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Hard Choices

With apologies to Governor Huckabee and Congressman Paul, the GOP race is effectively over, and Senator John "Maverick" McCain is all but sure to claim the Republican party's nomination for President of the United States. This news has provoked a range of responses, and created a condition for all the major players which, at the very least, means a set of hard choices for us all.

First, the hard-line Right. I consider myself as strong a Conservative as anyone I know, and frankly I have no great desire to see John McCain in the White House, but I have to say I am appalled by some of the statements made by even leading Conservatives. Ann Coulter's claim that she will actively support the Democrats' nominee out of spite against McCain, is a poor decision on many counts, including comprehension of the difference between even the weakest Republican President and any potential Democrat in the office, as well as simple ideals of the party. Conservatives are bitterly disappointed, and with cause, that the party they worked so hard to build has denied them an effectively Conservative representative in this election cycle. There was no Reagan in this race, not even a Bush. There were people who said the right things, but they never caught on, and the men who won the early primaries were none of them quite what Conservatives wanted. As a result, Conservatives must now choose between a man with whom they have strong differences, a party which threatens massive damage to the country should it claim control of the White House and Congress at the same time, and sitting out the election and hoping for the best. I don't think any of the three choices will sit well with Conservatives.

Next, Senators Clinton and Obama. You might not think they would have much to worry about, but indeed they do. You see, before Super Tuesday both parties had an all-out tussle going, and while McCain had the lead, if Romney or Huckabee had a big day on Feb. 5 then things would be back to total chaos, while Clinton and Obama each hoped to pull cleanly away from their rival. Instead, the opposite happened - the GOP race is pretty much decided, while the Democrats are neck and neck, and they have some sharp disagreements on their record. At the very least, the Democrat candidates will each have to spend a lot of energy and resources trying to win the party nomination, while McCain can begin his general campaign right now. Clinton and Obama will each maintain something of a negative campaign, while McCain can build up name recognition with the undecided voter as a positive force, memories of his own negative tactics fading as he moves ahead. Figuring out how to beat your party opponent and McCain from the Republicans at the same time, will be unquestionably be problematic for both Senator Clinton and Senator Obama.

-- [] continued [] --

Then there are Senator McCain's own hard choices. McCain won the commanding lead he has, through courting the independent-minded and socially liberal Republicans and middle-ground voters, which may provide some help in the general election for him. But no Republican candidate can win the White House without making sure his party is solidly behind him. And that party support depends heavily on Conservative support. In 1988, almost all Conservatives supported G.H.W. Bush, and he cleared 53% of the Popular Vote, the last Presidential candidate to do so well. In 1992, almost no Conservatives supported "Poppy" Bush, and he barely cleared 37% of the Popular Vote. In 2000, Conservatives were lukewarm to George W. Bush, and he only barely won through a popular minority and Electoral majority. But in 2004, Conservatives poured support on for Dubya, and he cleared 51% of the Popular Vote. Having or not having the support of the Conservatives can therefore be said to mean at least 6% in the Popular Vote margin, and possibly double that. It is obvious that McCain cannot win without the Conservatives behind him, but if he chases the Conservatives, he may lose those social Liberals who would not already have chosen to support Obama or Hillary.

Also, it may be too late for McCain to decide he needs the Conservatives' support. The war between McCain and Conservatives is not the result of one issue or one incident - John McCain went out of his way, well out of his way in some cases, to make enemies of Conservatives and to attack them, in some cases completely without cause. It's not just McCain's vote on some issues as the way he discussed them in public, viciously denouncing Conservatives time and time again. McCain also acted in a narcissistic manner on a regular basis, not merely supporting but leading a movement to deny Senate committee votes to judicial nominees, to prohibit support for public debate just before elections, and in regularly defying his Senate Majority Leader, GOP leadership, and even tossed off regular snipes at President Bush, displaying a petulance and temper ill-suited to a would-be head of state. McCain did not merely burn some bridges, he cratered the landscape around the wreckage, salted the ground and disparaged all efforts to commend him to a more gracious behavior. Just how Senator McCain will be able to construct a unified party in time to win the General Election seems at the moment to be beyond the scope of feasibility.

