« Is Mike Huckabee against Birthright Citizenship? | Main | Election Results »

Going Out On A Limb

I don't normally make predictions. I don't like to. But I'm going to make one tonight.

I haven't caught much news today. I spent most of my day just walking around Manchester, soaking up the ambiance getting the "vibe" of the day. I saw a lot of people, a metric assload of signs, stickers, buttons, and all sorts of paraphernalia. I listened to a bit of local talk radio. And I heard a lot of people talking.

I'm going to say outright: Barack Obama will not only take New Hampshire, but he's going to take it big. Iowa big, if not bigger. Double digits are not out of the question.

On the Republican side, I think it'll be Romney, with McCain a very close second. McCain was counting on the independent votes, but they went en masse to Obama. My vote for Fred Thompson will get him maybe 4th, more likely 5th behind Giuliani and possibly Huckabee.

John Edwards will end up pulling a slightly higher percentage than Ron Paul.

Tomorrow morning, I'll probably be eating these words. But for tonight, that's my gut.


TrackBack URL for this entry:

Comments (6)

Right now Thompson is pulli... (Below threshold)

Right now Thompson is pulling 7th, right behind Ron Paul and "write-ins".

Looks like you were wrong a... (Below threshold)

Looks like you were wrong about Romney, and that Obama is not going to win by double digits, if at all. Do you want to jinx anyone else while you're at it?

Wow. I hope you don't bet ... (Below threshold)
Alan Orfi:

Wow. I hope you don't bet on these things.

We'll see about a Clinton v... (Below threshold)
John S:

We'll see about a Clinton victory. Early returns are the Manchester and Portsmouth machine vote. In Derry, one hour before the poll closed, there were 400 people waiting in the primary-day registration line. They probably weren't standing in two hours to vote for Bill and Hillary and their votes won't be tabulated before midnight.

FRED THOMPSON is the best p... (Below threshold)

FRED THOMPSON is the best person to lead this country. He is a true conservative and has been his entire life. All one has to do is check his record to see this.

During my time in the Army as an Intelligence Analyst, I served under both Presidents Carter and Reagan (as my commanders in chief). Without argument, President Reagan was the best commander-in-chief a military person could ever have served under. Fred Thompson possesses the same qualities and vision as President Reagan in that he is strong on national defense and sees a dire need to secure our borders and control immigration.

I can think of no better person to lead this country and fix the problems we have. He is the only candidate from either party who has specific and detailed plans on border security and immigration reform; revitalization of America's armed forces; saving and protecting Social Security; and tax relief and economic growth. These are detailed on his Web site at www.fred08.com . I challenge you to find any other candidate who has laid out specific plans to fix anything.

Fred Thompson has published his first principles, some of which are mentioned above. In addition to those, he strongly believes in individual liberty, personal responsibility, limited government, federalism, traditional American values, the rule of law and is a strong proponent of the Second Amendment -- all concepts established during the birth of our country and documented in our Constitution.

Again, try to find any candidate who has laid out their plans to "fix" this country. You will find they all speak in vague and abstract terms on their plans.

For those who have heard Fred Thompson speak, you will usually hear him say that the Fred Thompson you see today is the same Fred Thompson you saw yesterday and is the same Fred Thompson you will see tomorrow. He stands by his principles and values and doesn't shift his positions based on polls or public opinion; in other words, he doesn't say what the voters want to hear just to get elected, but remains steadfast on his views and convictions.

During his time in the Senate he focused on three areas: to lower taxes, strengthen national security and expose waste in the federal government. Fred Thompson has foreign policy experience, having served as member of the Senate Foreign Relations and Senate Intelligence committees.

As chairman of the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee, he opened the investigation in 1997 on the Chinese government's attempt to influence American policies and elections, and this investigation identified connections with the Clinton administration (documented in the committee's report).

As a member of the Finance Committee, he worked tirelessly to enact three major tax-cut bills. Fred Thompson remains steadfast and even though a person may not agree with all his views and he understands some may disagree with him, you can count on him to be consistent and unwavering.

Don't be fooled by his laid back approach and what critics call his "laziness." As a former assistant U.S. attorney, he earned a reputation as a tough prosecutor and he possesses the toughness this country needs in order to tackle today's and tomorrow's issues.

I ask that you take a hard look at what this country needs, then take a hard look at all the other candidates' views, policies, their records and their track record on consistency. Fred Thompson possesses integrity, loyalty, commitment, energy and decisiveness, all traits of an effective leader, and will emerge as the best person to take this country boldly forward.

Please help Fred win in 2008:

Jay-- STAY O... (Below threshold)


STAY OUT of Vegas...........







Follow Wizbang

Follow Wizbang on FacebookFollow Wizbang on TwitterSubscribe to Wizbang feedWizbang Mobile


Send e-mail tips to us:

[email protected]

Fresh Links


Section Editor: Maggie Whitton

Editors: Jay Tea, Lorie Byrd, Kim Priestap, DJ Drummond, Michael Laprarie, Baron Von Ottomatic, Shawn Mallow, Rick, Dan Karipides, Michael Avitablile, Charlie Quidnunc, Steve Schippert

Emeritus: Paul, Mary Katherine Ham, Jim Addison, Alexander K. McClure, Cassy Fiano, Bill Jempty, John Stansbury, Rob Port

In Memorium: HughS

All original content copyright © 2003-2010 by Wizbang®, LLC. All rights reserved. Wizbang® is a registered service mark.

Powered by Movable Type Pro 4.361

Hosting by ServInt

Ratings on this site are powered by the Ajax Ratings Pro plugin for Movable Type.

Search on this site is powered by the FastSearch plugin for Movable Type.

Blogrolls on this site are powered by the MT-Blogroll.

Temporary site design is based on Cutline and Cutline for MT. Graphics by Apothegm Designs.

Author Login

Terms Of Service

DCMA Compliance Notice

Privacy Policy