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LowBama

Tough to hide this decline:

obama_approval_index_december_13_2009.jpg
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.

Today is the second straight day that Obama's Approval Index rating has fallen to a new low. Prior to the past two days, the Approval Index had never fallen below -15 during Obama's time in office (see trends).

The 23% who Strongly Approve matches the lowest level of enthusiasm yet recorded. Just 41% of Democrats Strongly Approve while 69% of Republicans Strongly Disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 21% Strongly Approve and 49% Strongly Disapprove.

Among those who consider the economy to be the most important issue, just 26% Strongly Approve of the President's performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

Among those who consider fiscal policy issues the most important, just 1% Strongly Approve and 81% Strongly Disapprove.

The President's Approval Index rating is -2 among voters under 30 and -29 among senior citizens. From an income perspective, the President's ratings are weakest among those who earn $40,000 to $100,000 annually.

Crossposted(*).


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Comments (26)

Unbelievable! So 23% approv... (Below threshold)
914:

Unbelievable! So 23% approve of failure and misery. What a bunch of brain dead fools.

And even despite his undese... (Below threshold)
Flu-Bird:

And even despite his undeserved peace prize his approval is falling HEY LIBERALS BUSH LASTED LONGER

So Vic...CAT GOT YOUR TONGU... (Below threshold)
Michael:

So Vic...CAT GOT YOUR TONGUE!

One factor to consider in O... (Below threshold)
davidt:

One factor to consider in Obama's drop in polling over the last month is the prominence of Palin, and her criticism of Obama, in the media spotlight.

In the Democrat Media's zeal to try to harm Palin they publicize her criticism of Obama, and that criticism of him is just about the only criticism that reaches a national audience.

Now that Palin's book tour is over the general public will hear less about Obama's negatives as the 'news' media does less reporting on Palin, and his polling may creep upward again as their coverup resumes.

and yet, if you add in the ... (Below threshold)
Justrand:

and yet, if you add in the temperature from the Death Valley on August 12, 1926 and smooth the curve using the mean temperature recommended for serving medium-rare prime rib...you get a Hockey-Stick of APPROVAL!!

Just download the free East Anglia "Easy Graph" (tm) software and get bizzy!

The lamestream media can't ... (Below threshold)
GianiD:

The lamestream media can't whitewash the truth about this inept clown forever.

davidt,Obama's dec... (Below threshold)
sam:

davidt,

Obama's decline in polls is driven by people's perception of the economy and jobs.

Palin has little to do with it.

As people realize during the holiday season that they don't have as much money to spend, and job prospects continue to look grim, Obama's numbers will continue to fall.

Wait for the unemployment numbers to come out in Jan and Feb.

Prepare for a massive reaction to the Feb number particularly. Itr contains both the Christmas season layoffs, and the annual revision. The annual revision by itself will probably add another 0.5-1 percent to the unemployment figures.

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha!... (Below threshold)
epador:

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha!


Now its all Palin's fault!

ROFLMAO!

Hey Libs, so who are the de... (Below threshold)
Eric:

Hey Libs, so who are the dead-enders now?

It is interesting to note t... (Below threshold)

It is interesting to note the very regular zig-zag in the graph. It makes you wonder if his ratings are normally higher on Mondays, then drop rapidly all week, only to improve over the weekend. This strongly hints that he'd do well to become a professional golfer, and stay out of the office.

It would appear he can lose about a point a day while he's in the white house, and gain back 2 a day when he's out of town.

I'm sure that Bobby Baghdad... (Below threshold)
GarandFan:

I'm sure that Bobby Baghdad Gibbs will put this all into proper perspective tomorrow. It will be labeled 'a minor distraction'.

sam, I said Palin was one f... (Below threshold)
davidt:

sam, I said Palin was one factor, not THE factor.

Media coverage of Palin and her criticism of Obama has been a factor in the people's perception of the economy and jobs because people are actually hearing actual criticism of Obama instead of the usual cheerleading.

Palin's criticism has had a... (Below threshold)
JB:

Palin's criticism has had an effect in that no-one of her visibility had leveled prime time network TV criticism at Obama until a few weeks ago.

But I don't see this as a "now the tour's over, back to business as usual" phenomenon.

More likely Obama will have to abandon some or all of his radical agenda in hopes of reversing the tide.

"Media coverage of Palin... (Below threshold)
914:

"Media coverage of Palin and her criticism of Obama has been a factor in the people's perception of the economy and jobs because people are actually hearing actual criticism of Obama instead of the usual cheerleading"

Kind of hard to cheerlead when Your team is behind 62-0 but the shamestream will carry on anyways.

I think the American people... (Below threshold)
Eric:

I think the American people are getting really tired of the poor management by the Democrats in general and specifically Obama. The constant Blame Bush for everything gets older and older as time goes by.

I believe that there will soon be a tipping point. Come January, the Democrats will have controlled Congress for 3 years, and they will have had the Executive Branch as well as supermajority control of the Legislative Branch for 1 year. The Democrats have complete and unfettered control of the United States Government. The American people know that.

Americans bought into the Blame Bush mantra and gave the Democrats the opportunity to fix the problems. But, the problems only seem worse a year later. If the economy still shows no real signs of recovery and we are still debating things like healthcare and Cap & Trade, then the Democrats will have completely used up the Blame Anyone Else card.

