From Jim Geraghty at Campaign Spot:
I noticed this account of an exit pollster in Stafford, Virginia:08:32 - AP doing exit polling in Stafford. Talking 4 to 1 to minorities over whites at a Republican precinct (Falmouth). Expect it to be skewed. Don't trust the exit polls as they start to trickle out.Only an anecdote, but not promising. Are the exit pollsters aiming for egg on their faces two presidential races in a row?
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2008 Presidential Race
Comments (12)
After 2004 exit polling deb... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Good Captain | November 4, 2008 4:37 PM | Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
After 2004 exit polling debacle, I foolishly attributed that to error. If this happens yet again, I think the reasonable assumption must be that this mispolling is intentional.
1. Posted by Good Captain | November 4, 2008 4:37 PM |
Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 16:37
2. Posted by Gmac | November 4, 2008 4:42 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Who cares about exit polls? Sample rates aside do you really think they are an accurate predictor of the final outcome? Were they there when the polls opened this morning to sample votes of people who were there prior to going in to work or during the day, when people are normally at work? There are to many variables in play to even begin to take those polls as a serious indicator of voting trends.
The bottom line is those polls are so inaccurate that they are only used to skew public opinion, nothing else.
2. Posted by Gmac | November 4, 2008 4:42 PM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 16:42
3. Posted by Sue | November 4, 2008 4:45 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
I'm sorry that is ridiculous. My sister lives in Stafford. It is considered "redneck country" because it is probably 95% white. My sister is one of few non-whites. There is no way they will get accurate data by polling minorities 4 to 1.
3. Posted by Sue | November 4, 2008 4:45 PM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 16:45
4. Posted by JLawson | November 4, 2008 5:15 PM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
What makes you think they're looking for accurate data?
The story is already written, they're just looking for the proper sound bites.
4. Posted by JLawson | November 4, 2008 5:15 PM |
Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 17:15
5. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 5:16 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Polls are what they are. Just go out and vote for who you think makes the most sense. There is no need to "trust" polls, let alone let them determine how you vote.
5. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 5:16 PM |
Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 17:16
6. Posted by Bush'sdog | November 4, 2008 5:21 PM | Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
They just want to sow the seeds of doubt when McCain wins. It will be "look at the exit polls.." all over again.
When you can't win fair...
6. Posted by Bush'sdog | November 4, 2008 5:21 PM |
Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 17:21
7. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 6:06 PM | Score: -2 (6 votes cast)
Yeah McCain is totally gonna win you guyz!!!
You should totally bet the farm on it.
7. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 6:06 PM |
Score: -2 (6 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:06
8. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 6:38 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Hyperbolist:
Yeah McCain is totally gonna win you guyz!!!
Alright man, I know you're excited and all, but maybe it would be a good idea to let the political process play out before you make assumptions about who has won. Nobody has won anythin at this point. Sure, the polls seem to be indicative of an Obama win (or they have), but polls are not reality. People are out there voting and we will see the results soon enough.
8. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 6:38 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:38
9. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 6:47 PM | Score: -2 (4 votes cast)
I was replying to Bush'sdog who said something about what will happen "when Mccain wins". I think he meant "if".
You're right, of course. Best not to open the champagne until the fat lady has sung.
9. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 6:47 PM |
Score: -2 (4 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:47
10. Posted by WildWillie | November 4, 2008 6:47 PM | Score: 0 (4 votes cast)
Exit polls in 2004 showed Kerry trouncing GW. We know how well that went. Hyper, isn't there a canadian government official you can bother? You remind me of Cliff Claven on Cheers. ww
10. Posted by WildWillie | November 4, 2008 6:47 PM |
Score: 0 (4 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:47
11. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 9:08 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Willie, you remind me of an old man covering his ears and going "Lalalalala" when every single piece of information around him is contrary to that which he most dearly hopes to be the case. Hope you've stocked up on Wild Turkey, it's going to be a tough 8 years for you.
11. Posted by hyperbolist | November 4, 2008 9:08 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 21:08
12. Posted by Tom Blogical![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://wizbangblog.com/nav-commenters.gif)
| November 4, 2008 9:14 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
"You should totally bet the farm on it."
May as well. There won't be a farm for anyone to bet with in 4-8 years anyway, thanks to our new Dear Leader.
12. Posted by Tom Blogical![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://wizbangblog.com/nav-commenters.gif)
| November 4, 2008 9:14 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 21:14