Conservative bloggers and pundits also have hard choices to make. Posting articles which tear down McCain may be factually accurate and idealistically suitable, but this could help the Democrats, which is universally a bad idea. Supporting McCain without pointing out the areas where he is well out of bounds, however, would be unethical and only encourage his arrogance and false assumptions - anyone want to bet that the Democrats are not ready to go after every one of McCain's many weak spots? Bloggers also need to keep their emotions in check. Ann Coulter's little hissy-fit about supporting a Democrat will do no good for the Conservative Movement, especially if some of her readers get the idea that voting Hillary or Obama would be any wiser than dousing yourself with gasoline, lighting up a stogie and tap-dancing through a minefield. Set a better example please, Ms. Coulter. Just as Dan Rather's criminal attempt to influence the 2004 election with forged documents was unacceptable, those people who are fortunate enough to have a large following must be reminded that they are accountable for the course they counsel their people to follow. While it is true that Conservatives are not lockstep robots, it remains a penultimate sin for an icon to forget that he or she does influence millions of people. This makes the choices weighty, but we must in any case be aware of that fact.

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Comments (212)

You *really* need to re-thi... (Below threshold)

You *really* need to re-think what you're saying here. First of all, you write, "Ann Coulter's claim that she will actively support the Democrats' nominee out of spite against McCain" - which is simply untrue. Her reasons are clearly stated and do not include spite:

On the litmus test issues of our time, only partially excluding Iraq, McCain is a liberal.

-- He excoriated Samuel Alito as too "conservative."

-- He promoted amnesty for 20 million illegal immigrants.

-- He abridged citizens' free speech (in favor of the media) with McCain-Feingold.

-- He hysterically opposes waterboarding terrorists and wants to shut down Guantanamo.

Can I take a breath now?

-- He denounced the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth.

-- He opposes ANWR and supports the global warming cult, even posturing with fellow mountebank Arnold Schwarzenegger in front of solar panels.

You may not think those reasons are adequate, and it's more than fair to dislike her bombthrowing style. But dishonestly saying that her reason is spite and characterizing it as a hissy fit is beneath you.

Ann Coulter's decision doesn't harm the conservative movement one iota. It hurts the GOP, which is an entirely different thing.

Oh, and comparing a disagreeable, forcefully expressed opinion with disseminating fake documents? You're embarrassing yourself. Please stop.

"Can I take a breath now?" ... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

"Can I take a breath now?" - Laura.

Please do. A deep one. Then please take the trouble to go back and read the entire article, not just firing off as soon as you hit a part you don't like.

You might also want to look up the definition for "spite".

Yes, Conservatives do have ... (Below threshold)
Skip:

Yes, Conservatives do have a hard choice. Do we want zero chance of an acceptable President in the next 8 years, or a very small chance of one.

The next 4 years are already decided, the decisions we need to make are for the 4 after that.

I did read your entire arti... (Below threshold)

I did read your entire article, thanks. I just think you're dead wrong.

I did mess up my blockquote - the section from "on the issues" down to "solar panels" is quoted from anncoulter.com. Those are her stated reasons, and don't include any of these.

A Republican that Ann Coult... (Below threshold)
John Irving:

A Republican that Ann Coulter hates pretty much fits my definition of viable candidate.

I have some strong disagreements with McCain, but annoying the far right wing isn't one of them.

See, irf in four years you ... (Below threshold)
Ryan M:

See, irf in four years you DO get your conservative candidate, what happens if in the meantime you have completely alienated the moderate republican wing by heaping vitriol their way and essentially throwing the election to Hillary?

You see, what goes around comes around, and if you throw a hissy fit this time, they fvery well might do it next time. How will you feel if you get your ideal candidate. .and because of yourfit of pique and insistance on the candidates ideology being as pure as the driven snow. .they go down in flames?

Have we forgotten everythin... (Below threshold)
Burt:

Have we forgotten everything that Karl Rove taught us about elections? Ann Coulter's endorsement just made Hillary pure poison to nearly all Democrat voters. In just a few words Ann accomplished what conservatives have been trying to do with money and campaigning. Ann has stopped Hillary.

Also. .using the standards ... (Below threshold)
Ryan:

Also. .using the standards I have seen some of these loons applying to the race, we will never have a viable presidential candidate again> They will remain pure. .and completely unrepresented in the United states government.

