From the RNC:
NATIONAL
Of the precincts that the RNC is monitoring turnout, we have a ½% turnout advantage over the 2004 turnout (GOP precincts are turning out at 32.9% of 2004 vote while DEM precincts are turning out at 32.5% of 2004 vote)
Many states like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona have 25% of votes cast before election day.
ARIZONA
There were 60K more ballots submitted by Republicans before Election Day – and 41% of the state has already voted.
In 2004 Exit Polling was off by 3.5% (they had it at 7%, actual results was 10.5%)
CONNECTICUT
In the precincts that the RNC is tracking turnout, GOP precincts are turning out at 8% higher rate (42% to 34%) from the 2004 vote.
FLORIDA
Republicans have a 140K advantage though absentee and early voting before Election Day – and 36% of the state has already voted.
Exit polling got it wrong in 2000 and wrong in 2004 (4% off in 2004) Keep that in mind when reading the depressing numbers posted by Kathryn Jean Lopez at The Corner.
Update: Jim Geraghty says a “plugged in” Republican is telling him that a 7 point lead in the exit polls is a dead heat.
Update II: Ace says to chill over the exit polls and that there appears to be some trouble with the Virginia exit polls.
Fox News is showing Northrup with a razor thin lead at this time.
Source: International Herald Tribune:
Highlights from national exit poll in U.S. midterm elections
KO says its over! Heavy numbers against Bush. Oh well whatever.
We will find out if the terrorists win tonight.
We’ll find out if the American People win tonight.
I’m a Democrat that decided to vote Republican.
Yes, if the Republicans keep control, the American people will win.
Lee, Bush is not running in this election. But that is all you have because you have no position on anything productive. I wonder if it is too late to have you aborted.
Lee said, “We’ll find out if the American People win tonight”
Since you’re a Dem, I assume you mean if the Dems win, the American People win. So does that mean Reps aren’t American People?
If the American people win, the terrorists and their liberal supporters will have lost.
When I flipped channels for a minute from CNN to MSNBC (during a commercial) I swear that Keith Oberman and Chris Mattews were having an orgasm.
“Chill out” is good advice.
The exit poll from CT showed Lieberman winning by only 3%. I’ll bet on 10% when the count is done. 7% off may be a good rule of thumb.
Wow – Olbermann just did a left Herkie, followed by a cartwheel!
Yes Lee, tell us, teach us…if the democrats win, is that what America *really* is all about? And if they don’t, are you going to revert to your petulant mocking ways if the American voter doesn’t give Nancy Pelosi her spotlight?
Steve – The Republicans never represented America — they represented the evangelical Right, big oil, defense industries, Haliburton, any lobbyist that had a nickel to throw in their direction, and themselves in their “do anything and say anything it takes to get re-elected” quest.
Listen, Steve, America is talking… loudly. Can you hear it?
Give me a break Lee…your party, the party of the trial lawyers, unions, big teacher…you *really* want to act all holier than thou?
Yeah, them fucking teachers. All educating our kids and shit. Fuck them. I’ll take Haliburton any day. Or Enron. Or Focus on Family. And Jimmy Dobson. And Donald Rumsfeld and Msrk Foley. Thems is some real Americans!