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It's Not Paranoia If They Are Out To Get You

President Bush is in Israel, trying to secure his legacy by winning a real peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians. Israel is being a bit reluctant to sign on, and I have to admit that they have good reason.

Why would Israel be leery about a peace agreement with the Palestinians? And, in the larger picture, why would they be reluctant to sign on to an agreement backed by so much of the world?

Well, it's this sticky little thing called "precedent."

As far as I can recall, every single prior agreement has resulted in the same thing: great expectations, Israel makes some concessions and "good will gestures," the Palestinians say they can't live up to their end, then some "rogue terrorist" attacks happen and Israel says "screw this." But their concessions and gestures are quickly forgotten and form the new status quo for the next round.

There's no incentive for the Palestinians to actually negotiate in good faith and keep any promises they make; they are well on the way to getting everything they want simply by waiting and cycling through the "peace process."

And why would Israel distrust such international bodies as the European Union and the United Nations, who actually created Israel?

Well, recently Israel intercepted six and a half tons of potassium nitrate (a key ingredient in making explosives) being smuggled into the Gaza Strip. The chemical was in bags marked as sugar -- part of the "humanitarian aid' the Palestinians say they need -- and bearing the marks of the European Union.

The EU has been notably silent on this gross offense, leaving observers to speculate if they knew that bomb-making materials were being smuggled under their imprimatur, or simply didn't care.

And as far as the UN... well, they sent their peacekeepers into southern Lebanon after the Israeli-Hezbollah war. Part of their mandate was to disarm Hezbollah and keep them from re-militarizing southern Lebanon.

And how's that working out? Well, Hezbollah is not only better equipped to wage war than they were before the fighting, but the peacekeepers are actively collaborating with Hezbollah. It seems that as soon as Israel discovers a new Hezbollah fortification, they tell UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force In Lebanon) about the violation of the UN Resolution ending the conflict. Shortly thereafter, Hezbollah takes down the position and moves the weapons to a new position for Israel to find, now with new info on just how Israel's intelligence systems work.

Meanwhile, in Jerusalem, the Israelis are regularly denied access to their holiest site, the Temple Mount. The Palestinians hold it exclusively, and are quietly destroying any and all archeological evidence that the Jews ever set foot there. (Never mind the mountains of evidence to the contrary, it's the "third holiest site in Islam" despite never being mentioned in the Koran.)

And the rest of the world doesn't seem to give a rat's ass about the rockets and missiles that are fired daily into Israel, both from Gaza and southern Lebanon, aimed at killing and terrorizing civilians.

So, just what does Israel have to gain from signing on to any peace plan? Going by history, pats on the head from the rest of the world -- for a little while.

The only peace agreement that Israel should sign on to would include not only pledges from the Palestinians for steps towards peace, but actual enforcement clauses and iron-clad guarantees that they will be fulfilled. That's the one thing that's been lacking -- holding the Palestinians to the agreements they sign on to.

For once, just once, why not have the Palestinians make the first gestures? Let them make some good will gesture, let them make the first concession. That would be a refreshing change from the standard pattern of Israel taking the first (and last) steps.

If the Palestinians are so eager for peace, let them take the initiative just this once.

I hope they will. I'm solidly convinced, though, that I'm wrong. Experience is a harsh teacher.


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Comments (9)

*sigh* Jay Tea, you are abs... (Below threshold)

*sigh* Jay Tea, you are absolutely right, and I'm sure this will all turn out to me "more of the same," and Israel will be screwed yet again.

As a Christian, I'm having a VERY hard time not wishing that God would just send a nice, convenient mass of lightning strikes into that whole area. Failing that, it would be nice to see "If you Palestinians don't wise up and start behaving, Israel has the right and the duty to bomb you into non-existence!" written into the treaty...

*sigh* Obviously, God is still working with me...

But the whole situation really seems to me to be an example of "Those who do know know history are doomed to repeat it."

"There's no incentive fo... (Below threshold)

"There's no incentive for the Palestinians to actually negotiate in good faith and keep any promises they make; they are well on the way to getting everything they want simply by waiting and cycling through the "peace process."

They've never been held to THEIR end of the bargain, so why should they expect to be in the future? It's like someone buying a car - not keeping up payments, then torching the car before the repo man can take it... then going to court to FORCE the car dealer to sell to them again, at a lower interest rate on the loan. And every time the courts say they must.

Why in the hell would the dealer want to do that? What's in it for him? That's why I was so glad to see the wall go up - the Palestinians have shown they don't intend to 'play well', so it'd be best to just go ahead and isolate them until they either consume themselves through their own hatred or they grow up and realize it ain't all about them.

This is basically the chipp... (Below threshold)

This is basically the chipping away of Israel the rest of the World is fine with. Particularly Europe.

Europe has an undercurrent of anti-semitism. But really they believe if Israel didn't exist there wouldn't be any strife in the Middle East and the West wouldn't be having any problems with them. So they are fine with throwing Israel to the wolves as long as its slow enough that the history books won't record it as such.

Scrappleface needs to write... (Below threshold)
bovious Author Profile Page:

Scrappleface needs to write an article about the launch of the latest Peace Process, labelling it the start of a new "Cycle of Violence." I know the MSM has sort of forgotten the CoV, but they'll remember it soon enough if history is any guide.

How about the Pali's having... (Below threshold)
Kat 2:

How about the Pali's having a 90 day period where they don't fire rockets into Israel or blow up anything? Could they do that as a goodwill gesture? I would be surprised.

The Thunder Run has linked ... (Below threshold)

The Thunder Run has linked to this post in the - Web Reconnaissance for 01/11/2008 A short recon of what's out there that might draw your attention, updated throughout the day...so check back often.

How about the Pali's hav... (Below threshold)

How about the Pali's having a 90 day period where they don't fire rockets into Israel or blow up anything? Could they do that as a goodwill gesture? I would be surprised.

It's pretty sad when our highest expectation is "no bombs, rockets, or other attacks for 90 days", and we doubt they could even fulfill it. In any other situation, such a demand wouldn't be a high expectation, but a basic foundational principle that, if violated, would lead to an all-out war. Just imagine if Mexico decided to start lobbing rockets into US soil. They'd be creamed in a month.

"No attacks" isn't a goodwill gesture, it's a demand that should have been met years ago. Israel shows far more restraint than I ever would.

Two semesters ago, I was in... (Below threshold)

Two semesters ago, I was in a literature class that dealt with writings from the Middle East as well as other areas of the world. We watched an independent film as part of the curriculum that essentially showed how the Israelis were just big ol' meanies for building a wall and blowing up terrorists. Those poor, poor Palestinians had to live in fear! *emo tear*

I almost threw my book across the room. It was such a one-sided presentation by people who either had no idea what was really going on or didn't care because they hated Israel. We also read a novel that was decidedly pro-Palestinian and anti-Israel, and though I argued a few times against it, most of the class bought it without question. Stupid liberal academia. The sad thing is, I really like that particular professor, but she, too, has bitten from the poisoned apple of Liberalism.

Those bags with the EU labe... (Below threshold)

Those bags with the EU label were faked. The EU had nothing to do with them.

The bags claimed to contain sugar exported from the EU. The EU however does not export sugar to Palestine and it has also made it clear in its statements on this issue: http://in.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idINIndia-31175320071230

Furthermore it has been said that those fakes were also bad ones and could be identified by personal who has to do with it as fake.

To make the EU responsible for this attempt to smuggle bomb ingredients is quite far fetched as consequence.






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