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Rasmussen: McCain Now Has Edge On Economy?

Bill O'Reilly mentioned this from Rasmussen on his show Wednesday night and it sounded like a pretty big deal. Reading the specifics now it seems like an even bigger deal:

After several weeks of John McCain's campaign attacks on Barack Obama's tax plan and idea of "spreading the wealth around", the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%.

Two weeks ago, Obama had a one point-advantage on the issue of taxes and a month ago, he had a three-point edge. The last time McCain had the advantage on this issue was September 14, just before the collapse of Lehman Brothers started the meltdown on Wall Street...

Men favor McCain by a 51% to 43% margin when it comes to taxes, while women still trust Obama more, 48% to 43%.

Voters now trust Obama overall on six out of ten electoral issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports. Two weeks ago, the Democrat holding the edge on seven issues. A month ago, Obama had the advantage on every issue.

McCain also has gained ground as the candidate to trust on economic issues. Forty-eight percent (48%) now trust the Republican hopeful more than the Democrat while 47% hold the opposite view. This is the first time McCain has led on the issue that has hurt his campaign since September 17. One month ago, Obama held a nine-point advantage when it came to economic issues.

Follow the link for additional results on issues including Iraq and abortion. I used a question mark in the post title because I wonder if other polls will show the same thing. If the findings of this poll reflect reality there still might be a chance for McCain to win -- despite the heavy Democrat turnout in early voting and all the voter fraud we are already seeing.


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Comments (15)

Do you realise <a href="htt... (Below threshold)

Do you realise how popular Barack Obama is today? Almost as big as The Phillies!

So 'taxes' = 'economy'?... (Below threshold)

So 'taxes' = 'economy'?

Seriously, you going to cal... (Below threshold)
hyperbolist:

Seriously, you going to call a 1% difference between the two an "advantage"? Have you ever read anything that DJ has posted? Do you understand what the words "margin of error" mean?

Hyper, just because the rac... (Below threshold)
WildWillie:

Hyper, just because the race has tightened and people are starting to question Obama's judgement and competence, you don't need to get snarly. Besides, you are in canada, you can't vote unless ACORN signed you up. ww

This is the first time Hype... (Below threshold)

This is the first time Hyper has shown outward concern for the margin of error. I wonder why.

"Seriously, you going to ca... (Below threshold)
retired military:

"Seriously, you going to call a 1% difference between the two an "advantage"? Have you ever read anything that DJ has posted? Do you understand what the words "margin of error" mean?"

If Obama was up by 1 percent I am sure that Hyper would by hyping that.

Please read the piece befor... (Below threshold)
Lorie:

Please read the piece before commenting, guys. It just makes you look silly when you don't.

So 'taxes' = 'economy'? - Frederick Ferguson

If you bothered to read the piece, or even just the short excerpt I posted, you would know that McCain now leads on taxes by 2% and
"McCain also has gained ground as the candidate to trust on economic issues" with a 1% advantage.

McCain now leads on taxes and on "economic issues."

What is significant is not the 1% or 2%, but the trend. Please read the piece, and you will see that this is the first time since the market crash that Obama has not held the lead on these issues. McCain last led on taxes on Sept. 14 and on economic issues Sept. 17. That is the reason it is noteworthy, but if you read the post you would have known that. Or maybe you did read it and do know that, but you are trying to distract and entice us to respond to ignorant comments so we won't be out making GOTV calls for McCain. Call me suspicious, but it does make me wonder.

I'll be making calls this afternoon. A new WRAL poll shows Dole with a 4 point lead over Hagan now. Don't know if it is right or not, but it sure does give me incentive to push the GOTV.

I'd caution those ... (Below threshold)
irongrampa:


I'd caution those who trumpet the Dem's advantage in early voting. Until those votes are unsealed , y'all have no idea who the votes were cast FOR.

It would be deliciously ironic if the majority were banked for McCain.

I don't know what to believ... (Below threshold)
Lorie:

I don't know what to believe. We could be seeing an Obama blowout, a close race with Obama winning or a race with McCain winning narrowly. The polls are all over the place, but the only ones showing McCain leading are the early voting exit polls in a couple of states. I am reluctant to believe those exit polls showing a McCain edge in Florida and Nevada because I find it hard to believe that many Dems are crossing over to vote McCain. No way to know until all the votes are counted though.

