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Oh, I Wanna Go Back To Dixville...

Well, if it's time for the New Hampshire primary, it means that Dixville Notch is due its quadrennial 15 seconds of fame.

The tiny town, one of the northernmost communities in New Hampshire, has a total year-round population of 75, and 17 registered voters. To have their brief moment in the spotlight, they all gather at the Balsams grand hotel (where most of them work) and cast their ballots at midnight, with the polls closing as soon as the last voter has voted.

(I've always had the mischievous notion of moving there to vote, then not showing up until 7 or 8 a.m. -- or even later. It might get me lynched, but I'd go down in history.)

Anyway, the polls closed shortly after midnight, and the results are in:

Republicans:
McCain: 4
Romney: 2
Giuliani: 1
Everyone else: 0

Democrats:
Obama: 7
Edwards: 2
Richardson:1
Everyone else: 0

It's a mistake to read too much into this incredibly tiny sampling, but I think I can go out on a limb and say that one thing that might be emerging is a solid, tangible confirmation that Hillary Clintonhas the stink of loser on her. Her mightiest weapon was her aura of inevitability, and that's gone straight down the crapper. She really has no backup weapon (no, I don't think the conspiracy nuts who talk about Barack Obama's physical safety from the Clintonistas are playing with a full deck) without it. She still has Bill, but he's a double-edged sword -- she can't tap just his positive traits without also rousing the deeply-held resenments and distrust he still invokes in a lot of people. And as we saw yesterday, the guy STILL shoots his mouth off on a fairly regular basis.

Stick a fork in her, she's done. Dead woman walking. I find myself doubting if she'll even finish out her current term in the Senate.

Anyway, Mr. Duckie and I are getting ready to spend the day meandering around Manchester and soaking up the nuttiness that is the New Hampshire primary. If anyone else is going to be around the area and wants to say hi, drop a comment or send an e-mail to jaytea (at) wizbangblog.com. I'll be taking my laptop, Electric Mayhem, and will be posting stuff as I can.


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Comments (10)

Hillary will probably lose ... (Below threshold)

Hillary will probably lose New Hampshire, but I wouldn't write her off just yet.

She has a national organization nearly 20 years in the building, and lots of chits to call in. Expect a major "reorganization" of her campaign after the results - my money is on Mark Penn being the major figure falling on his sword.

Hillary, Bill, and their people realize this year is her best chance at the White House. The damage a loss to an unqualified newcomer would wreak on her reputation would be beyond repair for the foreseeable future. She will jump start her campaign, and confront Obama directly on his record, or lack thereof. Most of the body shots will come from surrogates, but the assault will be relentless.

She'll be in it until the last dog dies. And the last dog will be Obama's, because hers is already dead. Hillary may not win in the end, but if she loses, what's left of Obama will make Kucinich look statuesque.

In fifty-odd years, there h... (Below threshold)

In fifty-odd years, there hasn't been a Dixville Notch voter who was willing to throw a cog into the works.

A town, known mainly for its voting, with 75 residents, has only 17 registered voters . . . perhaps the others know what will happen to someone who registers, but won't show up at midnight?

There's a Stephen King novel in here somewhere . . .

JT, in South Carolina, Hill... (Below threshold)
WildWillie:

JT, in South Carolina, Hillary has the black vote sewn up, at least with the leaders of the black community. McCain won New Hampshire in 2000 but went down in flames in S.C.. I agree with Jim, too early to count her out. It may happen, but not yet. Also, your references to lynching and "out on a limb" may be taken as racist. :) ww

I agree: don't think that t... (Below threshold)
kevino:

I agree: don't think that the Clinton campaign is dead until it's "not just merely dead, but really, most sincerely dead." They have lots of money (personally), a solid political machine, tons of friends in the MSM, and absolutely no conscience.

They are still dangerous.

Some time ago I wrote here ... (Below threshold)
drjohn:

Some time ago I wrote here that she was toast.

