Primary Turnout Disparities Portend Possible Avalanche in November

Despite the hope of conservatives that the GOP will retake control of both houses of Congress in November, the most reliable polling firms have indicated otherwise. Rasmussen still has the Democrats retaining upwards of 54 seats in the Senate.

However, voter turnout in this year’s primaries suggests something is going on that state-by-state polling may not be detecting. We are seeing an incredible discrepancy in voter turnout between Democrats and Republicans. In Florida’s gubernatorial primaries yesterday, the very negative race between ideologically-similar Republicans Rick Scott and Bill McCollum drew 49 percent more voters to the polls than the Democrat primary. Even more telling, conservative Marco Rubio, virtually uncontested in the GOP primary, received over a million votes as Republican voter turnout was nearly 38 percent higher than the hotly-contested Democrat race between Kendrick Meek and Jeff Greene. President Obama won the state of Florida just 20 months ago.

In 2008, over 75 percent more Democrats turned out during primary season throughout the country as voters embraced Hope and Change. The complete reversal during this election cycle may have pollsters seriously contemplating the true intentions of the Likely Voter. As the economy continues to wreak incredible hardship under liberal leadership, it seems fathomable that many dispirited Democrats may simply stay home this November. Conversely, Republicans are just itching to get to the polls. This vast disparity in voter motivation may very well throw the current polls askew. If these turnout ratios hold 10 weeks from now, we will witness an historic shift in Congressional power.

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