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Call Me Cassandra

When I make predictions here, I have a fairly simple formula. I say what I think will happen, then spell out what made me think so. I'm sometimes right, sometimes wrong (I tend to not keep track of them). Sometimes I hope I'm wrong and regret when I'm right.

Yesterday, I think I hit one out of the park.

While discussing the rise of powerful Republican governors facing critical threats to their state, I noted that two of them were directly addressing crises that, rightfully, ought to be the responsibility of the federal government -- but the feds were falling down on the job. (And in Arizona, fighting for their right to not only do nothing, but keep anyone else from doing it too.) Then I went out on a limb, and said that I was worried that the Obama administration would try to find a way to challenge the third governor -- New Jersey's Chris Christie, who's battling the public sector unions to keep his state from going bankrupt.

I'd been batting around that piece for about a week or so, and finally committed it to screen. And just in time -- because today there's news that the Senate is considering a bill that would give the Federal Labor Relations Authority the power to decide if the states were being generous enough to their public sector unions -- and intervene if they decided they weren't.

My reasoning was simple, and based on several known facts:

  • Obama sees powerful, successful Republican governors as threats and potential rivals in 2012.
  • Obama's election was, in large part, bought and paid for by unions.
  • The unions are the ones most infuriated with Governor Christie.
  • Obama has shown a great willingness to throw a lot of people under the bus, but not the unions -- more, probably, out of fear of their power than any kind of principle.
  • There are quite a few states in serious financial trouble, with a good chunk of the blame for that on extremely-generous public union benefits, and a lot of people on the left are in denial about that -- to the point where they will fight tooth and nail to keep every single bit of ill-gotten gain they've won at the public trough.
  • The notion that the states should have the right to deal with their employees without federal oversight falls under the rubric of "state's rights," and that is an obscene term to many on the left -- to the point where they have a knee-jerk response to fight it whenever it comes up.

With all that in mind, a federal move to get involved with the arrangements between the states and their unions was almost inevitable.

What I didn't see was the precise mechanism that this would happen, or how quickly.

And man, I wish I'd been wrong.

Private message to Bruce Henry: get your head out of the sand, man! For one, you could smother. For another, there might be oil in there.


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Comments (17)

Obama has no choice.<... (Below threshold)
jim m:

Obama has no choice.

Government workers now make up over half of all union membership. While he does not have to worry about losing their support (where are they going to go?), he must act to preserve their strength. The unions are only good to him while they have a large captive membership that produces millions of dollars in dues that can be spent on electing dems to state and federal office. He must keep unions healthy because without them he loses both the funding for his parties campaigns and the thugs that he is increasingly using to suppress dissent.

The feds start screwing aro... (Below threshold)
GarandFan:

The feds start screwing around at the state level, Barry might find himself all ALONE. States have funny ideas about what is and is not a federal prerogative.

November cannot get here fa... (Below threshold)
914:

November cannot get here fast enough. Go to hell piglosi and the rest of you leftist do nothing thugs.

I didn't see Obama's name m... (Below threshold)
Bruce Henry:

I didn't see Obama's name mentioned in the American "Thinker" (Ha ha!) artcle you cited.

Groundwork, Bruce. The law ... (Below threshold)

Groundwork, Bruce. The law would give the Obama regime the legal fig leaf they need.

J.

Here Lee Ward let me save y... (Below threshold)
retired military:

Here Lee Ward let me save you the trouble

Republicans were against Jay Tea writing negative stories about unions until a black man became president.

Wee Lard,Let me 2... (Below threshold)
914:

Wee Lard,

Let me 2nd that thought.


Republicans were not against union thuggism until a half black man in a cheap empty suit became president.

Then I went out on... (Below threshold)
Senor Cardgage:
Then I went out on a limb, and said that I was worried that the Obama administration would try to find a way to challenge the third governor -- New Jersey's Chris Christie, who's battling the public sector unions to keep his state from going bankrupt.

It was certainly genius of Obama to get this legislation introduced in January 2009, a whole year before Gov. Christie took office. Obama is so devious that he undoubtedly and quite presciently arranged for the original 2007 incarnation of this bill to languish in the Senate just so he could lay the future smack down on Big Ole Chris right about now.

Because Obama is EVEN MORE ... (Below threshold)
Bruce Henry:

Because Obama is EVEN MORE clairvoyant than you, Mr Tea. And deviouser.

Ah, Putin and Hugo should r... (Below threshold)
gene:

Ah, Putin and Hugo should really be proud of this clown imitating a president.

It was certainly genius ... (Below threshold)
Jay Guevara:

It was certainly genius of Obama to get this legislation introduced in January 2009, a whole year before Gov. Christie took office.

Because Obama is EVEN MORE clairvoyant than you, Mr Tea.

Right. No one could have foreseen that a hard left Administration catering to hard left union thugs might engender some pushback and take pre-emptive legislation steps accordingly.

The only surprising thing is that some of the pushback is coming from a liberal-infested state, which just shows you how bad things are that even liberals are questioning liberal policies.

In this connection, note th... (Below threshold)
Jay Guevara:

In this connection, note that card check was proposed by Democrats during the campaign. Resistance to that stinker was totally predictable.

So does that mean you DON'T... (Below threshold)
Bruce Henry:

So does that mean you DON'T think Mr Tea is a "Cassandra," Senor Guevara?

Will someone please step up... (Below threshold)
914:

Will someone please step up and plug that damned hole!!

Unions take the win-win of ... (Below threshold)
BlueNight:

Unions take the win-win of capitalism and turn it into the zero-sum of socialism. New Jersey is only the latest front of the economic cold war that the cities have been waging against the people of America since socialist humanism became a movement.

No one ever called Jay Tea ... (Below threshold)
Jim Addison:

No one ever called Jay Tea "Cassandra" before a black man was elected Presidential-like Processed Political Product.

There WAS that weekend in the Adirondacks when we called him "Lakeisha" a lot, but no one talks about that much anymore.

Screw you, Addison.<p... (Below threshold)

Screw you, Addison.

So much for "what happens on the Appalachian Trail, stays on the Appalachian Trail..."

J.




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