The press really has grown to dislike her and it shows all too clearly. Dana Milbank shows just how partisan the press is getting and while I despise her, this is plain wrong for a "journalist."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/video/2008/01/07/VI2008010700846.html

It's astonishing to see this kind of tripe from what is allegedly a reporter and at the same time listen to Helen Thomas claim that the decline of journalism is the fault of bloggers.

Reporters, from Milbank to Gregory, have clearly decided that it's Obama and not Hillary and all stories from now on can be expected to have that undercurrent.

JT, in South Carolina, H... (Below threshold)
mantis:

JT, in South Carolina, Hillary has the black vote sewn up,

Someone hasn't been paying attention. From RealClearPolitics:

Latest South Carolina Polling Data:
Rasmussen 01/06 - 01/06 Obama +12.0
SurveyUSA 01/04 - 01/06 Obama +20.0
SurveyUSA 12/17 - 12/18 Clinton +2.0
CBS News 12/13 - 12/17 Obama +1.0

Notice the 22 point shift to Obama on SurveyUSA over three weeks? Those aren't all white voters. And Obama isn't even taking numbers from Edwards; his have been steady. This is a shift from Clinton to Obama and my guess is the black leaders in that state are kicking themselves now for jumping on the Clinton wagon too early.

The Clinton camp is going to have to dig up something real good on Obama to stop him, and they'll have to do it before 2/5.

I think Hillary has met her... (Below threshold)
LoveAmerica ImmigrantL:

I think Hillary has met her match in Obama. He is as good a "liar" as her husband. He is such a smooth spinner that the liberal base is so excited about. Looks like Obama seems to have no shame in making up facts (almost as good as Bill Clinton).

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/07/AR2008010702632.html?nav=rss_opinions

What Ms. Clinton, Mr. Obama, John Edwards and Bill Richardson instead offered was an exclusive focus on the Iraqi political failures -- coupled with a blizzard of assertions about the war that were at best unfounded and in several cases simply false. Mr. Obama led the way, claiming that Sunni tribes in Anbar province joined forces with U.S. troops against al-Qaeda in response to the Democratic victory in the 2006 elections -- a far-fetched assertion for which he offered no evidence.

Mr. Obama acknowledged some reduction of violence, but said he had predicted that adding troops would have that effect. In fact, on Jan. 8, 2007, he said that in the absence of political progress, "I don't think 15,000 or 20,000 more troops is going to make a difference in Iraq and in Baghdad." He also said he saw "no evidence that additional American troops would change the behavior of Iraqi sectarian politicians and make them start reining in violence by members of their religious groups." Ms. Clinton, for her part, refused to retract a statement she made in September, when she said it would require "a suspension of disbelief" to believe that the surge was working.

@ Drudge...HILLARY U... (Below threshold)
Enos Sporf:

@ Drudge...
HILLARY UNLOADS: YOU'RE NO MARTIN LUTHER KING

...and you're no President Clinton.

NH unloads...Hillary.

NBC's Brian Williams too... (Below threshold)
drjohn:

NBC's Brian Williams took to MSNBC today at noon and had this to say:


WILLIAMS: I interviewed Lee Cowan, our reporter who covers Obama, while we were out yesterday and posted the interview on the web. Lee says it's hard to stay objective covering this guy. Courageous for Lee to say, to be honest. The e-mail flood started out we caught you guys, we never did trust you. That kind of thing. I think it is a very interesting dynamic. I saw middle-aged women just throw their arms around Barack Obama, kiss him hard on the cheek and say, you know, I'm with you, good luck. And i think he feels it, too.

http://www.mediabistro.com/fishbowlDC/television/journo_love_for_obama_74502.asp

Toldja

Party like a Barack Star<br... (Below threshold)
justice58:

Party like a Barack Star
Party like a Barack Star
Party like a Barack Star
T-t-t-Totally dude

Wink!




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