In the minds of the American people, the Democrats will finally have complete ownership of the problems. The Democrats will have squandered the opportunity they were given.

This is why the polls are dropping. More and more people are coming to this realization. January is the one year anniversary of the Great Obama Empire. January will be the tipping point, I expect support to collapse even further as people realize that the emperor has no clothes on.

So VICky Salt,Sinc... (Below threshold)
914:

So VICky Salt,

Since You are among the 23% of dumbdumb Amerika, Your overdue to show up for Your rousing morale boosting diatribe.

I thought this was about Ex... (Below threshold)
bobdog:

I thought this was about Ex-President Obama, not President-Elect Palin and Vice President-Elect Bachmann.

Just trying in on for size.

I like it.

This is an odd measurement.... (Below threshold)
huh?:

This is an odd measurement. It is the "Strongly Approve" number minus the "Strongly Disapprove" number, so it results in a lopsided Approval Index number that doesn't really measure the opinions of most voters.

Because of the intensity of the anti-Obama sentiment on the (R) side, this results in a number that makes the president seem more unpopular than he really is.

Case in point: The 11/16/09 numbers are 50/49, giving Obama a +1 approval rating. But wait! Ignore the totals and only use the "strong" measurements and suddenly Obama is 28/38, giving him a -10 rating by erasing the 34% of voters who do not hold "strong" opinions of the president.

Todays number is the same. Obama is at 46/53. This means he is -7. The make-believe number is -19, and it is achieved by ignoring 35% of those who were polled.

This is a weird and borderline dishonest measurement that Rasmussen never used before and no other pollster produces a number like this. It tells us that the Republican base hates the president. It does not tell us what the entire country thinks of him.

Take this one with a grain of salt.

"This is a weird and border... (Below threshold)
JB:

"This is a weird and borderline dishonest measurement that Rasmussen never used before and no other pollster produces a number like this."

It isn't dishonest because intensity tracks passion at the voting booth.

If the elections were held today, 43% of likely voters would almost certainly not vote for Obama. That isn't weird, or dishonest. What it is is a disaster for Obama only 11 months into his presidency.

michael "So Vic...CAT... (Below threshold)
Marc:

michael "So Vic...CAT GOT YOUR TONGUE!"

Dare I say... wrapped around obama, or at least part of him, while getting a comforting pat on the head.

huh? "This is a weird and borderline dishonest measurement that Rasmussen never used before and no other pollster produces a number like this."

Really... never?

Better check, a very cursory look tells me they have been using daily tracking polls since April 2008 for the primarys.

Bet a longer look shows long before that.

@JB:Let me put it ... (Below threshold)
huh?:

@JB:

Let me put it another way: George Bush had a -1 on election day 2004 if you use the Rasmussen technique of ignoring moderate voters. Problem is, moderate voters still vote, and Bush's real approval rating was +7. (He ultimately won by 3 points.)

The Ras Approval Index measures intensity, not the actual approval rating. This may produce a number that skews wildly for or against the president but it does NOT tell us where the country is at.

For his part, Scott Rasmussen states on his website that "Rasmussen Reports believes that this is a better measure of public perceptions than the overall approval ratings." He states this despite the fact that this measurement was dead wrong in 2004 and Ras did not use this in 2008.

Why bring it back in 2009? It is now being portrayed by conservatives as his approval rating when, in fact, the real approval rating is around +3, or -7 if you only look at Ras polls.

This is a recipe for wishful thinking. I remember very clearly that conservatives relied on a small sampling of favorable polls in 2006 and were shocked when the larger body of polling evidence turned out to be far more accurate.

Reliance on oddball numbers like this one will lull conservatives into a false sense of security.

-- See also Rove, Karl: "You have your math, but I have THE math." On the eve of the disastrous 2006 midterms, Mr Rove dismissed all of the polling and insisted that he had secret polling numbers that would ensure victory. 24 hours later Republicans lost both the House and Senate. Mr Rove is still regarded as a genius by conservatives and frequently cites Ras polls as evidence of inevitable victory in 2010.

hunh|? No admission you wer... (Below threshold)
Marc:

hunh|? No admission you were wrong in thinking a daily tracking poll never has been used before when in fact it has for at least 20 months?

You can cite all the BS you did in your latest, even divert attention to Rove, but here's my exit question: Who of all the pollsters has predicted the pres election within one half of a percentage point?

huh sounds desperate. ... (Below threshold)
Michael:

huh sounds desperate.

I think huh is Vic.... (Below threshold)
Michael:

I think huh is Vic.

huh?-"Case in p... (Below threshold)
914:

huh?-

"Case in point: The 11/16/09 numbers are 50/49, giving Obama a +1 approval rating. But wait! Ignore the totals and only use the "strong" measurements and suddenly Obama is 28/38, giving him a -10 rating by erasing the 34% of voters who do not hold "strong" opinions of the president.

Todays number is the same. Obama is at 46/53. This means he is -7. The make-believe number is -19, and it is achieved by ignoring 35% of those who were polled."

So Your using the East Anglia math?

Good job! Vic

let's project: How low ... (Below threshold)
MF:

let's project: How low will he go?




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