"Ann has stopped Hillary." ... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

"Ann has stopped Hillary." - Burt

Hillary seems unimpeded, if RCP's numbers are to be believed.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_delegate_count.html


DJ, don't be such a defeati... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

DJ, don't be such a defeatists. There is still hope, but you and your brothers must act now.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1966036/posts

Oh yeah, Ryan, calling peop... (Below threshold)
Skip:

Oh yeah, Ryan, calling people who are standing on principle childish, yeah, that will help restore the Republican coalition. Way to go. That will sure help us in four years.

Nearly everyone has a line that they would not cross in a nominee. Would you vote for the R if it were David Duke, or even a slightly more sane Ron Paul? My line was McCain. I supported Thompson, but I would have voted for every single other candidate.

Barney, I'm curious. D'you... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

Barney, I'm curious. D'you support His Blackness, who does not have a record, or Her Femininity, who hides hers?

Laura's comment certainly d... (Below threshold)
mikem[TypeKey Profile Page]:

Laura's comment certainly deserved more than the flippant and way off target "reply" from DJ. I have a feeling that this is the way it's going to be from here on out. McCain critics, of which there were many here at Wizbang will suddenly become "denialists" and McCain defenders will become "reality based".

One of the ways used to disarm an opponent in debate is to label their reaction and arguments as irrational or emotional and so we will be seeing a lot of the "spite" and "suicide" words applied to people like Laura and myself. It does no good for converted McCain supporters, as party loyalists, to admit that there could be a logical political calculation to not supporting McCain in an all but unwinnable election. Better to dismiss McCain denialists as nuts and extremists.

DJ, way to sink to race/gen... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

DJ, way to sink to race/gender baiting.

You're a class act all the way.

Race and gender baiting? G... (Below threshold)
Chad:

Race and gender baiting? Give me a break... Obama and Hillary are the ones desperately playing the race and gender cards here. And you sarcastically calling DJ a class act is freaking hilarious. You wouldn't know a class act if it bit you on your liberal buttocks.

One of the ways used to ... (Below threshold)
mantis:

One of the ways used to disarm an opponent in debate is to label their reaction and arguments as irrational or emotional and so we will be seeing a lot of the "spite" and "suicide" words applied to people like Laura and myself.

Well, you are dealing with Republicans here. ;)

mikem, the funniest thing a... (Below threshold)
lol'ing:

mikem, the funniest thing about obstinate whiners like Drummond is that they will vote for McCain, but will hold themselves above you because you came to the same conclusion as them more quickly.

Well, you are dealing with ... (Below threshold)
LoveAmerica, Immigrant:

Well, you are dealing with Republicans here. ;)
-------------------------------
Another idiotic post from Lava 's brainwashed moron.

mikem, if you actually look... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

mikem, if you actually look at the article, you will see that I agree with many of Laura's complaints. I even agreed that these incidents may collectively be more than McCain can repair with conservatives.

However, to publicly declare support for a candidate known to stand against all Conservative values and ideals, simply because you are angry at the Republican candidate, no matter how valid the cause, is indeed to act rashly and in spite, and instead of the limited damage a McCain Presidency would do, risks the widespread catastrophe of much worse effects:

Yes, McCain may not nominate another Alito, but he would surely nominate better judges than we would see from Clinton or Obama;

Yes, McCain is 'iffy' on certain aspects of the WOT, but he would not desert Iraq or Afghanistan, while Clinton and Obama are already on record for a bug-out.

I don't think I need to go on. Taxes, government regulation, socialized medicine, restrictions of free speech, on every conceivable front a Democrat would be worse than anything we have reason to expect from McCain.

That does not mean McCain has earned your support, or that you owe him anything. But working for the enemy is always going to be out of bounds. That should be obvious to everyone.

Thanks Chad. As Chad expla... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

Thanks Chad. As Chad explained, Barney, it's Obama who makes a big deal about being a black candidate; it didn't matter to Dr. Keyes when he ran, or Condi Rice in doing her job. ONLY Democrats make a big deal about race as some sort of QUALIFICATION for a job.

As for Hillary, name me one other candidate crying on cue this campaign. Name me one other candidate who sells how 'hard' it is to be a woman running against all those men. Yep, you want to see who's pandering gender, it's Hillary. I merely called her on it.

