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Will Virginia Turn The Election For McCain?

Signs, including early exit polling, are looking decent for John McCain pulling off a surprise comeback win in Virginia. There's not a lot of hard data at this point, but of the previously red states that the Obama campaign put a full court press on Virgina was the prime battleground. Going into today it was anywhere from Obama up 5% to a tossup, so a McCain win would be a dramatic reversal. Late breakers in Virgina are going to McCain and his success will depend on winning Loudoun and Prince William counties convincingly, which I think is a possibility.

So, the question up for discussion is whether an early win in Virginia would influence any western states that are still close or if it would shake things up elsewhere?

Update: McCain lost Loudoun and Prince William counties which cost him the state.


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Comments (12)

Ya, that could happen. But... (Below threshold)
RA:

Ya, that could happen. But then again, it could have the opposite effect and spur more Obama voters to head to the polls in the west. Who knows?

Virginia could go. I am pr... (Below threshold)
Matt:

Virginia could go. I am pretty sure the huge military-industrial complex in VA was not considered in polling. That is a huge number of people, and relatives that could reasonably be expected to vote McCain, possibly enough to offset new voters.

You are obviously ei... (Below threshold)
dr lava:


You are obviously either on a hallucinogenic or watching Fox. McCain has less than a 3% chance of taking VA.

McCain has less than a 3... (Below threshold)
Clay:

McCain has less than a 3% chance of taking VA.

Get ready to have your nose rubbed in it.

Wow, 3%, just where in the ... (Below threshold)
Bob Jones:

Wow, 3%, just where in the hell did you get THAT number.

Fox just called WV for McCa... (Below threshold)
Mac Lorry:

Fox just called WV for McCain

I don't know the make up of... (Below threshold)
Baggi:

I don't know the make up of Virginia but currently there are 25% of the votes in and McCain has 56% of the vote.

Let's hope that holds up.

With 34% of the polls in VA... (Below threshold)
Clay:

With 34% of the polls in VA reporting, McCain is up almost 9%. I believe it's dr lava who's hitting the funny sauce tonight.

Will Virginia Turn The E... (Below threshold)
Brian:

Will Virginia Turn The Election For McCain?

No.

if by "turn the election" y... (Below threshold)
gmanj:

if by "turn the election" you mean it's now his last best hope, maybe.

With so many other states g... (Below threshold)
Lorie:

With so many other states going to Obama, Virginia won't turn the election, but it is looking like McCain is likely to win there and considering I heard so many say Obama could win VA by as much as 10 percent, that is a pretty big deal.

Your fair and balanced frie... (Below threshold)
gmanj:

Your fair and balanced friends are calling Ohio for That One. We can all go to bed now if we want.




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