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Church of Chicken Little stays faithful

The heretical (that's you and me) must bend the knee.

First up, the chairman of the IPCC:

There is "virtually no possibility" of a few scientists biasing the advice given to governments by the UN's top global warming body, its chair said today.

Rajendra Pachauri defended the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the wake of apparent suggestions in emails between climate scientists at the University of East Anglia that they had prevented work they did not agree with from being included in the panel's fourth assessment report, which was published in 2007.

The emails were made public this month after a hacker illegally obtained them from servers at the university.

Pachauri said the large number of contributors and rigorous peer review mechanism adopted by the IPCC meant that any bias would be rapidly uncovered.

"The processes in the IPCC are so robust, so inclusive, that even if an author or two has a particular bias it is completely unlikely that bias will find its way into the IPCC report," he said.

"Every single comment that an expert reviewer provides has to be answered either by acceptance of the comment, or if it is not accepted, the reasons have to be clearly specified. So I think it is a very transparent, a very comprehensive process which insures that even if someone wants to leave out a piece of peer reviewed literature there is virtually no possibility of that happening."

Next up, the White House:

The White House on Monday made exceptionally clear that it wants nothing to do with the furor over documents that global warming skeptics say prove the phenomenon is not a threat.

Despite the incident, which rocked international headlines last week, climate science is sound, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs stressed this afternoon, and the White House nonetheless believes "climate change is happening."

"I don't think that's anything that is, quite frankly, among most people, in dispute anymore," he said during Monday's press briefing.

Sure thing Mr. Gibbs... just like there's a consensus for ObamaCare... correct?

In the mean-time, heat is being turned up (so to speak):

Among other things, the Watergate scandal of the 1970s gave us a great naming convention for future scandals. Take "Climategate" at Penn State. That's what people are calling the controversy surrounding leaked E-mails among climate change researchers that climate change opponents say expose the researchers' falsification of data. One Penn State professor is involved in the scandal.

The Penn State administration plans to investigate Climategate and determine if it needs to take further action, the Daily Collegian reports. A little more than a week ago, E-mails exchanged among an English university's climate change researchers were illegally obtained from a server and posted online, the report says.

Climate change opponents say the E-mails indicate that climate change researchers--including Penn State Prof. Michael Mann--exaggerated or fabricated global warming data. And, according to the report, some E-mails indicate that the director of the research unit in question may have contacted researchers and asked them to "delete certain E-mails."

Penn State officials, who will not discuss the matter, are investigating the controversy.

I don't personally see anything coming from this particular investigation but I hold to the conviction that truth will prevail, truth will win out, truth will rule the day.



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Comments (13)

reminds me of Bagdad Bob </... (Below threshold)
retired military:

reminds me of Bagdad Bob

"There are no American tanks in Bagdad"

The man-made-global-warming... (Below threshold)
Edward Sisson Author Profile Page:

The man-made-global-warming movement is a classic example of the phenomena described in the great book "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" (1852, Charles Mackay). In that book are described the "Mississippi Scheme," the "South Sea Bubble," and the "Tulipomania," and anyone who reads the stories of these popular obsessions ought to see the many similarities.

The first two were delusions about the quality of unknown places; the global warming furor is a delusion about the quality of an unknown time (the future). The third was a belief in the ever-rising value of a commodity (tulip bulbs) that had no real value; it is akin to the carbon-offset market, in which something that has no value is imputed to have a value, due to expectations that the public will continue to see it as having value (a value based on the underlying delusion about human-generated CO2 being a cause of a material amount of global warming).

In each of them, the "unknown" eventually becomes known (the unknown place is explored, the unknown future time eventually becomes the present and then the past) and at that point the foundation of the delusion is exposed. Despite reaching that point, the people who were making money and achieving status from popular belief in the delusion continue to assert its reality; they never admit error. Indeed, the promoters of the delusion are in fact the most deluded; they are true believers. Instead, the people just abandon the delusion.

The financial and economic wreckage -- the damage to France and to Holland as told in Mackay's stories -- is severe and takes years to recover from. Those who are free from the delusion must not expect to cause the promoters ever to admit error; instead the task must be to limit the financial and economic damage.

"...climate change is happe... (Below threshold)
Jeff Blogworthy:

"...climate change is happening."

Indeed it is. What has that got to do with anything? And they say Sarah Palin is stupid.

Just so you know, the actua... (Below threshold)
Son of a Pig and a Monkey:

Just so you know, the actual moniker for Prof. Mann at PennState is now "Piltdown Mann", named after the 19-th century "scientific" fraud relating to a newly-discovered missing link, or something like that.

