Signs, including early exit polling, are looking decent for John McCain pulling off a surprise comeback win in Virginia. There's not a lot of hard data at this point, but of the previously red states that the Obama campaign put a full court press on Virgina was the prime battleground. Going into today it was anywhere from Obama up 5% to a tossup, so a McCain win would be a dramatic reversal. Late breakers in Virgina are going to McCain and his success will depend on winning Loudoun and Prince William counties convincingly, which I think is a possibility.
So, the question up for discussion is whether an early win in Virginia would influence any western states that are still close or if it would shake things up elsewhere?
Update: McCain lost Loudoun and Prince William counties which cost him the state.






Comments (12)
Ya, that could happen. But... (Below threshold)1. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 6:15 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Ya, that could happen. But then again, it could have the opposite effect and spur more Obama voters to head to the polls in the west. Who knows?
1. Posted by RA | November 4, 2008 6:15 PM |
Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:15
2. Posted by Matt | November 4, 2008 6:25 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Virginia could go. I am pretty sure the huge military-industrial complex in VA was not considered in polling. That is a huge number of people, and relatives that could reasonably be expected to vote McCain, possibly enough to offset new voters.
2. Posted by Matt | November 4, 2008 6:25 PM |
Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:25
3. Posted by dr lava | November 4, 2008 6:32 PM | Score: -9 (9 votes cast)
You are obviously either on a hallucinogenic or watching Fox. McCain has less than a 3% chance of taking VA.
3. Posted by dr lava | November 4, 2008 6:32 PM |
Score: -9 (9 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 18:32
4. Posted by Clay | November 4, 2008 7:02 PM | Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
McCain has less than a 3% chance of taking VA.
Get ready to have your nose rubbed in it.
4. Posted by Clay | November 4, 2008 7:02 PM |
Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 19:02
5. Posted by Bob Jones | November 4, 2008 7:31 PM | Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
Wow, 3%, just where in the hell did you get THAT number.
5. Posted by Bob Jones | November 4, 2008 7:31 PM |
Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 19:31
6. Posted by Mac Lorry | November 4, 2008 7:47 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Fox just called WV for McCain
6. Posted by Mac Lorry | November 4, 2008 7:47 PM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 19:47
7. Posted by Baggi | November 4, 2008 8:21 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
I don't know the make up of Virginia but currently there are 25% of the votes in and McCain has 56% of the vote.
Let's hope that holds up.
7. Posted by Baggi | November 4, 2008 8:21 PM |
Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 20:21
8. Posted by Clay | November 4, 2008 8:23 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
With 34% of the polls in VA reporting, McCain is up almost 9%. I believe it's dr lava who's hitting the funny sauce tonight.
8. Posted by Clay | November 4, 2008 8:23 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 20:23
9. Posted by Brian | November 4, 2008 8:47 PM | Score: 0 (2 votes cast)
Will Virginia Turn The Election For McCain?
No.
9. Posted by Brian | November 4, 2008 8:47 PM |
Score: 0 (2 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 20:47
10. Posted by gmanj | November 4, 2008 9:16 PM | Score: 1 (3 votes cast)
if by "turn the election" you mean it's now his last best hope, maybe.
10. Posted by gmanj | November 4, 2008 9:16 PM |
Score: 1 (3 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 21:16
11. Posted by Lorie | November 4, 2008 9:17 PM | Score: -2 (2 votes cast)
With so many other states going to Obama, Virginia won't turn the election, but it is looking like McCain is likely to win there and considering I heard so many say Obama could win VA by as much as 10 percent, that is a pretty big deal.
11. Posted by Lorie | November 4, 2008 9:17 PM |
Score: -2 (2 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 21:17
12. Posted by gmanj | November 4, 2008 9:26 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Your fair and balanced friends are calling Ohio for That One. We can all go to bed now if we want.
12. Posted by gmanj | November 4, 2008 9:26 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 4, 2008 21:26