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Hampshire huge for Hillary

Despite election eve polls showing her losing by 13%, Hillary Clinton came back to win the New Hampshire Democratic Primary tonight, derailing the Barack Obama media bandwagon by winning single women voters by 16% and married women by 11% (Obama led by 13% among male voters).

In her victory speech, she proclaimed New Hampshire was where she had "found [her] voice," standing alone at the podium, husband Bill being conveniently seated out of the camera shot. It was her night, and her speech was as good a speech as I've heard her deliver. It is still a two-person race with a long way to go, but her performance tonight - at the polls and the podium - belied the rumors which had been circulating for the last 24 hours or so that she might withdraw from the race.

I wonder where those rumors came from, btw? Obviously, it wasn't from her campaign, so it must have been a opposition plant - what used to be described as "dirty tricks," at least when Republicans pulled them.

In any event, New Hampshire Democrats opted for distasteful substance over empty style. Trailing badly, John Edwards vowed to fight on until the convention, noting that 48 states and over 99% of the voting population had not yet "been heard." Whatever gives the Breck Girl the idea that when we "hear" from those yet uncounted, they will be any more for him than they were four years ago, when he lost, is unspecified. Edwards drew lower support in both Iowa and New Hampshire than he did in 2004, and cannot win South Carolina as he did four years ago. He LOST four years ago, and is doing worse this time. Hel-looooo? Johnny boy? Anyone paying attention in there, or are you transfixed by the mirror again?

Ironically, the lemming-like media rush to Obama after his big Iowa win may have cost him New Hampshire. The sheer hysteria of Obamania apparently led the pollsters to adjust their "weighting" of the samples to reflect higher participation by young voters, mirroring Obama's success in drawing them to the Iowa Caucuses. In New Hampshire, though, the increase in turnout was across the demographic board, with older and female voters showing up in the same higher numbers as young voters did. Had the polls not counted her out, Hillary's emotional connection with New Hampshire women might never have happened.

Anything that makes Brian Williams cry is a good thing.


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Comments (11)

so all those polls that com... (Below threshold)
Mark:

so all those polls that come out every 2 seconds were some how,

mistaken. Then why the F$&* do they get so much attention?

The Silky Pony will stay in... (Below threshold)
LenS:

The Silky Pony will stay in the race because he has nothing better to do AND if this race stays close, he could be the decider at the convention.

What if some of those Repub... (Below threshold)
Kevin Author Profile Page:

What if some of those Republican leaning independents decided that they would cross over and derail the Obama express? That would be an interesting explaination for the late Hillary surge. I've got absolutely no data to base that theory on, but it's not beyond the realm of possibility. Stranger things have happened...

LenS - "The Silky Pony ... (Below threshold)
marc:

LenS - "The Silky Pony will stay in the race because he has nothing better to do AND if this race stays close, he could be the decider at the convention."

Hey, what the hell Silky is riding that pony on the taxpayers dime so he doesn't give a hoot. Besides the longer he stays in the more stages are available for him to drag the name of another sick or dieing child into his "campaign strategy."

The man has the unmitigated audacity to stand there and rail against "corporate America" when some of the largest unions in the country are pissing away money on his failed run for the WH.

Those unions are no better than the best companies and no worse than the worst companies, they are one and the same, they just ware a different type of hat.

The man is a despicable little puke.

Senator Obama's failure to ... (Below threshold)
kevino:

Senator Obama's failure to hold off Senator Clinton's machine is really a shame. It was a terrific opportunity to kill the Beast in the nest. Now the Thing just grows stronger.

For months now I've been saying that this is not a normal election, and the Clinton machine is impossible to stop once it gets going. Now you can see why. What I saw in NH yesterday was herds of women voters, many of them voting for the first time ever, rushing to the defense of a sister. If Hillary gets the nomination, huge numbers of the mindless automatons will flock to the polls to vote for Hillary and be part of history.

A word to Republicans: You're going to slaughtered next fall. Either Clinton or Obama brings huge numbers of these voters to the polls, and they will win hands down. Even worse: these voters, who normally aren't at the election, will vote a party-line straight Democratic ticket. You'll see popular and successful GOP candidates at every level suddenly losing, and you will never be able to find new voters to counter the flood.

A final word to Senator Edwards' supports: you're doing for Hillary what Ross Perot did for Bill. By splitting the anti-Clinton vote, you are guaranteeing Clinton's election. I know that you like your guy better than the other guy. My friends that voted for Perot said the same thing. But they took votes from Clinton's best challenger, and that gave Clinton the election. Edwards is not going to win. This is one of those situations where you have to decide if you prefer Obama to Clinton, or if a Clinton victory is OK. Please decide quickly.

I think Hillary's team chum... (Below threshold)
jpm100:

I think Hillary's team chummed the waters with doom & despair and the media (and the rest of us) fell for it. I think it was pre-spin that worked a lot better than expected.

Obama's Win in Iowa and strong showing in NH have been totally negated. Now we're going into states where Hillary will likely win.

The Clinton win is a positi... (Below threshold)
hermie:

The Clinton win is a positive development for the GOP.

The Hillary-Obama fight will get dirty and the Dems will be spending millions on primary battles, rather than Queen Hillary's coronation.

Plus, there will be lots of bitterness between the Dems committed to the far Left agenda vs the Soros-MoveOn agenda.

the Dems committed to th... (Below threshold)

the Dems committed to the far Left agenda vs the Soros-MoveOn agenda

Aren't those the same?

Kevin:Why would GO... (Below threshold)
kevino:

Kevin:

Why would GOP voters want to derail Senator Obama's campaign? An Obama-Clinton-Edwards fight is useful. Without opposition, Senator Clinton gets lazy and out-of-practice (as she was in Iowa), and she stops running for the nomination and starts running against her likely GOP opponent. Even worse, without opposition, Clinton supporters start voting in GOP primaries to prop up losers.

Some observations:... (Below threshold)
Mike:

Some observations:

Barak Obama is now in position to become "the comeback kid" if he wins Michigan, Nevada, or S. Carolina.

I agree with jpm100 that the Clinton campaign was responsible for much of its own negative press.

I also wonder how much pressure the Clinton machine was able to put on key voter groups. Also, I would not rule out ballot box stuffing, although the margin of her win seems too large for that to have happened.

It is worth remembering that New Hampshire is a not a microcosm of America. Its tiny minority population (though proportional to that of Iowa) certainly skews any election result held there.

Finally, I wonder if Democrats were rattled by the fact that in Iowa, the population group that picked Barak Obama also picked Mike Huckabee. To the KosKook/Moron.org crowd, Christian = "fascist"; they have even cited Ron Paul's infamous "there's only one fascist running in this race" quote as proof that "everyone" knows about Huckabee's inherent evil. Could this have had something to do with Obama's sudded dip in New Hampshire?

hermie:RE: "The Hi... (Below threshold)
kevino:

hermie:

RE: "The Hillary-Obama fight will get dirty and the Dems will be spending millions on primary battles, rather than Queen Hillary's coronation."

I agree (as in #9 above).


RE: "Plus, there will be lots of bitterness between the Dems committed to the far Left agenda vs the Soros-MoveOn agenda."

Unfortunately most of the netroots far-left types won't be bitter. Whoever the Democratic nominee is, that group will work hard for that person. Their hatred of all things Republican transcends all other considerations.




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