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More Thoughts On 2010

The unhappy news just continues to roll in for the Obama administration. Via Allah at Hot Air, a new CNN poll seems to confirm what voters in Virginia, New Jersey and Massachusetts having been telling the rest of the country for several months.

The results of the poll look like a Dear John letter to incumbents, but the pull quote is that 52% think President Obama doesn't deserve a second term. The Hill sums it up succinctly:

52 percent of Americans said President Barack Obama doesn't deserve reelection in 2012, according to a new poll.

44 percent of all Americans said they would vote to reelect the president in two and a half years, less than the slight majority who said they would prefer to elect someone else.

Obama faces a 44-52 deficit among both all Americans and registered voters, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll released Tuesday. Four percent had no opinion.

Such early polls are easy to dismiss but in light of the Bayh, Murkowski and Kennedy retirements it's more than obvious that politicians with actual skin in the game are reading these same polls and making career decisions based on them and real election results. I'll surmise that there is a groundswell of anger in the electorate that the Tea Party movement has just barely tapped into. Those incumbents that are threatened are not just liberal and blue dog Democrats but also moderate and liberal Republicans. There is a deep reservoir of anger directed at this "professional class" of politicians who are variously referred to as elitists, career bureaucrats and "special interest sell outs" that always thrive during economic booms but invariably encounter trouble in a difficult economic environment.

When voters have to make hard decisions at home about their own personal budgets it is inevitable that they will focus that same attention on their pols. Ironically, the professional legislative and bureaucratic class is always slow to catch on to this. That's why the 2010 elections could be a wipe out of historic proportions.


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Comments (14)

a lot depends on how he rea... (Below threshold)

a lot depends on how he reacts to his party getting hammered in the mid-terms...will he pull a Clinton?

Better start cutting tax's ... (Below threshold)
914:

Better start cutting tax's Big Brother Barry! That, or take a refresher course in community agitating.

...will he pull... (Below threshold)
...will he pull a Clinton?
Say what we will about Slick Willie, he was smart enough not to let his pride overrule his survival instinct.

I do not believe Obama is that smart.

FalzeThat's a good... (Below threshold)
HughS:

Falze

That's a good question. I'm not sure he's capable of pulling a Clinton. Even if he wanted to it's questionable if he has the political skill to do it.Which is why it's easy to imagine Bill and Hillary spending many moments slapping themselves on the forehead while screaming "I can't believe we lost to this guy!".

Pull a Clinton?... (Below threshold)
Monica L.:

Pull a Clinton?

I agree, incidentally, that... (Below threshold)

I agree, incidentally, that he won't take the Clinton path, I don't think he's willing to take a backseat to anyone (or even a side seat to a Gingrich like Clinton did). his reaction to the Brown win was the giveaway when he claimed that it meant people wanted socialized health care and he was going to try to ram it through. plus they want another porkulus, Biden's out claiming it's a big win in Michigan where unemployment slipped slightly down to still somewhere in the 14's after we poured $10+ billion there. hard to argue with people that refuse to face facts

Remember, according to Gibb... (Below threshold)
LiberalNitemare:

Remember, according to Gibbs saying that President Obama doesnt deserve a second term in office REALLY means that you support his initiatives, and desperately want to buy health insurance for illegal immigrants.

We already do!!... (Below threshold)
914:

We already do!!

Damn can't you guys be civi... (Below threshold)
poptoy:

Damn can't you guys be civil. Enough already.

In CT (liberal) Atty Gen'l ... (Below threshold)
Upset Old Guy:

In CT (liberal) Atty Gen'l Blumenthal is leading challengers to be the Dem candidate to run for the seat Dodd is vacating. Yesterday the story came out that "it was an open question" if he'd be having The Won come to CT to campaign for him. Unstated differences was the reason, although he claimed to "admire and respect" the man. For those who don't know, CT isn't quite as blue as MA, but our legislature tries to keep up with our neighbor to the north.

Odd isn't it, Hugh's post has been up for close to 12 hours now but Steve Green hasn't dropped by yet to lecture us (again) on how The Won's approval numbers just keep going up and up.

I also don't think Obama wi... (Below threshold)
Hank:

I also don't think Obama will pull a Clinton.
I doubt he's capable.

First, his massive ego won't allow it.
Second, Clinton, had experience as Gov of Arkansas, where he did show good leadership and political skills. Obama, nada.
Third, Clinton's political instincts were exceptional. Obama shows none.

At this point in time, all indications show that Obama will be pulling a Carter, not a Clinton.

Now, who to blame? Who to blame?

Second, Clinton, had exp... (Below threshold)

Second, Clinton, had experience as Gov of Arkansas, where he did show good leadership and political skills. Obama, nada.
Third, Clinton's political instincts were exceptional. Obama shows none.

Couple of really good points there.

But he sure runs an exciting campaign!

"Such early polls are easy ... (Below threshold)
epador:

"Such early polls are easy to dismiss but in light of the Bayh, Murkowski and Kennedy retirements it's more than obvious that politicians with actual skin in the game are reading these same polls and making career decisions based on them and real election results."

I would suggest, in contrast to those who have tried to paint these defections otherwise, that these greedy bastards don't want to risk their treasure chests they have amassed on a potentially losing campaign. It is ONLY about their money. I bet they'd not be so fast to have stayed on so long, or abandon ship so quickly, if all campaign war chests were returned to their constituency upon their retirement.

Low approval ratings for Ob... (Below threshold)
KeithK:

Low approval ratings for Obama don't tell us much yet about whether he could win relection in 2012. It's just too early. But they do make it that much harder for him to get his agenda accomplished. And that's what matters right now.




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