The New York Times’ The Caucus presents three possible scenarios for Super Tuesday. In condensed format, here they are:
1. ROMNEY SURVIVES.
The big question for Mr. Romney heading into Super Tuesday is whether he can hold off the challenge from Mr. Santorum in Ohio. In this situation, he does — by a small margin — but fails to demonstrate the kind of political strength that could quickly bring the contest to a conclusion.
2. A NEW SANTORUM SURGE?
In this sequence of events, Mr. Santorum wins the big prize of the night — Ohio. It’s not a blowout, but by the time the dust settles, it’s clear that working-class voters preferred the blunt style of Mr. Santorum over Mr. Romney, who has had trouble connecting with middle-class voters.
3. A ROMNEY ROMP.
What Mr. Romney and the Republican establishment have been looking for is a reason to move beyond the primary and onto the battle with Mr. Obama. This outcome helps them do just that.
Each sounds plausible. There’s an outside change the Newt Gingrich wins more than just Georgia and somewhat comes back to life, but as it now appears to be a two-man race the three scenarios appear most likely.
Which to you think is most likely?
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