The number of registered Dems and Rs voting early is a real number, not a poll, and it shows Dems with such huge advantages that I am worried, but if these exit polls are right maybe McCain will pull it out. So hard to know what the heck to think. AJ Strata has a great rundown of the numbers and what they might mean.

http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/6935

Oyster, a good understandin... (Below threshold)
hyperbolist:

Oyster, a good understanding of MoE is integral to doing my job well. I would never bray about Obama enjoying a 2% "lead". However, where Obama polls within the MoE in a red state, that is cause for optimism--but it's not to say that he's leading.

So, had Lorie said "Obama loses edge on economy according to one poll", and not suggested that he now in fact has the edge--without a shred of statistically valid evidence--her point would be valid. As such it's disingenuous and misleading, or perhaps it just demonstrates a complete and utter ignorance of the import of statistical figures.

Lorie, do you think Dole's ... (Below threshold)
hyperbolist:

Lorie, do you think Dole's resurgence might be related to her shameful smear ads about Hagan's "Godlessness"? Hagan, who is more heavily involved in her Christian church than Dole ever was in hers?

Anybody who lets that sort of ad sway their opinion is a horrible person. Even if Hagan were "Godless", Dole is still more of a ghoul than Hagan could ever pretend to be.

Hyperbolist should be renam... (Below threshold)
Lorie:

Hyperbolist should be renamed Clueless and Tedious.

What do you think the question mark at the end of the post title meant? Or the fact that I never said it was in more than one poll? That is why the first word in the post title is "Rasmussen." Duh, as my eight year old would say.

Do you even bother to read the post titles? It is obvious you don't always read the posts. Please people read the posts and the post titles before commenting so that you don't sound utterly ignorant of what the post says.

Geez this is silly. Re-read the post title, hyper, then re-read your comment and you will realize just how utterly stupid it sounds. And I am still going to phone bank today.

Dole is now ahead in the WRAL poll by 4 points so there is still a lot to be gained by some good old GOTV here in NC.

Here is the comment I was referring to:

Oyster, a good understanding of MoE is integral to doing my job well. I would never bray about Obama enjoying a 2% "lead". However, where Obama polls within the MoE in a red state, that is cause for optimism--but it's not to say that he's leading.

So, had Lorie said "Obama loses edge on economy according to one poll", and not suggested that he now in fact has the edge--without a shred of statistically valid evidence--her point would be valid. As such it's disingenuous and misleading, or perhaps it just demonstrates a complete and utter ignorance of the import of statistical figures. -- hyperbolist

Adding a question mark? You... (Below threshold)
hyperbolist:

Adding a question mark? You're hilarious, Lorie.

An example of why that's a stupid defense: "Obama--A SECRET MUSLIM!" is no different from "Obama--A SECRET MUSLIM?!". It is an attempt at sowing a seed. Posing a leading question is the same thing as making a statement, and to pretend otherwise belies either a lack of honesty or a dismal understanding of your own language and the way it is commonly used.

McCain does not have the edge on the economy. This one poll suggests that Obama has lost some of it. So that answers the "question" you posed here.

Good luck with the phone bank. Be sure to ask people how they feel about their incumbent Senator smearing her Christian opponent as "Godless". They will probably find that tactic interesting.

"Obama--A SECRET M... (Below threshold)
LaMedusa:
"Obama--A SECRET MUSLIM!" is no different from "Obama--A SECRET MUSLIM?!"

Actually, it's not a secret any more.

So McCain's Republican camp... (Below threshold)
DLW:

So McCain's Republican campaign of lies is acheiving some success, with all those average Joes out there thinking they are somehow in the top 5%, or that Repo-Man trickle-down economics somehow works after all, to do anything other than what it was intended to do: redistribute wealth toward the wealthy. If Republicans can claim that Obama plans to raise taxes on the middle class when he has said nothing of the sort, then Democrats can claim that McCain plans to invade and occupy Iran. The Republican campaign has been reduced to saying that Democrats are lying about what they intend to do. But then the Party of God, the American Hezbollah, has never been constrained by considerations of morality. The end justifes the means, and weekly church-going is all they need to satisfy themselves of their righteousness.




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