Bush Approval Rating

The new Rasmussen tracking poll was just released. (Yes, I stayed up and kept refreshing the screen.)

President Bush’s job approval is now at 45%, disapproval is now at 52%. That is a 5 point swing in one night, so you can imagine what the results must have been in the one night sample.

This is actually the best number for the President since the 9/11 anniversary. However, a closer look at the numbers may give some indication where we will stand on election day.

September 11, 2006 – 41% to 57%.
September 12, 2006 – 44% to 54%
September 13, 2006 – 45% to 52%
September 14, 2006 – 47% to 50%

It took three nights for the bad sample to be removed. When it was all said in done, the President received a 13% bounce. Given the fact that he probably scored his best numbers in the immediate sample after his speech, his net approval rating was probably higher, perhaps 20% net approval on the day following September 11, 2006.

Now let’s look at the present situation.

November 5, 2006 – 43% to 53%
November 6, 2006 – 45% to 52%
November 7, 2006 – ?

As you can see, the odds are that the President will rise even higher tomorrow as the sample from last night rolls off the charts. And, in case you are wondering, if the President is in the vicinity of 47% to 48%, it is extremely good news. The race for the House will be fought and won in Ohio and Indiana. If the President is at 48% nationally, he is probably around 53% to 54% in places like Indiana.

Meanwhile, on the lighter side...
2006 New Jersey Senate Race

46 Comments

  1. jp2 November 6, 2006
  2. John November 6, 2006
  3. John November 6, 2006
  4. Mike November 6, 2006
  5. USMC Pilot November 6, 2006
  6. Eneils Bailey November 6, 2006
  7. theExecutioner November 6, 2006
  8. nehemiah November 6, 2006
  9. USMC Pilot November 6, 2006
  10. _Mike_ November 6, 2006
  11. USMC Pilot November 6, 2006
  12. Hugh November 6, 2006
  13. USMC Pilot November 6, 2006
  14. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  15. msuv November 6, 2006
  16. msuv November 6, 2006
  17. USMC Pilot November 6, 2006
  18. DaveD November 6, 2006
  19. Hugh November 6, 2006
  20. BarneyG2000 November 6, 2006
  21. BarneyG2000 November 6, 2006
  22. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  23. Rance November 6, 2006
  24. jhow66 November 6, 2006
  25. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  26. Rance November 6, 2006
  27. Lee November 6, 2006
  28. nehemiah November 6, 2006
  29. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  30. nehemiah November 6, 2006
  31. Lee November 6, 2006
  32. Lee November 6, 2006
  33. Rance November 6, 2006
  34. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  35. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  36. nehemiah November 6, 2006
  37. Rance November 6, 2006
  38. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  39. Rance November 6, 2006
  40. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  41. Brian November 6, 2006
  42. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  43. Brian November 6, 2006
  44. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006
  45. nehemiah November 6, 2006
  46. Jumpinjoe November 6, 2006