Oh and lol'ing, you might want to actually read all the words in the article, because you pretend to sum up my position on a point. You missed this one badly.

Let's get one thing straigh... (Below threshold)
james wallaby kangaroo:

Let's get one thing straight, nothing Ann Coulter says about Hillary will make any difference. Outisde of the most far right circles, Ann Coulter's opinion is simply not taken seriously by anyone. I seriously doubt that Ann Coulter even takes the things she says seriously. She is good at saying very reactionary things to make money, thanks to you all.

another comment- you all are so against mccain based on his positions on things which you view as sacred cows; immigration, etc. mccain is no liberal. have you ever thought about why mccain believes what he does? he's a senator from AZ, so surely his constituency has some interest in the illegal immigration debate.

your belief system is going extinct. as is your power. that is what your Mr. Bush and company has achieved for you. What happened to the permanent republican majority?

"working for the enemy"<... (Below threshold)
P. Bunyan:

"working for the enemy"

That's true in this case on many levels.

"simply because you are ang... (Below threshold)

"simply because you are angry at the Republican candidate,"

Her reasons are clear. Why do you keep reducing them to mere emotionalism? McCain has made it abundantly clear that on many issues, "liberal" is an entirely appropriate adjective to describe him. Now as President, and with the support of a Democrat majority Congress, try to imagine just how much more effective he will be implementing those ideas than Obama or Hillary would be with the Republicans nearly universally against him/her. His damage would not be limited *nearly* as much as a Democrats would be because he would split the Republican opposition. This isn't about being mad. It's about simple logic.

As for judges - McCain took that argument off the table himself when he proved that a handful of rogue Senators controls who gets a chance to be on SCOTUS.

I seriously fear that this ... (Below threshold)

I seriously fear that this part:

"John McCain went out of his way, well out of his way in some cases, to make enemies of Conservatives and to attack them, in some cases completely without cause. It's not just McCain's vote on some issues as the way he discussed them in public, viciously denouncing Conservatives time and time again. McCain also acted in a narcissistic manner on a regular basis, not merely supporting but leading a movement to deny Senate committee votes to judicial nominees, to prohibit support for public debate just before elections, and in regularly defying his Senate Majority Leader, GOP leadership, and even tossed off regular snipes at President Bush, displaying a petulance and temper ill-suited to a would-be head of state. McCain did not merely burn some bridges, he cratered the landscape around the wreckage, salted the ground and disparaged all efforts to commend him to a more gracious behavior."

Will be written again on 11/05/08...

I'm sorry, but it IS childi... (Below threshold)
Ryan:

I'm sorry, but it IS childish. Standing on principle is fine when thne you are punishing is yourself.I dislike the EXACT same things you do about McCain, hover I am not insane enough to gine that we would somehow be better off with Hillary or Obama. YOu see, the difference is tre more about the wellfare of _the UNited States_ than "The conservative movement' - the 'COnservative movement' never does any good if you constantly reject anyone imperfect and allow people who espouse the complete dismantling of everything you have accomplished into office.

THe gulf between McCain and either of the democrats is MUCH larger than the gulf between Cain and my ideal candidate. ANd, if you really thought about ideal candidate. On every issue where you excoriate McCain, the Democrat would do _at best_ the same or in almost all cases _Worse_/. SO my apologies, but I really don't see your point in any way. I don't consider a stand that injured your cause to be principled. I don't see a stand that sets all the gains you have made back to be principled.


I'm sorry, I don't like McCain either, but. . . .I dislike him> I LOATHE the alternative.

"Outisde of the most far ri... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

"Outisde of the most far right circles, Ann Coulter's opinion is simply not taken seriously by anyone"

Finally, someone on the right acknowledges CPAC is the "most far right circle" of the GOP:

"Ann Coulter's only full speech and Q & A at CPAC will be on Friday, February 8, 2008 at 4:00 pm "

Well, we know we're going t... (Below threshold)
mimisk:

Well, we know we're going to end up with either McCain, Clinton or Obama in November.

Here's the thing, if we don't have as many Republicans (even if they're RINOS) in the House and Senate as we can, there won't be any Republican comeback in 2012 and probably never; and you can forget about third party stuff. That never works.

The President will probably not get much done if we can create deadlock in both House and Senate. Choose who you want or don't for President, but do vote Republican on all the rest of the ballot. It could make a difference even if we can push back a little in the coming 4 years.

