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Stick A Fork In Him, He's Done

Quite a few people have been looking at the 2008 congressional elections, and are speculating about how the parties will fare. Will the Democrats increase their hold on the houses? Will the Republicans take back one or the other? Or will things pretty much stay the same?

I don't know, and I'm really not concerned. We're looking not at any national election, but 34 distinct races in different states, and each has its own factors that can trump any "national trends."

Here in New Hampshire, our Senator Sununu is listed as one of the most "vulnerable." And I think that's not only right, but possibly understating the matter.

John E. Sununu had a really good political run prior to his winning his Senate seat. He'd served several terms as a fairly popular Representative -- popular enough to bump off Senator Bob Smith in the Republican primary.

But when the general election rolled around, it was a hell of a lot tighter. He was facing Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat who was winding up her third term as governor -- and also had a lot of popularity.

Sununu won, but his victory was tainted by the infamous phone-jamming scandal that sent several people -- including high-ranking Republicans -- to jail.

That was five years ago. Sununu's term is up next year, and it does NOT look good for him. He really hasn't done anything too wrong, but nor has he done a great deal right. And up until last week, he had three challengers on the Democratic side that could make his life difficult. A mayor from our seacoast (of all the states that have a seacoast, we have the shortest -- and we're DAMNED proud of that), the daughter of a powerful Democratic congressman (and wife of a former Congressman), and an astronaut.

Now it's down to two candidates. The mayor and the wife have withdrawn, and the astronaut is weighing matters now that the 800-pound gorilla is back in the race.

After several years of teaching at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, Jeanne Shaheen has left academia and announced she wants a rematch with Sununu -- and the Democrats are lining up to back her.

So, here in New Hampshire, next year we get to re-run the 2002 election. And, in an astonishing coincidence, one of our Congressmen, Paul Hodes, is calling for a Congressional investigation into that phone-jamming scandal -- casting aspersions on the prosecutors who investigated the matter and sent those scumbags to jail over the matter.

Even more astonishing, Hodes is a freshman Democrat. What are the odds?

The election's over a year away, but I know how it's going to turn out. The Democrats are going to push it as a "re-do" of 2002, without the Republican dirty tricks. It'll be an opportunity to bring a measure of "justice" and restore the order of things to how they should have been.

Between Sununu's failure to garner a large amount of popular support, the tainting of his election (although there has been no evidence that he or his campaign was involved in or even aware of the phone jamming), and the Democrats' guaranteed hammering of the jamming, I'm pretty sure he's done for.

I voted for him then, and I'll almost certainly vote for him again, but I don't think it'll do enough good.

At least Shaheen isn't a full-blown moonbat -- something I can't say about our two freshmen representatives.


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Comments (7)

The Demographics of the Nor... (Below threshold)
kim:

The Demographics of the Northeast hinterlands is disastrous. Populated as they are by expats of the disaster called Blue Megalopolia, the elite froth of a progressively deluded ideology. Are they worried about teachers' unions, or the indignities visited upon those publicly transported? Or the weapons of destruction for massed populations? Fah.
=========================

One note - Sununu was polli... (Below threshold)
Jeff:

One note - Sununu was polling 25+ points behind Shaheen in July - that's knocked down to 5 points now.

Is Sununu vulnerable? Yup. Is it bad news? No, it isn't, because it's been worse.

Shaheen may not be a full-b... (Below threshold)
John S:

Shaheen may not be a full-blooded moonbat, but she did double the state budget in 6 years. At least she'll do less damage in Congress, where she'll be dilluted by 524 other moonbats.

Fortunately the early claim... (Below threshold)
The Exposer:

Fortunately the early claims of a landslide loss for Sununu have vanished. Since the moonbat brigades have captured absolute control of the legislature and the House seats, he will have something substantial to run against. I'd rather be him than Shaheen running a rematch. He has a year to make up a 5% deficit (which means only flipping better than 2 1/2%, very doable).

Sununu is the best we have ... (Below threshold)
NH:

Sununu is the best we have at 80% approval rating.

Shaheen is a moonbat and spender.

Never gonna happen.

Quite a few peopl... (Below threshold)
stan25:
Quite a few people have been looking at the 2008 congressional elections, and are speculating about how the parties will fare. Will the Democrats increase their hold on the houses? Will the Republicans take back one or the other? Or will things pretty much stay the same?

I don't know, and I'm really not concerned. We're looking not at any national election, but 34 distinct races in different states, and each has its own factors that can trump any "national trends."

Here in New Hampshire, our Senator Sununu is listed as one of the most "vulnerable." And I think that's not only right, but possibly understating the matter.

John E. Sununu had a really good political run prior to his winning his Senate seat. He'd served several terms as a fairly popular Representative -- popular enough to bump off Senator Bob Smith in the Republican primary.

But when the general election rolled around, it was a hell of a lot tighter. He was facing Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat who was winding up her third term as governor -- and also had a lot of popularity.

That is what they said about Harry Truman too. Hell, the NY Slimes and the rest of the drive by media, had him loosing to Dewy by a landslide. When the final votes were counted, Truman had not only remained as President, he beat Dewy in a landslide.

Another example of this is the 2000 and 2004 elections. The drive bys had algore and Lurch listed as winners before the first votes were counted on the East Coast. We all know how that turned out. Now the drive bys have the Hildabeast winning in a landslide, even before the first primary vote is cast.

So Jay, it is still way too early to predict how the voters will react in November of 2008. The only way that we will know who won or lost is, when all of the ballots are counted honestly (these include the absentee ballots from the troops)

Since even first-term Senat... (Below threshold)

Since even first-term Senators have a reelection rate of 90%, it is probably too early to write off Sununu's chances.

Most likely, whichever party carries the state in the Presidential race will take the Senate seat, too.




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