.
6. Posted by P. Bunyan | September 12, 2007 12:13 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 12:13
7. Posted by SPQR | September 12, 2007 8:01 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
How many of jp2's poll are among the 42% of Democrats who think the Bush administration did 9/11? Everyone has a right to an opinion, but obviously some opinions are less useful than others.
7. Posted by SPQR | September 12, 2007 8:01 PM |
Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Posted on September 12, 2007 20:01