DJ: "it's Obama who makes a... (Below threshold)
BarneyG2000:

DJ: "it's Obama who makes a big deal about being a black candidate;" and how has he done that? Maybe in his "One United States of America" speech at the '04 convention?

Please feel free to continue to call Obama "His-blackness" when you refer to him. I wouldn't want you to have to play out of character.

As far as Hillary is concerned, Romney and Rudy have cried like babies on numerous occasions during their campaigns.

Laura, one more time. Choo... (Below threshold)
DJ Drummond:

Laura, one more time. Choosing not to vote for someone because they have not earned your votes, yes that is principled.

Publicly declaring support for someone whose values and purposes you rightly despise, in order to 'punish' someone who won't even pay attention whatever the outcome, and in so doing risking the installment of the worst of potential political conditions, and in so doing damaging your own movement's strength, credibility, and future? That is definitely pure spite, and there is no better word to describe it.

Please feel free to continu... (Below threshold)
LoveAmerica, Immigrant:

Please feel free to continue to call Obama "His-blackness" when you refer to him. I wouldn't want you to have to play out of character.
------------------------------------
Why have been you shilling for the Clintons all these years? BTW, are you supporting Obama because of his church association (Farakkhan was honored there)?


As far as Hillary is concerned, Romney and Rudy have cried like babies on numerous occasions during their campaigns.
------------------------------------
Are you going to vote for McCain now? Or you have been conned by Obama? Or you actually think that his platform represents your true conviction?


"The President will probabl... (Below threshold)
james wallaby kangaroo:

"The President will probably not get much done if we can create deadlock in both House and Senate."

That's the spirit I like to see! It's not like there are any real, serious and pressing problems that need to be solved by the next administration, whoever it may be. The real goal for all americans should be to be as obstructionist as possible. Actually, your attitude explains why the "conservatives" (misnomer, by the way) are on the way out. Your "my way or the highway" attitude is simply not good enough anymore. There are REAL problems which need very difficult solutions now, and they are going to require some compromise. This is not an all conservative country, I regret to inform you. What we need now is not simply a war of attrition by conservatives or liberals- we need solutions. if conservative candidates don't see this, or can't, it is time for them to step out of the way. clearly this is what the american people are saying now.

bye-bye deadenders. you have done quite enough damage already. to use your phrase, the "grownups" are going to have to clean up your mess now. i hope there are some grownups left...

you serisously thought fred thompson was going to be able to pull this one off? no wonder all of your "convservative" candidates are gone now. get real, people. time to wake up.

"Publicly declaring support... (Below threshold)

"Publicly declaring support for someone whose values and purposes you rightly despise, in order to 'punish' someone who won't even pay attention whatever the outcome, and in so doing risking the installment of the worst of potential political conditions, and in so doing damaging your own movement's strength, credibility, and future? That is definitely pure spite, and there is no better word to describe it."

And once more time, you *refuse* to see that there is a logical, reasonable argument to prefer a D in office rather than McCain, who will do many of the same things the D would, but with the support of a good deal of the GOP.

So to use your methods, I guess I can conclude that your lust for power for the GOP is more important to you than the outcome of socialist and open border policies being enacted?

DJ, Yes, there is ... (Below threshold)
mikem[TypeKey Profile Page]:

DJ,

Yes, there is some anger, just as you get angry at politicians like Kerry or Clinton over certain issues. But that does not make your subsequent stated reasons for opposing them irrational or emotional, right?

For those who see an out of phase Republican victory this cycle as a pipedream anyway, your warnings about Hillary or Obama don't seem to apply. Sure, they are worse. But they are all but sure of winning regardless. And all that we Far Right Extremists (who more or less converted over from Dems to Republicans and made the Republican Party a majority, but now we are Far Right, LOL) can accomplish by supporting the new libertarian Republican party is normalize our marginalization.
It's rational for me and others to oppose McCain. It would not be rational, I guess, for someone who is a minimal tax guy, but for converted Dems it is. We were never minimal tax people to begin with and frankly I consider minimal tax people to be the most deserving of Far Right Extremist labels. Taxes are the meat and bones of Right politics after all.

And DJ, to give you an exam... (Below threshold)