Take a look at <a href="htt... (Below threshold)
Sabba Hillel:

Take a look at http://biglizards.net/blog/archives/2009/11/wheels_of_fire.html or http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2009/11/30/wheels-of-fire/

It points out the problem seems to be that all the various sites use the same (massaged) data set and agree by definition. The analogy drawn is the "debate" between evolutionism and creationism.

The danger with this scanda... (Below threshold)
Les Nessman:

The danger with this scandal is if, after all these hacked emails and data are gone through, it still does not 'authoritatively disprove' the 'fact' of AGW. Yes, it looks bad. Yes, it APPEARS that these people are frauds.

But unless there is some irrefutable smoking gun, after this particular scandal fades away the AGW crowd will say 'Well, other than that, there is other proof of AGW, so we're just going to continue on as if nothing happened.'

No, no, no, no.
AGW is an earth-shattering, civilization-changing theory. It goes against common sense. Right now it remains a faith-based religion to many.
Extraordinary claims like AGW require extraordinary proof.

No matter how this scandal ends, we are going to have to keep the politicians and Climate Scientologist's feet to the fire by demanding PROOF.

To the Chairman of the I... (Below threshold)
Mac Lorry:

To the Chairman of the IPCC I say there is virtually no possibility that the bias, as you call it, is limited to just those scientists who have been uncovered by the leaked emails. Anyone sending emails where they are saying they intend to delete emails that are the subject of a freedom of information request, and asking others to do the same is committing a crime and conspiring with others to commit a crime. People don't send such emails unless they are comfortable that no one who is likely to see them is not on board with the action. Thus, entire research teams are suspect and these are the very research teams that much of the IPCC's data and studies come from.

Public confidence in the scientific underpinnings of AGW was already waning due to the current and obvious cooling trend and now that that science is tainted by fraud there simply is no public support for economy damaging cap and trade legislation and particularly not of binding ourselves with irreversible treaties.

The only action that can be taken to restore public confidence is a comprehensive and transparent review of the IPCC's fourth assessment such at all the data and metadata of every included study, chart, graph, or temperature reconstruction must be made public. Also, there must be a transparent accounting for why other published studies were rejected. The basis for rejection can't be that they don't support a specific conclusion or theory.

If the scientific underpinnings of AGW are sound, then such a transparent process will produce the public will to make needed changes. Yes, it will take time, but without it nothing is going to happen. If action to minimize AGW is urgent, then you best get busy convincing others that a transparent review is what's needed.

The frauds posing as "scien... (Below threshold)

The frauds posing as "scientists" KNEW their data did NOT support their pre-conceived conclusions...the e-mails bear this out.

So not only did they scramble to delete emails that showed they knew their conclusions were false...they DELETED THE DATA itself!

NO SCIENTIST ANYWHERE deletes data. EVER. Their nonsensical assertion that they "routinely delete data after they've drawn their conclusions" was just one more nail in their Scientific Coffin!

And now the White House is asserting that "none of this matters...the science is settled!"


The analogy drawn ... (Below threshold)
Mac Lorry:
The analogy drawn is the "debate" between evolutionism and creationism.

With evolutionists employing the same strategies as climatologists to limit what studies get published and then ignoring other theories because they are not published.

Circular logic is also the hallmark of evolutionists who adjust radiometric dating of artifacts with "evolutionary dates" and then claim radiometric dating supports evolution. Otherwise, they would have to address out of sequence fossils.

Evolutionists also employ selective techniques to date objects. If you find a fossil in a coal seam the date of some millions of years is accepted, but the nail you find in the same coal seam is said to be the result of an intrusion of newer material into older material, even though the coal seam is unbroken above or below the nail.

The lesson is that no opaque process, scientific or otherwise, can be trusted particularly if people have build careers on some form of orthodoxy.

"reminds me of Bagdad Bo... (Below threshold)

"reminds me of Bagdad Bob

"There are no American tanks in Bagdad"

Yes, You could ram a 500 mm cannon shell up canola Algore's rectum and still He would proclaim.

"That is not snow and cold You see and feel... Its Man made volcanic debris. "

Truth will come to light; m... (Below threshold)

Truth will come to light; murder cannot be hid long; a man's son may, but in the end truth will out.
[1596 Shakespeare Merchant of Venice ii. ii. 73]

Rajendra Pachauri has his h... (Below threshold)

Rajendra Pachauri has his head planted so far up his ass, it's a wonder he can breathe.

There is "virtually no poss... (Below threshold)

There is "virtually no possibility" Mr. Pachauri can prove his assertions, now that it's generally agreed among the finest minds in the scientific community that the dog ate their homework.






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